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The Impacts of U.S. Cotton Programs on the World Market: An Analysis of Brazilian and African WTO Petitions AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Mohanty, Samarendu; Ethridge, Don E.; Fadiga, Mohamadou L..
Brazil, supported by Australia challenged U.S. cotton programs at the September 2003 meeting of the WTO settlement Body. Brazil complained that U.S. cotton subsidies such as marketing loans, export credits, commodity certificates, direct payments and counter cyclical payments are depressing world prices and are injurious to Brazilian farmers. In addition, the West and Central African Countries (WCA) countries of Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali and Chad have filed a petition with the WTO claiming that they are losing export earnings of 1 billion dollar a year as a result of subsidies by the United States and the European Union (BBMC, 2003). For WCA countries, both production and export of cotton have increased in the last decade but export revenues have declined...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53150
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The Impact of India's Cotton Yield on U.S. and World Cotton Markets AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Welch, Mark; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fadiga, Mohamadou L..
Cotton is India’s main cash crop. It contributes to the livelihood of 60 million people and accounts for 30 percent of the country’s agricultural domestic product (Barwale et al., 2004). Total cotton acreage in India is estimated at 9 million hectares, the largest in the world (Gandhi, 2006). About 65 percent of cotton production activities are rainfed and subject to the vagaries of weather. Cotton is grown in nine states, spread over three agroclimatic zones with different planting schedules. Planting usually ends by the first week of June in northern regions (Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan), by mid-August in the central region (Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Madhya Pradesh), and by the first week of September in parts of the south (Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka,...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53149
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Stochastic Analysis of World Cotton Outlook Addendum to the 2007/08-2017/18 Baseline AgEcon
Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Pan, Suwen; Ethridge, Don E.; Hudson, Darren; Mutuc, Maria Erlinda M..
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: The cotton market baseline analysis released in 2008 (Ethridge et al.) provided critical information about the future of the world cotton market over the next ten years (2007/02- 2017/18). It is based on a deterministic approach that utilizes the world fiber model developed by the Cotton Economics Research Institute (CERI) at Texas Tech University (Pan et al. 2004). The world fiber model is a multi-country multi-sector partial equilibrium model that includes the world’s 24 major cotton importing and exporting countries and regions. While the deterministic model provides the best available point estimates of potential market outcomes; It does not reveal information about the underlying variability of these markets over time.; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53140
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Response of Cotton to Oil Price Shocks AgEcon
Mutuc, Maria Erlinda M.; Pan, Suwen; Hudson, Darren.
Selected Paper prepared for presentation at the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Orlando, FL, February 6-9, 2010
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cotton; Oil price; Demand shocks; Supply shocks; Structural vector autoregression; Demand and Price Analysis; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/96675
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Assessing China’s Potential Import Demand for Distillers Dried Grain: Implications for Grain Trade AgEcon
Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Hansen, James M.; Matthey, Holger; Pan, Suwen; Tuan, Francis C..
A team of U.S. analysts visited China to assess the potential for use of distillers dried grain plus solubles (DDGS) in China’s livestock sector. They examined the economics of the use of DDGS in feeds, the policy issues surrounding the use of the product, and transportation-logistic constraints in the expansion of DDGS imports. The team collected actual and secondary data to conduct a micro-economic analysis of the impact of DDGS on feed cost, solicited official and expert opinions through interviews, and conducted site visits. They found the development of the DDGS import market in China to be very promising. The microeconomic analysis showed a clear economic incentive for feed millers and livestock producers to use DDGS in their feed ration, with a...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: DDGS; Distillers grain; Feed demand; Livestock sector; Optimal feed ration.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade; Marketing.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55553
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India Edible Oil Consumption: A Censored Incomplete Demand Approach AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Mohanty, Samarendu; Welch, Mark.
A Censored Incomplete Demand System is applied to household expenditures for edible oil in India. The results show that edible peanut oil is still a luxury good in India, whereas expenditure elasticities for other edible oils are relatively low. The food habit, location, education of household heads, and other demographic variables have significant effects on the choice of edible oils.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Censored Incomplete Demand System; India edible oil; Unit value; Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis; Production Economics; C21; D1; Q11.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/47261
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Sino-U.S. and Sino-E.U. Textile Safeguard Agreements: Comparing the Effects to Free Market Conditions AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Welch, Mark; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fadiga, Mohamadou L..
The effects of Sino-US and Sino-EU safeguard agreements on US, China and world cotton and textile sectors are investigated using a partial equilibrium model. The effects are compared to a free trade scenario under the provisions of the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC). The two agreements capping Chinese textile exports would decrease China's textile and apparel exports, production and domestic consumption by an average 1.57 percent, 0.63 percent and, 0.32 percent respectively. The safeguard agreements cause an increase in the U.S. cotton textile price index and a slight decrease in U.S. net textile imports and textile consumption. The agreements cause a decrease in the world cotton price and the quantity of cotton traded, but these trends...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21117
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THE INFLUENCE OF MARKET STRUCTURE ON THE IMPACTS OF DOMESTIC SUBSIDIES ON INTERNATIONAL COTTON MAREKTS AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Hudson, Darren; Ethridge, Don E..
This analysis uses a residual demand elasticity model to measure market power of the international cotton market. The results indicate that both china and U.S. dominate the cotton price with a higher market power in china compared to the U.S. Those test results combined with a partial equilibrium model of the international cotton market are used to study the welfare consequences of U.S. cotton subsidy policies for major cotton exporters under alternative assumptions about global market structure. The results indicate that the effects of U.S. subsidies on world cotton price are much smaller under monopsony and double power (with china as a monopsony and U.S. as a monopoly) market assumption than those under complete competitive market scenarios.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: U.S. Cotton Commodity Programs; Global Market Structure; International Trade; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51196
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World Cotton Outlook: Projections to 2015/16 AgEcon
Ethridge, Don E.; Welch, Mark; Pan, Suwen; Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Mohanty, Samarendu.
The Global Fibers Model developed at the Cotton Economics Research Institute at Texas Tech University was used to generate 10-year projections of cotton and textile production, mill use, and trade for 24 countries/regions under specified assumptions for macroeconomic variables, weather, and policies/programs, referred to as the baseline. Global results and results for selected major countries are presented here. Results indicate a continued dominance of China in textile production and cotton trade, rising global production of cotton, and shifting cotton export market shares, with the U.S. losing and Brazil gaining.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53169
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Is Investment in Agricultural Research a Good Substitute for Price Support in U.S. Cotton? AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Wang, Changgang; Hudson, Darren.
This article examines the effects of R&D on cotton yield and relationship between R&D and commodity support programs. The results indicate that yield elasticities with respect to cotton R&D is around 0.2-0.5 based on different regions. It further indicates that R&D increases government expenditures when both commodity programs and R&D funding exist. However, if the future WTO Doha negotiations rules out the possibility of price support programs, increasing R&D funding may provide one of the solutions for farmers to recover their income with 5-6 years lag.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cotton; R&D; Commodity support programs; Crop Production/Industries; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61608
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THE IMPACTS OF U.S. COTTON PROGRAMS ON THE WEST AND CENTRAL AFRICAN COUNTRIES COTTON EXPORT EARNINGS AgEcon
Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Pan, Suwen.
This study uses a stochastic simulation approach based on a partial equilibrium structural econometric model of the world fiber market to examine the effects of a removal of U.S. cotton programs on the world market. The effects on world cotton prices and African export earnings were analyzed. The results suggest that on average an elimination of U.S. cotton programs would lead to a marginal increase in the world cotton prices thus resulting in minimal gain for cotton exporting countries in Africa.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Stochastic simulation; Partial equilibrium model; United States; Africa; Cotton subsidies; Export earnings; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20312
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Assessing the Impacts of the Chinese TRQ System and U.S. Subsidies on the World Cotton Market: Technical Annex AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Welch, Mark; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Ethridge, Don E..
This document is the technical annex to the full paper "Assessing the Impacts of the Chinese TRQ System and U.S. Subsidies on the World Cotton Market" which is available separately.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23884
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Food Calorie Intake under Grain Price Uncertainty: Evidence from Rural Nepal AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Fang, Cheng; Rejesus, Roderick M..
This study evaluates the effects of grain output price uncertainty on the farm income of rural households and, consequently, how this uncertainty influences caloric intake through changes in farm income. Using a rural household data set, augmented with output price uncertainty measures calculated from historical time-series data, we find that grain output price uncertainty tends to decrease crop production income of rural households. In addition, we find that higher crop income from production increases calorie intake of rural households. Taken together, these results suggests that output price uncertainty during the production process may tend to reduce caloric intake of rural Nepalese households since the price uncertainty negatively affects the crop...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food Calorie Intake; Price Uncertainty; Nepal; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; D12; O13; Q11; Q12.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6198
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EATING OUT: AN IMPORTANT SOURCE OF FOOD FOR THE POOR AND THE FOOD INSECURE AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Jensen, Helen H..
Food consumption behaviors in food secure and food insecure households are compared. A two-stage budgeting and a double-hurdle model are used in the estimation. The results of the paper show that both food away from home and food at home are normal goods for both food secure and food insecure households. However, the effects of family structure on food consumption differ for the two household types. For food secure households, having one more child or one more working family member results in a larger marginal increase in food consumption than that for food insecure households. In addition, households with married heads of household are more likely to eat out in food secure households but less likely to eat out in food insecure households compared to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19805
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Chinese Tariff Rate Quota v.s. U.S. Subsidies: What Affects the World Cotton Market More? AgEcon
Pan, Suwen; Welch, Mark; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Ethridge, Don E..
Paper replaced with new version 8/17/05
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cotton; International trade; Subsidies; TRQ; International Relations/Trade; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19111
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U.S. Proposal for WTO Hong Kong Ministerial Conference: What's at Stake for Cotton Producers? AgEcon
Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Pan, Suwen; Welch, Mark.
This study analyzed the cost to U.S. cotton producers of two policy alternatives under which the U.S. seeks to cut its total AMS payments for cotton by 60%. We considered two scenarios; the U.S. decides to act unilaterally versus conducting the policy initiative along with multilateral tariff and subsidy eliminations from the Rest of the World. The study found a 12% cut in target price and 8% cut in loan rate are necessary to reach the 60% AMS targeted reduction under the unilateral scenario. In that regards, U.S. net farm income decreases considerably despite an appreciation of U.S. farm price. Under a multilateral trade liberalization from the Rest of the World, a 9% cut in the loan rate and 4% in loan rate are enough to reach the AMS reduction...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: United States; Hong Kong; Cotton subsidies; Tariff; Net farm income; International Relations/Trade; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21273
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The Impacts of Eliminating Step 2 Program on the U.S. and World Cotton Market AgEcon
Mohanty, Samarendu; Pan, Suwen; Welch, Mark; Ethridge, Don E..
Brazil made a formal complaint to the World Trade Organization (WTO) Dispute Settlement Panel against U.S. cotton programs in 2003, alleging that these subsidies depressed world cotton price and were injurious to Brazilian farmers. The petition was supported by Australia and West and Central African cotton producing countries. After long deliberations, the WTO appellate body came out with their final ruling in March 2005 that upheld most of the initial decisions of the WTO Dispute Settlement Panel. In addition to the finding of serious price suppressing effects of U.S. cotton programs during the period 1999/00-2002/03, the ruling also included a June 30, 2005 deadline to withdraw Step 2 and export credit guarantee programs. In an attempt to comply with the...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53148
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AN EVALUATION OF THE USDA FOOD SECURITY MEASURE WITH GENERALIZED LINEAR MIXED MODELS AgEcon
Opsomer, Jean D.; Jensen, Helen H.; Pan, Suwen.
Over the last decade, new information has been developed and collected to measure the extent of food insecurity and hunger in the United States. Common measurement of the phenomenon of hunger and food insecurity has become possible through efforts of the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to develop a set of survey questions that can be used to obtain estimates of the prevalence and severity of food insecurity. This paper takes a closer look at the measurement of food insecurity and the effect of household variables on measured food insecurity. The effects of demographic and survey-specific variables on the food insecurity/hunger scale are evaluated using a generalized linear model with mixed effects. Data come from the 1995, 1997, and 1999 Food...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Food insecurity; Household hunger; Rasch model; Food Security and Poverty.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18507
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2007 Global Cotton Outlook AgEcon
Ethridge, Don E.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Pan, Suwen; Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Welch, Mark; Yates, Samantha.
Economic Fundamentals - Real GDP growth is projected to be stable at about 2.5% per year in developed countries and be around 5% in developing nations. A more favorable exchange rate between China’s currency and the U.S. dollar may make U.S. cotton more affordable to China’s growing cotton textile industry.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53155
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2006 Global Cotton Outlook AgEcon
Mohanty, Samarendu; Pan, Suwen; Welch, Mark; Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Ethridge, Don E..
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53154
Registros recuperados: 57
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