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A multi-period positive mathematical programming approach for assessing economic impact of drought in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia AgEcon
Qureshi, Muhammad Ejaz; Ahmad, Mobin-ud-Din; Whitten, Stuart M.; Kirby, Mac.
In the last decade, the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB), Australia faced a severe drought which affected its agriculture production. Sustainable diversion limits as proposed in the Australian Government’s basin plan together with climate change is expected to impact on future agriculture production and development in the MDB. We developed a biophysical-economic mathematical model calibrated against the observed multi-period land use data utilising the positive mathematical programming (PMP) approach to evaluate the impacts on agricultural production activities of a range of climate events and policy options. This is an extension of our previous work where the model was calibrated against a single year and focus was on the southern MDB only. The multi-period...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Integrated hydrology and economic model; Multi-period calibration; Climate change; Drought; Agriculture; Positive mathematical programming; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/124418
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The economic impact of water reductions during the Millennium Drought in the Murray-Darling Basin AgEcon
Kirby, Mac; Connor, Jeffery D.; Bark, Rosalind H.; Qureshi, Muhammad Ejaz; Keyworth, Scott W..
The recent drought saw the lowest inflows on record in the Murray-Darling Basin in 2006. Water use by irrigation in 2007-8 and 2008-9 was about one third that of pre-drought levels. Understanding how irrigation adapted to less water is key both to provide information to help plan for the future and data for model calibration. Complicating this objective was the concurrent international food price crisis of 2008 and an increase in water trading in the basin. This presents a challenge in unpacking the effects of commodity price changes, input substitution, productivity gains and water trading from the effect of reduced water availability. In this paper we seek Our objective is to unpack the various effects. We used publicly available price and production...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/124490
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Book reviews AgEcon
Kerr, Geoffrey N.; Qureshi, Muhammad Ejaz; Scarborough, Helen.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/118328
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Economic assessment of acquiring water for environmental flows in the Murray Basin AgEcon
Qureshi, Muhammad Ejaz; Connor, Jeffery D.; Kirby, Mac; Mainuddin, Mohammed.
This article is an economic analysis of reallocating River Murray Basin water from agriculture to the environment with and without the possibility of interregional water trade. Acquiring environmental flows as an equal percentage of water allocations from all irrigation regions in the Basin is estimated to reduce returns to irrigation. When the same volume of water is taken from selected low-value regions only, the net revenue reduction is less. In all scenarios considered, net revenue gains from freeing trade are estimated to outweigh the negative revenue effects of reallocating water for environmental flows. The model accounts for how stochastic weather affects market water demand, supply and requirements for environmental flows. Net irrigation revenue...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/118333
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