| Registro completo |
| Provedor de dados: |
AgEcon
|
| País: |
United States
|
| Título: |
Plagiarism Without Apology--Systematic Integration of Available Information in a Long Run Agricultural Outlook
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| Autores: |
Witzke, Heinz Peter
Britz, Wolfgang
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| Data: |
2005-09-30
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| Ano: |
2005
|
| Palavras-chave: |
Agricultural outlook
Forecasting
Modelling
Expert information
Agricultural and Food Policy
C15
C53
Q11
Q19
Q21
|
| Resumo: |
In the context of a long run agricultural outlook on behalf of the European Environmental Agency a new methodology has been developed to systematically integrate external forecasts into a quite detailed agricultural sector model. External forecasts usually provide estimates for the exogenous variables in modelling work and frequently they are also used for comparisons and potential reassessment of empirical specifications. The innovative characteristic of this study is that expert forecasts have been used to specify parameter changes expressing structural change affecting behavioural functions. The outlook was therefore set up as a simultaneous estimation and forecasting effort which permitted to integrate various, usually contradictory expert forecasts subject to the equations of the sector model.
|
| Tipo: |
Conference Paper or Presentation
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| Idioma: |
Inglês
|
| Identificador: |
17858
http://purl.umn.edu/24666
|
| Editor: |
AgEcon Search
|
| Relação: |
European Association of Agricultural Economists>2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark
Contributed Paper
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| Formato: |
14
application/pdf
|
