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Registros recuperados: 22 | |
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Hilker, James H.; Alderman, Nicole. |
One word summarizes the current outlook for the U.S. economy. That word is confusion. First, we review the recent behavior of the U.S. economy. Ten years of economic expansion without a recession had led some to believe that we could have continual expansion without a recession. The year 2000 was the fourth year in a row with growth exceeding 4 percent and this was accomplished with relatively stable prices. unemployment was about 4 percent or below what many perceived as a sustainable rate of unemployment without rapid inflation. Stock market prices had increased and some consumers were spending their "new wealth." However, the stock market showed signs of weakness beginning in 1999. That weakness grew, especially for technology stocks and price... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Farm Management. |
Ano: 2001 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/11639 |
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Hilker, James H.. |
We should expect 2004-05 soybean prices to be much lower than 2003-04, but near the historically average. On the other hand, while the numbers shown are my best analysis, I feel there is a lot of price risk in both directions as we go from now through the 2004-05 marketing year. While looking good now, the crop was planted late, and some disease problems are showing up. On the demand side, exports will be the key. |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/11643 |
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Hilker, James H.; Betz, Roger; Black, J. Roy. |
Corn, soybean and wheat producers are facing serious financial challenges. And it is even worse for livestock producers, most of who are also crop producers and are therefore eligible for ACRE. Crops are behind in maturity, some areas of the state need rain, product prices have fallen substantially, and USDA Counter Cyclical payments do not start until $2.35 on corn, $5.36 soybeans and $3.40 on wheat. Chances of prices that low are around 10-15%, but at that point ACRE payments would be much, much bigger. Many producers do not understand ACRE and the benefits available; most of the reasons given for not participating are invalid. |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Farm Management. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/52208 |
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Hanson, Steven D.; Myers, Robert J.; Hilker, James H.. |
Many agricultural producers face cash price distributions that are effectively truncated at a lower limit through participation in farm programs designed to support farm prices and incomes. For example, the 1996 Federal Agricultural Improvement Act (FAIR) makes many producers eligible to obtain marketing loans which truncate their cash price realization at the loan rate, while allowing market prices to freely equilibrate supply and demand. This paper studies the effects of truncated cash price distributions on the optimal use of futures and options. The results show that truncation in the cash price distribution facing an individual producer provides incentives to trade options as well as futures. We derive optimal futures and options trading rules under... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Farm programs; Futures; Hedging; Options; Truncation; Marketing. |
Ano: 1999 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15152 |
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Registros recuperados: 22 | |
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