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Registros recuperados: 17 | |
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Bertelsmeier, Marcus; Kleinhanss, Werner; Offermann, Frank. |
The FAL model group combines several market, regional and farm models for comprehensive policy impact assessments. Since 1996, policy impact analyses have been provided at the request of the German Agricultural Ministry with respect to the design of direct payments, the Agenda 2000, the Mid-term Review, the Enlargement of the EU as well as several other policy measures. This article gives an overview of the models available as part of the model group, specifically describes the design of the representative farm group model, and provides results with respect to the impacts of the Midterm Review. The paper ends with a discussion of the experiences gained in model based policy consulting and the implications for future developments. |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Policy assessment; Models; Agricultural policy; Midterm review; Policy impact analysis; Agricultural and Food Policy. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98358 |
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Kupker, Bernd; Huttel, Silke; Kleinhanss, Werner; Offermann, Frank. |
The 2003 CAP Reform left EU member states much room for national implementation. The farm group model EU-FARMIS is applied to quantify the effects of the reform and the impacts of the options for national implementation. The analysis is done for France and Germany because their implementation schemes adequately reflect the broad range of options. It is found that cereal and fodder maize production is reduced both in France and Germany. In contrast, the acreage of other arable fodder crops, of set-aside and of non-food crops is expanded. While bull fattening is substantially reduced in both countries, suckler cow production is extended in France due to partial decoupling, but reduced in Germany due to full decoupling. Sectoral income effects measured in... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: CAP Reform; Decoupling; Farm group model; FADN; Agricultural and Food Policy; Land Economics/Use. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97189 |
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Huettel, Silke; Kleinhanss, Werner; Offermann, Frank. |
This paper analyses the impacts of the 2003 CAP reform and of milk quota trade at the national level. To this end, a mathematical programming model has been further developed for Germany and extended to other main milk-producing EU member states like France. Homogeneous farm groups are built on the basis of EU Farm Accountancy Data Network. The results show that quotas will be fully used in both countries if quota trade is possible. A clear tendency in the reallocation of production from small towards large farms can be seen in all regions for France. In Germany, the redistribution of direct payments induced by the implementation of the regional scheme of decoupled payments leads to higher reductions of income in dairy & beef farms than in France. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: 2003 CAP reform; Milk quota trade; Model; Mathematical programming; International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24731 |
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Brockmeier, Martina; Kleinhanss, Werner; Offermann, Frank. |
In policy consultation, communicating model results to administration and policy makers has always proven to be a challenge for scientists. Many of the relevant preconditions for effective and successful policy advice are aggravated when results are based on the simultaneous use of a multitude of different models. This paper identifies key issues – e.g., relations to administration; correct identification of prevailing objectives of all agents involved; ability to run scenarios ‘in time’ - and discusses strategies for successful communication based on the experiences of the vTI model network. Specific attention is paid to the issue of communicating ‘conflicting’ results of different models: while often seen as a source for scientific insight, such... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Model network; Policy advice; Agricultural and Food Policy; Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97711 |
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Gomann, Horst; Kleinhanss, Werner; Kreins, Peter; Ledebur, Oliver von; Offermann, Frank; Osterburg, Bernhard; Salamon, Petra. |
Zusammenfassung: Der Agrarministerrat hat im November 2008 zum Health Check (HC) der Gemeinsamen Agrarpolitik (GAP) eine politische Einigung erzielt. Das Ziel der Studie im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Ernährung, Landwirtschaft und Verbraucherschutz ist es, aufbauend auf einer Wirkungsanalyse der Kommissionsvorschläge zum HC, die Konsequenzen der HC-Beschlüsse mit Hilfe des Modellverbundes der vTI-Agrarökonomie sowie mit einer statistischen Auswertung des EU-Testbetriebsnetzes (FADN) im Vergleich zu einer Referenzsituation im Zieljahr 2015 zu untersuchen. In der Referenzsituation wird eine langfristig positive Entwicklung im Agrarbereich unterstellt. Vor diesem Hintergrund wird in Deutschland nach den Modellergebnissen die Milcherzeugung nach... |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Health Check; Gemeinsame Agrarpolitik; Modellgestützte Politikfolgenabschätzung; Common Agricultural Policy; Model-based impact analyses; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q12; Q15; Q18. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/102726 |
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Sanders, Jurn; Nieberg, Hiltrud; Offermann, Frank. |
The financial performance of organic and conventional farming is highly influenced by the EU direct payment policy. While organic farms receive considerable support from agrienvironmental programmes, the design of the first pillar put organic farming at a disadvantage in the past. The 2003 CAP reform has changed this situation particularly by decoupling direct payments and reducing price support. This paper has therefore the aim to identify and assess the impact of the CAP reform on the relative profitability and production structure of organic farms in Germany. The statistical analysis of FADN data from the years 2003/04 and 2006/07 suggests that differences in payments from the first pillar decreased, affecting positively the relative profitability of... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Organic farming; Decoupling; Relative profitability; CAP Health Check; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q18. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44845 |
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Kleinhanss, Werner; Offermann, Frank; Butault, Jean-Pierre; Surry, Yves R.. |
Summary: This study summarizes cost estimates based on the EU Farm Accountancy Data Network using the General Cost of Production Model, developed, applied and tested within the FACEPA project. Results are provided for wheat, pigs and milk for the main producer countries of the EU for the period 1999 to 2007. Estimated input-output coefficients are generally based on monetary figures, expressing cost shares referring to total output. Effects of scale, specialization and location can be derived by estimates based on respective sub-samples. Costs per unit are derived based on input-output coefficients and output values, providing costs per hectare or ton for wheat and per ton of milk. There is a considerable variation between Member States not only of... |
Tipo: Technical Report |
Palavras-chave: Econometric analysis; Production costs; Ökonometrische Analyse; Produktionskosten; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Production Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C39; Q12. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/118867 |
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Gomann, Horst; Heiden, Michael; Kleinhanss, Werner; Kreins, Peter; Ledebur, Oliver von; Offermann, Frank; Osterburg, Bernhard; Salamon, Petra. |
Zusammenfassung: Die Europäische Kommission hat Mitte Mai 2008 Legislativvorschläge zum Health Check (HC) der Gemeinsamen Agrarpolitik (GAP) vorgelegt. Das Ziel der durchgeführten Studie im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Ernährung, Landwirtschaft und Verbraucherschutz ist es, die Wirkungen der HC-Vorschläge mit Hilfe des Modellverbundes der vTI-Agrarökonomie sowie mit einer statistischen Auswertung des EU-Testbetriebsnetzes (FADN) zu analysieren. Die Auswirkungen der HC-Vorschläge wurden in einer komparativ-statischen Betrachtung gegenüber einem Referenzszenario im Zieljahr 2015 analysiert. Nach den Modellberechnungen wird die Milcherzeugung in Deutschland nach Auslaufen der Quotenregelung um 6 % ausgedehnt. Dies impliziert ein Absinken des... |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Health Check; Gemeinsame Agrarpolitik; Modellgestützte Politikfolgenabschätzung; Common Agricultural Policy; Model-based impact analyses; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q12; Q15; Q18. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/102725 |
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Registros recuperados: 17 | |
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