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A TERM STRUCTURE MODEL FOR AGRICULTURAL FUTURES 31
Fackler, Paul L.; Roberts, Matthew C..
An extension of Schwartz's model of futures price term structure that includes seasonality is developed. The approach allows futures prices for all maturities to be estimated simultaneously by exploiting arbitrage relationships. An application to wheat futures prices is presented.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Futures markets; Price analysis; Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21543
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EXPERIMENTAL MARKETS USING THE ELECTRONIC MARKET PLACE (EMP) 31
Fackler, Paul L.; McNew, Kevin.
A computer system for implementing electronic markets on networks of personal computers is described. The program allows a researcher or teacher to design market simulations to meet a variety of goals, and records a complete set of market activities for analysis. Illustrations of example markets are provided, and the classroom application of market simulations in teaching agricultural economics is discussed.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Computer software; Experimental economics; Simulations; Marketing.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15094
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PROBABILISTIC PRICE FORECASTS BASED ON COMMODITY OPTION VALUES 31
King, Robert P.; Fackler, Paul L..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1985 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14030
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TESTING MARKET EQUILIBRIUM: IS COINTEGRATION INFORMATIVE? 31
McNew, Kevin; Fackler, Paul L..
Cointegration methods are increasingly used to test for market efficiency and integration. The economic rationale for these tests, however, is generally unclear. Using a simple spatial equilibrium model to simulate equilibrium price behavior, it is shown that prices in a well-integrated, efficient market need not be cointegrated. Furthermore, the number of cointegrating relationships among prices is not a good indicator of the degree to which a market is integrated.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30853
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MODELING SPATIAL DEPENDENCE AND SPATIAL HETEROGENEITY IN COUNTY YIELD FORECASTING MODELS 31
DiRienzo, Cassandra; Fackler, Paul L.; Goodwin, Barry K..
The implications of ignoring potential spatial dependence in county-level yield data are discussed. Spatial dependence in a county-level yield data set is identified and methods for correcting the dependence via spatial weighting matrices and generalized least squares regression are performed. The paper also examines how the spatial dependence declines as the distance between observations increases.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Productivity Analysis; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21763
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A NOTE ON ALTERNTIVE MARKET AND GOVERNMENTAL RISK TRANSFERENCE MECHANISMS 31
Fackler, Paul L..
The major mechanisms for the transference of price and output risk by crop producers are examined. These include the use of futures and options contracts, government price-support and deficiency-payments programs, and crop insurance. Iso-revenue curves are used to highlight the distinctions between these alternatives.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30107
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COMBINING FARM AND COUNTY DATA TO CONSTRUCT FARM LEVEL YIELD DISTRIBUTIONS 31
Fulton, Joan R.; King, Robert P.; Fackler, Paul L..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1988 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13752
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SEQUENTIAL REGRESSION: A FLEXIBLE TOOL FOR TIME SERIES MODELING 31
Fackler, Paul L.; King, Robert P..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1984 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13498
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BT COTTON REFUGE POLICY 31
Livingston, Michael J.; Carlson, Gerald A.; Fackler, Paul L..
Since cotton producers do not own legal rights to kill insect populations that are susceptible to insecticides, individual producers may have no incentive to account for future, insecticide-resistance productivity losses arising from their pest-management decisions. As a result, the collective actions of producers may increase the rate of resistance development relative to the rate that maximizes social welfare. Concerns regarding insect-pest development of resistance to Bt cotton prompted the Environmental Protection Agency to establish legal limits on the proportion of total acres individual producers may plant, representing the first attempt to regulate the development of insecticide resistance and the first instance of the use of refuge as a policy...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21850
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