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Integrating Expert Knowledge into Mapping Ecosystem Services Trade-offs for Sustainable Forest Management Ecology and Society
Brunner, Sibyl H.; Planning of Landscape and Urban Systems (PLUS), Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich ; brunner@nsl.ethz.ch; Altwegg, Juerg; Planning of Landscape and Urban Systems (PLUS), Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich ; altwegg@nsl.ethz.ch; Christen, Marc; WSL - Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF; christen@slf.ch; Bebi, Peter; WSL - Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF; bebi@slf.ch.
Mountain ecosystems are highly sensitive to global change. In fact, the continued capacity of mountain regions to provide goods and services to society is threatened by the impact of environmental changes on ecosystems. Although mapping ecosystem services values is known to support sustainable resource management, the integration of spatially explicit local expert knowledge on ecosystem dynamics and social responses to global changes has not yet been integrated in the modeling process. This contribution demonstrates the importance of integrating local knowledge into the spatially explicit valuation of ecosystem services. Knowledge acquired by expert surveys flows into a GIS-based Bayesian Network for valuing forest ecosystem services under a land-use and a...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Bayesian network; Climate change; Ecosystem services; Expert survey; Forest management; Land-use change; Mapping; Mountain ecosystem; Trade-offs; Uncertainty.
Ano: 2013
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Economic Consequences of Biological Variation: The Case of Mycoplasma in Swine Herds AgEcon
Otto, Lars.
We present an economic decision support model, based on a Bayesian network, for Mycoplasma infection in slaughter swine production. The model describes the various risk factors for Mycoplasma infection and their interactions. This leads to a stochastic determination of the consequences of productivity factors, and this again results in stochastic economic consequences when changing the risk factors or engaging in control arrangements. We use the model to calculate how estimated prevalence and level of Mycoplasma changes when we gather evidence from various veterinarian examinations, and we show how this influences the distribution of the economic results of a change in strategy to fight Mycoplasma. One result is that the profitability in fighting...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Decision support system; Bayesian network; Pig; Mycoplasma; Livestock Production/Industries; C11; D81; Q12.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24458
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