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Registros recuperados: 19 | |
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Huan-Niemi, Ellen; Niemi, Jyrki S.. |
The EU dairy sector will be one of the most sensitive sectors to be affected by the outcome of the on-going negotiations for the new WTO round for agriculture. Nevertheless, if the Next WTO Round is going to be along the same lines as the Uruguay Round, the EU may be able to stay within the WTO commitments for export subsidy in the dairy sector without further reforms in the Common Agricultural Policy. Certainly, some minor reforms are needed to relieve the binding commitments for cheese and other milk products. The upcoming reform in the dairy sector under Agenda 2000 starting from year 2005 may help in reforming the dairy sector for the new round. In contrast, a steeper reduction in the export subsidy commitments compared to the Uruguay Round may cause... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: EU; WTO; Enlargement; Dairy sector; Export subsidy; International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24838 |
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Lehtonen, Heikki; Lankoski, Jussi E.; Niemi, Jyrki S.. |
This paper provides first results of the sector-model approach to analysing the effects of alternative policy scenarios on the multifunctional role of Finnish agriculture. In terms of environmental non-commodity outputs, this study focuses on nutrient runoffs, landscape diversity and biodiversity. As regards other non-commodity outputs, the paper considers rural socio-economic viability. The results suggest that, on the whole, reform of the common agricultural policy is not likely to result in any drastic decline of agricultural production in Finland. The amount of green fallow will increase considerably when agricultural support payments are decoupled from production, and as a result the remaining cultivated agricultural land will become biologically... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25137 |
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Niemi, Jyrki S.; Fahlbeck, Erik; Hofreither, Markus F.. |
Ten years ago, Austria, Finland, and Sweden joined the EU. The application of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) caused major repercussions on the agricultural sectors of the entering countries. This article analyses the welfare effects of accession to the EU on the agricultural markets in Austria, Finland and Sweden in a simple supply and demand framework, which is kept strictly identical across all three countries. The quantitative results of the study are derived by using standard partial equilibrium comparative static analysis in the Marshallian economic surplus framework. Using this method, the welfare effects are calculated for eight major cereal and livestock commodities produced in Austria, Finland, and Sweden by comparing the evolution of the... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Integration; EU; CAP; Austria; Finland; Sweden; Welfare analysis; International Relations/Trade; Q11; Q17. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24767 |
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Niemi, Jyrki S.; Kettunen, Lauri. |
The objective of this paper is to assess empirically the impacts of further reform of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) on the agri-food sector in Finland. To meet the objective, an econometric model for Finnish agriculture - built as a part of the AGMEMOD project - was utilised. The projection and policy simulations presented in the paper demonstrate that the model provides the basis for relatively straightforward baseline projection, and an initial framework for agricultural policy analysis. Yet, there remains substantial scope for further work on the model. In particular, the effects of big policy shocks are clearly not adequately captured by the model. The linear equations of supply together with low elasticities estimated from historical data... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Policy analysis; Econometric models; Finland; Commodity markets; Agricultural and Food Policy; C54; E17; Q18.. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99367 |
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Huan-Niemi, Ellen; Niemi, Jyrki S.. |
The EU is a major participant in the world sugar market, being one of the top producers, importers and exporters in the world. The reform of the EU sugar regime will affect not only the EU member states and candidates, but also countries that are associated with the EU through the preferential, regional and multilateral trade agreements. For several decades, the EU has supported and protected the EU sugar sector. Sugar from developing countries will not be able to enter the EU sugar market without preferential trade agreements. In the EU sugar regime, the unique features of the trade concessions are that sugar under preferential import quotas can enter the EU market duty-free and the price paid for sugar equals to the high EU price for sugar. This paper... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25134 |
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Niemi, Jyrki S.; Huan-Niemi, Ellen; Ledebur, Oliver von; Salamon, Petra. |
This paper provides new evidence on income and price elasticities of demand for agricultural exports from Mercosur countries to the EU. Econometric models are constructed for eight agricultural commodities - beef, cocoa, coffee, orange juice, poultry, sugar, soya and wheat - exported from Mercosur to the EU. A modelling approach based on the error correction mechanism is used in order to emphasise the importance of the dynamics of trade functions. The results indicate that there is a relatively weak demand response to income and price changes in the EU. However, the results also suggest that relative-price variations affect significantly the demand for Mercosur commodity exports, implying that the exporter's market share is influenced by price... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade; European Union; Mercosur; Econometric models; Cointegration; International Relations/Trade; C22; Q17. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24606 |
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Huan-Niemi, Ellen; Niemi, Jyrki S.. |
This study attempts to identify and measure quantitatively the effects of changing economic environment and trade policies on China’s agricultural imports from the EU as well as globally. The approach is to model behavioural relationships in the agricultural trade between China and the EU by using annual trade data from 1986 to 2005. The results indicate that Chinese agricultural imports are relatively inelastic to absolute price changes, but relative price changes significantly affect the market shares of EU exports due to price competition. Trade liberalisation in the form of tariff reductions is trivial in changing the quantity of China’s agricultural imports from the EU. China’s growing agrifood imports has been fuelled by rapid income growth of its... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: EU; China; Agricultural trade; International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43962 |
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Huan-Niemi, Ellen; Niemi, Jyrki S.. |
This paper examined China’s agricultural imports in regard to income growth, import price changes, and tariff reductions due to China’s trade liberalisation. More specifically, it attempted to model behavioural relationships in the agricultural trade between China and the EU by using annual trade data from 1986 to 2005. Econometric models were constructed for six agricultural products exported from the EU to China – frozen pigmeat, frozen fish, whey, barley, beer, and wine. The results indicated that China’s agricultural imports on a product basis are insensitive to absolute price changes. Therefore, the examination of the price elasticities confirmed the expectation that demand for Chinese agricultural imports is relatively inelastic to absolute price... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: EU; China; Agricultural imports; Income growth; Tariff reductions; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51541 |
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Niemi, Jyrki S.; Kola, Jukka. |
The Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) of the EU does not currently meet the different needs of diverse agricultural conditions of different member countries in a just and equal way. To meet this challenge has become inevitably more difficult as new and diverse Central and Eastern European countries have entered the Community. Several commentators and economists have thus suggested that a renationalization of the CAP would be an applicable way to proceed in an attempt to pursue a policy sensitive enough to national and regional or local needs and priorities. Renationalization mainly deals with two issues: (i) should member states have more power and freedom on decisions of agricultural policy, and (ii) should there be a shift from common financing back to... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: CAP; Renationalization; Regionalization; Subsidiary; Agricultural and Food Policy. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/8133 |
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Niemi, Jyrki S.; Peltola, Jukka; Simola, Antti. |
In this paper, indirect costs of Finnish Salmonella Control Program (FSCP) due to its trade effects are evaluated. FSCP is a part of Finnish biosecurity policies intended to shield Finnish food supply and consumption chain from salmonella outbreaks. The program directly increases costs of importing by e.g. requiring costly certificates for imports. Additionally, it may cause anxiety to suppliers of imports as there are added uncertainties in the import process. As similar requirements apply to domestic suppliers, the program should not be thought of as a technical trade barrier (TBT), however, it may affect trade flows indirectly and effects may be assessed in a similar manner as those of TBT’s. The evaluation of the trade effects is performed using a... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: International trade; Biosecurity; Welfare analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43953 |
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Niemi, Jyrki S.; Huan-Niemi, Ellen. |
China's accession to the WTO means significant increases in export opportunities for China's trading partners. This study attempts to identify and measure quantitatively the effects of changing economic environment and trade policies on China's agricultural imports from the European Union (EU). The approach is to estimate demand functions for China's agri-food imports from the EU using semi-annual data from 1980 to 2000. The demand functions are used to measure the impacts of relative-price and trade policy changes on EU agricultural exports to China. The results suggest that in China, there is a relatively strong demand response for agrifood imports to changes in income and prices. Furthermore, the results indicate that relative-price variations affect... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: China; WTO; Agricultural trade; Tariffs; Demand functions; Estimation; International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24839 |
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Niemi, Jyrki S.; Huan-Niemi, Ellen. |
China's trade with the world doubled after joining the WTO. This study attempts to identify and measure quantitatively the effects of changing economic environment and trade policies on China's global agricultural imports as well as imports from the EU. The approach is to model behavioral relationships in the agricultural trade between China and the EU by using annual trade data from 1986 to 2005. The results indicate that Chinese agricultural imports are relatively inelastic to absolute price changes, but relative price changes significantly affect the market shares of EU exports due to price competition. Trade liberalization in the form of tariff reductions is trivial in changing the quantity of China's agricultural imports from the EU. Rapid income... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: China; EU; WTO; Agricultural imports; Income; Tariff; Price; Model; International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/8163 |
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Irz, Xavier T.; Niemi, Jyrki S.; Xing, Liu. |
The agricultural commodity crisis of 2006-8 and the recent evolution of commodity markets have reignited anxieties in Finland over fast-rising food prices and food security. Although the impact of farm commodity price shocks on the final consumer is mitigated by a large degree of processing as well as the complex structure of the food chain, little is known about the strength of the linkages between food markets and input markets. Using monthly series of price indices from 1995 to 2010, we estimate a vector error-correction (VEC) model in a co-integration framework in order to investigate the short-term and long-term dynamics of food price formation. The results indicate that a statistically significant long-run equilibrium relationship exists between the... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114460 |
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Registros recuperados: 19 | |
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