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RISK MANAGEMENT THROUGH ENTERPRISE DIVERSIFICATION: A FARM-LEVEL ANALYSIS AgEcon
Mishra, Ashok K.; El-Osta, Hisham S..
Enterprise diversification is a self-insuring strategy used by farmers to protect against risk. This paper examines the impact of various farm, operator, and household characteristics on the level of on-farm diversification. Results provide evidence that larger farms are more specialized. Also, farmers who participate in off-farm income and farms located near urban areas are less likely to diversify. Additionally, results also show a significant positive relationship between diversification and farm/crop insurance and sole proprietorships. Finally, there is also evidence that farms that received government payments are more diversified than their counterparts.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19711
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Impactos do programa de fomento à cafeicultura no pequeno produtor do município de Viçosa - MG: uma análise financeira sob condições de risco AgEcon
Ferreira Junior, Silvio; Baptista, Antonio Jose Medina dos Santos.
Diante da importância socioeconômica da cafeicultura para o município de Viçosa, a Secretaria Municipal de Agricultura e Meio Ambiente (SEAMA) lançou, em 1998, o “Programa Municipal de Fomento à Cafeicultura” (ProCafé). O presente trabalho procurou mensurar e analisar os benefícios financeiros desse programa para o pequeno produtor local, com o intuito de fornecer subsídios às autoridades e aos produtores efetivos e potenciais no que concerne aos riscos e oportunidades inerentes ao investimento. Os indicadores de viabilidade e a análise de sensibilidade mostraram, claramente, que é financeiramente viável investir na atividade. O programa ProCafé proporciona benefícios financeiros adicionais, melhorando significativamente a viabilidade e reduzindo...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cafeicultura; Rentabilidade; Análise de risco; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56822
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Agricultural Profits and Farm Household Wealth: A Farm-level Analysis Using Repeated Cross Sections AgEcon
Blank, Steven C.; Erickson, Kenneth W.; Nehring, Richard F.; Hallahan, Charles B..
This study examines the relationship between agricultural profits and farm household wealth across locations and farm sizes in U.S. agriculture. A multiperiod household model is used to develop hypotheses for testing. Results indicate that farmland has out-performed nonfarm investments over the past decade. Thus, households may want to keep their farmland to build wealth, even if it requires them to earn off-farm income. The analysis implies that decision will be made based on farm household wealth factors having little to do with agriculture.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm household; Off-farm income; Production profits; Wealth; Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Q12; Q14.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48749
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The Structural Estimation of Principal-Agent Models by Least Squares: Evidence from Land Tenancy in Madagascar AgEcon
Brown, Zachary S.; Bellemare, Marc F..
We develop a method to structurally estimate principal-agent models by ordinary least squares (OLS). We set up a general principal-agent model which explicitly incorporates the wealth levels of each party and the opportunity cost to the agent of entering the contract. This yields an optimal contract that is linearized by way of an Nth order Taylor approximation. This in turn imposes N(3N-1)/2 restrictions on the parameters and yields an empirical test of the canonical principal-agent model. In the application, we consider the case where N = 2 and apply our method to a sample of land tenancy contracts in rural Madagascar. Empirical tests lead to consistent failure to reject the hypotheses derived from our structural model, which lends support to our...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Principal-Agent Models; Contract Theory; Structural Estimations; Risk and Uncertainty; C12; C13; D86; O12; Q12.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49368
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EFFECTS OF FARMERS' RISK ATTITUDES AND PERSONALITY TYPES ON PRODUCTION AND MARKETING DECISIONS AgEcon
Xu, Pei; Alexander, Corinne E.; Patrick, George F.; Musser, Wesley N..
Producers' risk perceptions, as well as their empirical measurement, have been an on-going concern for agricultural economists. Identification and categorization of producers' risk attitudes is important in both research and extension contexts. This study explores some alternative measures of farmers' attitudes and their relationships with observed producer behavior. The effect of farmers' personality types, as derived from the Myers-Briggs personality type indicator test, on marketing behavior is also explored. There were positive and statistically significant correlations of producers' risk attitudes in various areas of the farm business. However, there are also some differences in producers' willingness to risk, especially in the finance area....
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28677
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PREMIUM RATES FOR YIELD GUARANTEE AND INCOME PROTECTION CROP INSURANCE FOR GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA PEACHES AgEcon
Miller, Stephen E.; Kahl, Kandice H.; Rathwell, P. James.
We estimate actuarially sound premium rates for individual yield guarantee and income protection crop insurance products for Georgia and South Carolina peaches. In most cases, the premium rate for an income protection product equals or exceeds the premium rate for an individual yield guarantee product for a given coverage level and average farm yield. Although the premium rates for the two products differ in a statistical sense, they do not appear to differ in an economic sense except at high coverage levels for growers with very high yields.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Yield guarantee; Income protection; Peaches; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21699
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THE NEW CROP INSURANCE REFORMS: WHERE WE'VE BEEN: WHERE WE'RE GOING (PowerPoint Presentation) AgEcon
Ackerman, Kenneth D..
POWERPOINT PRESENTATION
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/33059
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Wetterderivate: Ein Instrument im Risikomanagement für die Landwirtschaft? AgEcon
Berg, Ernst; Schmitz, Bernhard; Starp, Michael; Trenkel, Hermann.
The risks associated with farming activities are likely to increase in the future. It, therefore, appears worthwhile to analyse new risk management instruments. This paper investigates weather derivatives for which a market has already emerged in the USA. Contrary to traditional financial derivatives, their payoff is determined by future weather events, such as temperature or precipitation. Thus, they hedge risks which result from climate. Since they address production risks they are complementary to instruments that hedge price risks, such as future markets. The objective of the paper is to evaluate the economic impacts of weather derivatives and to assess their potential as farm level instruments of risk management. After outlining the main...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Weather derivatives; Weather risk; Risk management; Stochastic simulation; Financial Economics; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97213
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AN ECONOMIC RESPONSE MODEL OF HERBICIDE APPLICATION FOR WEED CONTROL AgEcon
Pannell, David J..
A biologically realistic model of crop yield response to herbicide application is presented. It includes functions for weed mortality from herbicide application and yield loss due to surviving weeds. The optimal herbicide rate and two types of decision thresholds are derived theoretically and illustrated with empirical examples. Responses of the various decision criteria to changes in parameters are also examined theoretically and empirically. A multidimensional threshold for weeds based on weed density and weed-free yield is presented. The issue of farmers using other than officially recommended herbicide rates is discussed.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22352
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The Evolution and Expansion of Risk Management Education Programs in the United States AgEcon
Jose, H. Douglas; Tilmon, H. Don.
A rapidly changing business environment has dictated a need for farmers to improve their risk management skills. The 1996 Federal Agricultural Improvement and Reform Act (FAIR) also created a new environment for American farmers by eliminating planting restrictions and deficiency payments. Congress recognized the changing environment by mandating the Secretary of Agriculture to initiate a risk management education program. A memorandum of understanding specified the responsibilities of the federal agencies involved in risk management services and education. A work group representing all public and private organizations concerned with risk management services and strategies was convened. The work group established a set of objectives, the five...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6936
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Managing Expected Switchgrass Biomass Yield Variability by Strategically Selecting Land to Lease AgEcon
Debnath, Deepayan; Stoecker, Arthur L.; Epplin, Francis M..
Biorefineries that plan to use switchgrass exclusively will have to account for year-to-year variability in feedstock production. The objective of this research is to determine the quantity, class, and location of land to lease for switchgrass production to provide for the needs of a biorefinery. The firm could elect to lease land based on average switchgrass yields or to lease to attempt to insure that even in the worst case (based on historical data) production year the area leased will produce sufficient feedstock to fully provide for the needs of the biorefinery. EPIC was used to generate empirical distributions of switchgrass biomass yields for three land classes for each of 30 counties. Mathematical programming was used to address the objectives and...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: EPIC; Mathematical programming; Switchgrass; Yield variability; Crop Production/Industries; Land Economics/Use; Risk and Uncertainty; Q42; Q12.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/124230
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Optimizing whole-farm management considering price and climate risks AgEcon
Lehmann, Niklaus; Finger, Robert.
We investigate impacts of climate change (CC) and likely increases in price risks on income, income variability, utility and on adaptation responses in crop production in Western Switzerland. To this end, a bio-economic model is used that combines a crop growth model with an economic decision model non-parametrically using genetic algorithms. Our analysis focuses on the farm-level, which enables us to integrate a much wider set of potential adaptation responses in our analysis. The model is applied to four scenarios that represent likely changes in environmental conditions due to CC as well as increasing price risks due to market liberalization, and combinations thereof. It shows that CC has the larger influence on farm-level income and utility as well as...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Genetic Algorithms; Agricultural Modeling; Climate Change; Price risks; Risk and Uncertainty; Q12.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122533
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MAGNITUDE ESTIMATION: AN APPLICATION TO FARMERS' RISK-INCOME PREFERENCES AgEcon
Patrick, George F.; Blake, Brian F.; Whittaker, Suzanne H..
Magnitude estimation, a technique developed by psychology for obtaining ratio scaled values, was used to derive risk-income preferences of ninety-one central Indiana farmers. Both variability-income and bankruptcy-income measures were developed and related to farmers' socio-economic attributes. Wealth and education had limited effects compared with off-farm employment, percent debt and expected levels of income, percent debt and net worth growth. Magnitude estimation provided reliable estimates of preferences. Farmers gave greater importance to the bankruptcy-income measure of risk-income preferences, but only a small portion of the variation of either measure could be explained.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1981 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32583
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Testing for Moral Hazard and Ranking Farms by Their Inclination to Collect Crop Damage Compensations AgEcon
Myyra, Sami; Pietola, Kyosti.
This paper tests for the extent of moral hazard problem within a Crop Damage Compensation (CDC) program that is similar to traditional multi peril crop insurances but is publicly funded and openly accessible for all farmers in Finland. We further estimate the potential of using the observed farmer and farm characteristics in ranking and classifying farms according to their incidence towards losses when they are protected. The data are the claimed and granted indemnity payments for each farm over the fifteen year period of 1995-2009. These data are complemented by data on total farm population in 2005. The data suggest that most of the farmers (60%) have not made any claims in the CDC program over the 15 year period. Those farms that claimed compensation...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114632
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The Role of Electronic Communications in Stabilizing Markets AgEcon
Epperson, James E..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1985 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/59832
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The Basic Formula Price Futures Contract: A New Dairy Industry Risk Management Tool AgEcon
Jesse, Edward V.; Cropp, Robert A..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12694
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Virtual Consumption but Real Market. Does your avatar eat or drink on Second Life? AgEcon
Giraud, Georges.
Second Life® (SL) is an innovative digital world created in June 2003 by Linden Lab, a Californian company, acting only on the Internet. The purpose of SL is to provide entertainment via virtual experiences to customers who act, travel, buy and discuss into this world through their own avatar. SL is a 3D interactive combination of improved chat and video game, without any strict rules nor clear objective for the game apart to spent time in virtual reality and to enjoy this experience. SL is the most important Massive Multiplayer Online Role Playing Game (MMORPG).
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Digital world; Virtual consumption; Global branding; Food- related consumer behaviour; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/59114
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The FAPRI Baseline Model of the Federal Crop Insurance Program AgEcon
Hart, Chad E.; Smith, Darnell B..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18641
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RISK RATIONING AND ACTIVITY CHOICE IN MORAL HAZARD CONSTRAINED CREDIT MARKETS AgEcon
Boucher, Stephen R.; Carter, Michael R..
This paper explores the productivity and income distribution effects of asymmetric information and risk preferences on the credit market. A model of contract design in the presence of moral hazard is developed in which competitive, risk neutral lenders offer contracts to risk averse agents who hold the option to invest capital and labor time in an entrepreneurial activity. The model gives rise to the potential for quantity rationing and an additional form of non-price rationing called risk rationing. Both quantity and risk rationed agents would seek credit and carry out the entrepreneurial activity in a first best, or symmetric information world. When information is asymmetric, the menu of available loan contracts shrinks. In equilibrium, neither type of...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12675
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WEATHER DERIVATIVES AND SPECIFIC EVENT RISK AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G..
This paper investigates the relationship between weather events and agricultural risks. Specific event risks are defined by outcomes related to a specific event such as low temperature and rainfall. Using Ontario data this paper describes specific events and shows how these specific events can be insured using weather derivatives and insurance.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Heat insurance; Rainfall insurance; Weather derivatives; Weather options; Crop insurance; Agricultural risk; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21550
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