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| Lacroix, Denis; Laurent, Louis; De Menthière, Nicolas; Schmitt, Bertrand; Béthinger, Audrey; David, Bernard; Didier, Christophe; Parent Du Châtelet, Jacques. |
| Scientific programming in environmental science often relies on short-term (3 to 5 years) trend-based projections for contextual elements like the demography or the economy to construct or justify its choice of priorities. However, this approach does not take into account numerous factors of change or disruption over a longer term (10 to 20, or even 50 years), although a decade or two are needed to effectively deal with the stakes of research. These stakes become more acute over the long term, as consequences of predicted changes (e. g. climate) or other factors such as pollution, biodiversity erosion, reduction of ecosystemic services.... This complex question justifies turning to a foresight approach. Because it enables tipping points to be envisaged for... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Research programming; Foresight; Scenarios; Environment; 2100. |
| Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00491/60236/63980.pdf |
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| Lacroix, Denis; David, Bernard; Lamblin, Veronique; De Menthiere, Nicolas; De Lattre-gasquet, Marie; Guigon, Antoine; Jannes-ober, Emmanuelle; Hervieu, Halvard; Potier, Francoise; Ragain, Gilles; Hoummady, Moussa. |
| The perception of ocean areas by policy-makers or by people, living or not on the coast, has significantly varied over centuries. Due to its vastness and complexity, the sea has been studied within distinct academic disciplines. However, the current issues related to the sea, such as climate change, marine pollution or coastal tourism, require an integrated vision of the assets and drawbacks in order to meet the challenges arising from human activities both at sea and onshore. In this study, a group of foresight officers from the French network of public research institutes decided to cross-check and compare several science approaches (biology, sociology, economics, etc) about oceans. Thus, 11 sectors of maritime activity (transportation, fisheries,... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Ocean; Society; Marine resources; Maritime economy; Law of the sea; Foresight. |
| Ano: 2016 |
URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00358/46900/46786.pdf |
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