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| Havlik, Petr; Herrero, Mario; Mosnier, Aline; Obersteiner, Michael; Schmid, Erwin; Fuss, Sabine; Schneider, Uwe A.. |
| Livestock is recognized as one of the major drivers of current and future global change. This is caused on the production side, by the substantial resource requirements (land and water) per unit of output, and the related greenhouse gas emissions, and on the consumption side, by the growing demand due to population and economic growth. Our paper investigates whether productivity gains which enabled to the crop sector to satisfy the increased demand under decreasing real prices, and with little additional land, in the past decades, can be expected in the livestock sector in the future. To answer this question, we implement the recursively dynamic partial equilibrium bottom-up model of the global agriculture and forest sectors (GLOBIOM), expanded by a newly... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Mathematical programming; Livestock; Land use change; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114552 |
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| Thornton, Philip K.; Jones, Peter G.; Owiyo, Tom; Kruska, Russell L.; Herrero, Mario; Orindi, Victor; Bhadwal, Suruchi; Kristjanson, Patricia; Notenbaert, An; Bekele, Nigat; Omolo, Abisalom. |
| Climate change and increasing climate variability threaten the attainment of the Millennium Development Goals (MDG), and some of the worst effects on human health and agriculture will be in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in vulnerable regions. The relationships between climate change and the vulnerability of resource-poor croppers and livestock keepers and their resilience to current and future climate variability need to be better understood. This paper describes the generation of information that combines projected climate change in agricultural systems with vulnerability data. The results of the analysis, in terms of vulnerable people particularly at risk for deleterious effects of climate change, are being used for impact assessment, targeting and... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural system; Vulnerability; Targeting; Impact assessment; Poverty; Food Security and Poverty; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy. |
| Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56966 |
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