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Registros recuperados: 17
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MODELLING IMPACTS OF SOME EUROPEAN BIOFUEL MEASURES AgEcon
Ledebur, Oliver von; Salamon, Petra; Zimmermann, Andrei; van Leeuwen, Myrna; Tabeau, Andrzej A.; Chantreuil, Frederic.
Against the background of increasing concerns regarding the energy supply security as well as environmental concern the interest for renewable energy sources has increased in recent years. The biofuel sector, backed by public policies, experienced a strong increase in and outside Europe. A methodology that allows for the estimation of the impacts of the fulfilment of the proposed biofuel targets in the EU member states is proposed and implemented in the AGMEMOD model for France and Germany. The so called normative approach, based on the use of a logistic function as biofuel demand function allows to perform simulations to assess the impact of the biofuel demand expansion on agricultural markets. The implemented approach and the simulation results indicate...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Biofuel targets; Biodiesel; Ethanol; Modelling; Crop Production/Industries; Public Economics; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6649
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IMPORTANCE OF CAP REFORMS FOR THE DUTCH AGRICULTURAL SECTOR IN 2000-2020 AgEcon
Tabeau, Andrzej A.; van Leeuwen, Myrna.
Since 2000, the two important reforms of The EU Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) took place. The Agenda 2000 Berlin Agreement of March 1999 aimed to increase EU agriculture market orientation and focuses on the grain, oilseed, dairy and the beef sectors. It reduced intervention prices in these sectors and lowered the set-aside requirements for crops and by implementation of non-crop specific compensatory payments. The core of The Luxembourg Agreement from June 2003 was an acceleration of decoupling of farm support initiated by the Agenda 2000 complementary payment. It introduces a system of direct payments (known as single payment scheme - SPS), which are no longer linked to the production (decoupling). This CAP reform also includes commodity specific...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: CAP; CAP Reform; Dutch agriculture; Agricultural and Food Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Q10; Q18.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44815
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Modelling the Consequences of Increasing Bioenergy Demand on Land and Feed Use AgEcon
Banse, Martin; Tabeau, Andrzej A.; van Meijl, Hans; Woltjer, Geert B..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Bioenergy Production; CGE modeling; Land Demand; Feed Demand; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61082
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Cattle Trade and the Risk of Importing Animal Diseases into the Netherlands AgEcon
Achterbosch, Thom J.; Dopfer, Dorte D.V.; Tabeau, Andrzej A..
Projections of live cattle trade in the EU-25 assist to reduce the uncertainty on the risk of importing animal diseases in the Netherlands. The accession of 10 member states to the European Union has a potentially large impact on livestock trade in the EU as it liberalized in one stroke a trade that was administered by the Management Committee for Beef until May 1, 2004. The approach combines AG-Memod partial equilibrium with GTAP general equilibrium modelling in order to estimate the impact of quota liberalization. Quota removal will substantially alter the regional structure of livestock imports, as the share of new EU member states in the east triples to 25%. The risk outlook indicates a need for enhanced animal health services in the new member states.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock; Animal disease; Trade; Projections; Quota; EU-enlargement; Risk and Uncertainty; F17; I18; Q17.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24558
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Dutch AG-MEMOD model; A tool to analyse the agri-food sector AgEcon
van Leeuwen, Myrna; Tabeau, Andrzej A..
Agricultural policies in the European Union (EU) have a history of continuous reform. AG-MEMOD, acronym for Agricultural sector in the Member states and EU: econometric modelling for projections and analysis of EU policies on agriculture, forestry and the environment, provides a system for analysing the impact of policy changes across the EU. Teams from each EU member state have developed models for the specific agri-food sector in their own country, which were reviewed by experts. Country-specific differences with regard to the operation of the agri-food sector and how each responds to external influences such as EU policies and world market prices have been carefully modelled. Not only CAP policy variables, but also economic and biophysical variables...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29079
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Competing claims on land use for food and biodiversity AgEcon
Tabeau, Andrzej A.; van Berkum, Siemen.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Land Economics/Use; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116072
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EU Dairy Quota Reform – AGMEMOD Scenario Analysis AgEcon
Chantreuil, Frederic; Donnellan, Trevor; van Leeuwen, Myrna; Salamon, Petra; Tabeau, Andrzej A.; Bartova, Lubica.
This study provides an in-depth model based quantitative analysis of the implications of the dairy policy reform on the milk and dairy market as well as on other agricultural markets in the EU27, EU15, EU12 and the individual MS. The objectives of the study are threefold: 1. to assess the implications of changing policy and market conditions on EU agriculture with special emphasis on milk quota phasing out and export subsidy removal by using a modelling tool; 2. to carry out policy relevant scenarios reflecting deregulation (e.g. quota abolition), changes in quota and price levels, different types and levels of direct payments; and 3. to analyse the implications of policy reform scenarios and to draw appropriate policy recommendations. Based on an overview...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Milk Quota; Policy Analysis; Partial Equilibrium Modelling.; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43655
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Agricultural Market Performance in the EU after the 2000 and 2003 CAP Reform An Ex-post Evaluation based on AGMEMOD AgEcon
Banse, Martin; van Leeuwen, Myrna; Tabeau, Andrzej A.; Salamon, Petra; Ledebur, Oliver von.
The paper investigates the CAP impacts on the EU agriculture by means of policy simulations conducted with the AGMEMOD model. To isolate the policy effects in the historical period 2000-2005, counterfactual simulations for this period are run. To simulate the response of the EU agriculture on different policy changes in the period 2006-2020, a ‘no-policy change’ baseline scenario is developed and then policy experiments are conducted such as the abolition of milk quota, the implementation of the regional payments and some budget cuts. To identify the policy effects, the policy scenarios are compared with the ‘no-policy change’ baseline.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: CAP Reform; Ex-post evaluation; Agricultural sector modelling; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99366
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Impact of CAP Animal Premiums on Cattle and Ewe Stock in the Netherlands AgEcon
van Leeuwen, Myrna; Tabeau, Andrzej A..
This paper examines the influence of animal premiums under the CAP beef and ewe regime on beef and sheep meat farming in the Netherlands concerning instruments like stock density limits, quota on premium rights and premium payments. On the basis of econometric models, equations are estimated for beef cows1, bulls and ewes. Then, the impacts of the different policy instruments on the stocks are decomposed. At last, prospects of Agenda 2000 on the Dutch beef and ewe sector are calculated up to 2010. For policy makers, the study offers information on the effectiveness of animal premium instruments to manipulate beef and sheep meat production. For Dutch farmers, the study offers information to what extent premium instruments might influence the decision to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24795
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Impact of EU Biofuel Policies on World Agricultural and Food Markets AgEcon
Banse, Martin; van Meijl, Hans; Tabeau, Andrzej A.; Woltjer, Geert B..
This paper assesses the global and sectoral implications of the EU biofuels directive in a multi-region computable general equilibrium framework. Our results show that without mandatory blending or subsidies to stimulate the use of biofuel crops in the petroleum sector the targets of the EU Biofuel directive will not the reached in 2010. With mandatory blending the enhanced demand for biofuel crops has a strong impact on agriculture at the global and European level. The additional demand from the energy sector might slow down or reverse the long term process of declining agricultural prices.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Biofuels; EU biofuel directive; Agricultural markets; Computable General Equilibrium modeling; Agribusiness; International Relations/Trade; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6476
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Estimation of impact of EU agricultural policies on the world market prices AgEcon
Chantreuil, Frederic; Tabeau, Andrzej A.; van Leeuwen, Myrna.
According to world market studies, the influence of policy measures on the world market price in one or in a limited number of countries is, in general, much less significant than the influence of multilateral policy changes. To investigate the impact of EU agricultural policies on world market prices, we attempt to model the transmission between EU policy and world prices directly via world market price equations, as part of the AGMEMOD model.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: EU commodity markets; Price transmission; Partial equilibrium; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6671
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Biofuel do Brasil? - Impact of Multinational Biofuel Mandates on Agri-food Trade AgEcon
Banse, Martin; Junker, Franziska; Prins, Anne Gerdien; Stehfest, Elke; Tabeau, Andrzej A.; Woltjer, Geert B.; van Meijl, Hans.
This paper analyzes the consequences of enhanced biofuel production in regions and countries of the world that have announced plans to implement or expand on biofuel policies. The analysis considers not only mandatory blending targets for transportation fuels, but also voluntary ones. The chosen quantitative modeling approach is two-fold: it combines a multi-sectoral economic model (LEITAP) with a spatial bio-physical land use model (IMAGE). This paper adds to existing research by considering biofuel policies in the EU, the US and various other countries with considerable agricultural production and trade, such as Brazil, India and China. Moreover, the combination of the two modeling systems allows for the observation of changes in both economic and...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Biofuel mandates; Land use changes; Greenhouse gas emissions; International Relations/Trade; Land Economics/Use; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/123838
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Agricultural Incomes Development in EU till 2030: Scenario Analysis of Main Driving Factors AgEcon
Tabeau, Andrzej A.; van Meijl, Hans; Banse, Martin; Woltjer, Geert B..
Europe’s rural areas are expected to witness rapid changes due to developments in demography, (agricultural) policies, global trade, climate change, technology and enlargement of the European Union. These changes will affect farmers’ production and income level and make the final outcome of this process uncertain. This paper tries to assess this uncertainty by analyzing the results of 34 scenarios of the EURURALIS project. The scenario outcomes were used to investigate agricultural income development and to analyze the impact of different combinations of macroeconomic and policy factors on agricultural income. The results of these scenarios were achieved in a modeling framework consisting of a modified version of the Global Trade Analysis Project model...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural incomes and production; Agricultural policy; Long-term scenarios.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48115
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Future land-use change in the Netherlands: an analysis based on a chain of models AgEcon
Kuhlman, Tom; van Tongeren, Frank W.; Helming, John F.M.; Tabeau, Andrzej A.; Gaaff, Aris; Groeneveld, Rolf A.; Koole, Boudewijn; Verhoog, A. David; Dekkers, Jasper.
Analyses of the impact of European policies on agricultural change are most often based on agricultural sector models. Such models have their limitations: they cannot specify the interaction between agriculture and the rest of the economy, and their spatial dimension is usually limited. Land use simulation models, on the other hand, usually depend on other models for assessing the demand for land. The consistency of those models with the assumptions and databases of the land use model is often not examined. This article reports on a research project where the links between a macroeconomic model, an agricultural sector model and a land use model were explicitly explored in order to arrive at a consistent model chain. This integrated framework was put to the...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Land use; CAP; Agricultural policy analyses; Netherlands; Agricultural and Food Policy; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97190
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Assessing spatial uncertainties of land allocation using the scenario approach and sensitivity analysis AgEcon
Tabeau, Andrzej A.; Hatna, E.; Verburg, Peter H..
The paper assess uncertainty of future spatial allocation of agricultural land in Europe. To assess the possible future development of agricultural production and land for the period 2000 – 2030, two contrasting scenarios are constructed. The scenarios storylines lead to different measurable assumptions concerning scenario specific drivers (variables) and parameters. Many of them are estimations and thus include a certain level of uncertainty regarding their true values. This leads to uncertainty of the scenario outcomes. In this study we use sensitivity analysis to estimate the uncertainty of agricultural land use.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Spatial uncertainty; Scenario approach; Sensitivity analysis.; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Labor and Human Capital.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/95235
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European farming and post-2013 CAP measures. A quantitative impact assessment AgEcon
Helming, John F.M.; van Meijl, Hans; Woltjer, Geert B.; Jansson, Torbjorn; Nowicki, Peter; Tabeau, Andrzej A..
Following the paradigm for reforming the current CAP, the first objective of this study is to give insights into the economic impact of post-2013 CAP measures at different levels of aggregation (e.g. EU, Member State and region). The post-2013 CAP measures included are directed towards income for the farmers, competitiveness, valuable areas and ecosystem services. The second objective is to analyse the impact of a scenario that combines the above mentioned post-2013 CAP measures. This study can be seen as a first attempt to quantify the transition to a CAP with more targeted measures at the European level and reveals considerable methodological and data challenges. A key finding is that the impact of the various measures is very different with regard to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114550
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Impact of the EU Biofuels Directive on the EU food supply chain AgEcon
Tabeau, Andrzej A.; Banse, Martin; Woltjer, Geert B.; van Meijl, Hans.
The paper investigates the impact of the EU Biofuels Directive (BFD) on the EU agri-food supply chain using the computable general equilibrium model of the world economy named LEITAP. LEITAP is an extended version of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model including an improved land market modeling, substitution possibilities between capital and energy as well as between different energy sources including biofuels, feed byproducts of the biofuel production process and substitution between different feed components and feed byproducts. The simulation results shows that the implementation of the EU BFD has a pronounced impact on the markets of cereals, oilseeds and sugar and shows only a limited impact on production and consumption of other agrifood...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: EU Biofuels Directive; Food supply chain; Indirect land use changes; Computable general equilibrium model.; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/58148
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