Sabiia Seb
PortuguêsEspañolEnglish
Embrapa
        Busca avançada

Botão Atualizar


Botão Atualizar

Ordenar por: 

RelevânciaAutorTítuloAnoImprime registros no formato resumido
Registros recuperados: 62
Primeira ... 1234 ... Última
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Wheat / Flour Price Transmission and Agricultural Policies in Ukraine: A Markov-Switching Vector Error Correction Approach AgEcon
Brümmer, Bernhard; Zorya, Sergiy.
The analysis of price transmission between raw and processed agricultural products in transition countries is complicated by the frequently changing conditions on their way from plan to market. We utilise a Markov-switching vector error correction model to allow for multiple regime shifts in the price relationship between wheat and wheat flour in Ukraine from June 2000 to November 2004. The analysis reveals four regimes. The observed temporal pattern of these regimes can be matched with certain political and economic events in Ukraine. In particular, we find a strong link between the 'high uncertainty' regime and discretionary policy interventions in 2003.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Markov-switching vector error correction model; Vertical price transmission; Regime shifts; Grain policies; Ukraine; Demand and Price Analysis; Industrial Organization; C22; Q11; Q18.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24624
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Estimating the Market Effect of a Food Scare: The Case of Genetically Modified StarLink Corn AgEcon
Carter, Colin A.; Smith, Aaron D..
Genetic modification of crops has revolutionized food production, but it remains controversial due to food safety and environmental concerns. A recent food safety scare provides a natural experiment on the corn market's willingness to accept unapproved genetically modified organisms. In 2000, a genetically modified corn variety called StarLink was discovered in the food-corn supply, even though it was not approved for human consumption. To estimate the price impact of this event, we develop the relative price of a substitute method, which applies not only to the StarLink event but also to rare events in other markets. We apply this method to measure the price impact of the StarLink contamination on the U.S. corn market. We find that the contamination led...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Q11; Q18; C22.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25447
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
DER TÜRKISCHE TOMATENSEKTOR – REGIONALE GESICHTSPUNKTE UND RÄUMLICHE MARKTINTEGRATION AgEcon
Weitzel, Enno-Burghard; Keskin, Gulsen; Brosig, Stephan.
Tomatoes have the largest share among fruits and vegetables, which add substantially to the gross agricultural product in Turkey. We describe the structure and development of this sector from the year 1990 onwards, covering farms in primal production, trade facilities, processing firms, and marketing channels. An analysis of retail prices for table tomatoes in 22 provinces and their dynamics follows. Finally we employ a threshold vector error-correction model to analyse integration among the markets for table tomatoes in the presence of transaction costs. The results show a ring of integrated provinces along the coasts of Turkey, while the interior provinces are rather separated. In some cases price transmission only occurs when deviations from an...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Gemüse; Tomaten; Türkei; Marktintegration; Fehlerkorrekturmodell; Tomatoes; Turkey; Spatial market integration.; Agribusiness; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use; Marketing; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Q11; Q13; C22; L11.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91910
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Relationship between Trade Liberalisation, Growth and Balance of Payments in Developing Countries: An Econometric Study AgEcon
Parikh, Ashok.
The objectives of this paper are to study the impact of liberalisation on trade deficits and current accounts of developing countries. It is expected that trade liberalisation would promote economic growth from the supply side by leading to a more efficient use of resources, by encouraging competition, and by increasing the flow of ideas and knowledge across national boundaries. Trade liberalisation could lead to faster import growth than export growth and hence the supply side benefits may be offset by the unsustainable balance of payments position. This study uses panel data of 42 countries (both time-series and cross-section dimension) to estimate the effect of trade liberalisation and growth on trade balance while controlling for other factors such as...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Panel data; Income Terms of Trade; Dynamic Optimisation; Dynamic panel model; International Relations/Trade; C21; C22; C23; F13; F14; F32.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/26212
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
World Soybean Demand: An Elasticity Analysis and Long-Term Projections AgEcon
Masuda, Tadayoshi; Goldsmith, Peter D..
Soybeans are one of the most valuable crops in the world and are characterized by their multi-purpose uses: food, feed, fuel and other industrial usages such as paint, inks, and plastics. Out of 183.9 million tons of world supply/demand of soybeans in 2001-03 year, about 10% of them were directly consumed as food (5.9%) or feed (3.8%) but 84.2% of them were crushed into soyoil and soymeal. Soyoil is mainly processed to vegetable oil for human consumption and recently used as a biodiesel feedstock. Soymeal is used not only as feed for livestock (especially for pork and poultry due to its low fiber level) and aquaculture, but also as a good source of protein for the human diet in a variety of forms in different cultures. This paper analyzes the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Soybean demand; Elasticity; Error correction mechanism (ECM); Projection; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing; C22; C53; Q11.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49490
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Vertical Price Transmission between Wheat and Flour in Ukraine: A Markov-Switching Vector Error Correction Approach AgEcon
Brümmer, Bernhard; von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan; Zorya, Sergiy.
The analysis of price transmission in transition countries is complicated by their often unstable policy environments. We utilise a Markov-switching vector error correction model (MSVECM) to allow for multiple regime shifts in the price relationship between wheat and wheat flour in Ukraine from June 2000 to November 2004. The analysis reveals four regimes. The observed temporal pattern of these regimes corresponds well to political and economic events in Ukraine. In particular, we find a strong link between a 'high uncertainty' regime and discretionary policy interventions in 2003, confirming that ad hoc policy responses to fluctuations in Ukrainian grain harvests have tended to increase rather than reduce instability. The Markov-switching VECM is shown to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Markov-switching vector error correction model; Vertical price transmission; Regime shifts; Grain policies; Ukraine; Industrial Organization; C22; Q11; Q18.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25575
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Potenciais benefícios do sistema de rastreabilidade animal dos EUA para o setor de carnes americano AgEcon
Resende Filho, Moises de Andrade.
This article investigates the potential gains to the U.S. meat sector with the implantation of the U.S. National Animal Identification System (NAIS). The focus is on the effect that the NAIS could have on consumers’ risk perception about eating meat. System of demand equations are estimated using time series of food safety indexes variables used as proxies for consumers’ reactions to news on meat safety issues. The series of food safety indexes are built on the basis of the number of food safety news reported in top U.S. newspapers. Using the preferred model estimates, three scenarios are constructed in order to account for the cases wherein the NAIS is not implemented, is implemented only for beef and is implemented for beef and pork. The differences in...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Animal identification system; Food safety; System of demand equations; Meat industry; USA.; Agribusiness; C22; Q11; Q13; Q18..
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61199
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Demand Analysis for Fish in Tunisia: An Empirical Approach AgEcon
Dhehibi, Boubaker; Lachaal, Lassaad; Chebil, Ali.
The aim of this paper is to analyze and determine the factors influencing fish demand in Tunisia during the 1975-2000 period. A Box-Cox transformation is used to select the appropriate functional form between linear and double-log models. Results indicate that the double-log form fits better the data and is used for the empirical analysis. Calculated elasticities from static model show that fish demand is price-inelastic and that fish can be considered as a normal good. However, the dynamic analysis using Houthakker-Taylor model suggests that fish consumption in Tunisia depends on consumers psychological-buying habits. Finally, the values of the short and the long-run elasticities indicate that per capita consumption of fish in Tunisia is growing, but at a...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Fish demand; Box-Cox transformation; Double-log model; Tunisia; Demand and Price Analysis; D12; C22.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24715
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Evolving Seasonal Pattern of Tenerife Tomato Exports AgEcon
Rodriguez, Gloria Martin; Hernandez, Jose Juan Caceres.
The aim of this paper is to analyse the long term movements and, particularly, the seasonal pattern of Tenerife (Canary Islands) tomato exports throughout the last two decades. In order to observe more clearly the exporter's decisions, weekly data has been used. The instabilities in the long term behaviour of the series and the specific nature of the seasonal pattern should be taken into account in order to capture the performance of exports accurately. Thus, this analysis is carried out inside the frame delimited by the structural approach to time series and the usefulness of evolving splines as a tool capable of modelling seasonal variations in which either the period or the magnitude of the fluctuations do not remain the same over time is shown.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Tenerife tomato exports; Weekly data; Structural models; Evolving splines; International Relations/Trade; C22; Q17.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24501
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Testing forward exchange rate unbiasedness efficiently: A semiparametric approach AgEcon
Hodgson, Douglas J.; Linton, Oliver; Vorkink, Keith.
We apply semiparametric efficient estimation procedures for a seemingly unrelated regression model where the multivariate error density is elliptically symmetric to study the efficiency of the foreign exchange market. We consider both cointegrating regressions and standard stationary regressions. The elliptical symmetry assumption allows us to avoid the curse of dimensionality problem that typically arises in multivariate semiparametric estimation procedures, because the multivariate elliptically symmetric density function can be written as a function of a scalar transformation of the observed multivariate data. We test the unbiasedness hypothesis on both weekly and daily exchange rate data and strongly reject unbiasedness at the weekly horizon, but fail...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Forward exchange market; Time series econometrics; Nonparametric statistics; C22.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43548
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
The Asymmetric Cycling of U.S. Soybeans and Brazilian Coffee Prices: An Opportunity for Improved Forecasting and Understanding of Price Behavior AgEcon
Ramirez, Octavio A..
The behavior of agricultural commodity markets can arguably result in markedly asymmetric price cycles, that is, downward cycles of substantially different length and breadth than upward cycles. This study assesses whether asymmetric-cycle models can enhance the understanding of the dynamics and provide for a better forecasting of U.S. soybeans and Brazilian coffee prices. The forecasts from asymmetric cycle models are found to be substantially mode precise than those obtained from standard autoregressive models. The asymmetric cycle models also provide useful insights on the markedly different dynamics of the upward versus the downward cycles exhibited by the prices of these two commodities.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Asymmetric cycles; Coffee prices; Soybean prices; Threshold autoregressive models; Time series forecasting; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty; C22; C53.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48760
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
“Google it!” Forecasting the US Unemployment Rate with a Google Job Search index AgEcon
D’Amuri, Francesco; Marcucci, Juri.
We suggest the use of an Internet job-search indicator (the Google Index, GI) as the best leading indicator to predict the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our preferred leading indicator (GI), the more standard initial claims or combinations of both. We find that models augmented with the GI outperform the traditional ones in predicting the monthly unemployment rate, even in most state-level forecasts and in comparison with the Survey of Professional Forecasters.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Google Econometrics; Forecast Comparison; Keyword search; US Unemployment; Time Series Models; Labor and Human Capital; C22; C53; E27; E37; J60; J64.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/60680
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Analysis of Multiple Structural Breaks in Relative Farm Prices in the United States, 1913-2003 AgEcon
Jin, Hyun Joung; Miljkovic, Dragan.
We analyze the movement of farm prices relative to other commodity prices in the period 1913:1-2003:12, investigating the number and time of structural breaks and discussing likely causes of structural breaks in the relative farm prices. Bai and Perron's (1998, 2003) multiple structural change test with a dynamic programming algorithm is used. This test makes it possible to have an efficient computation of the estimates of the break points as global minimizers of the sum of squared residuals. We find 6 structural breaks when we consider only the mean process and 2 breaks when we consider the mean and autoregressive processes. Possible causes for these breaks are discussed.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Farm Prices; Other Commodity Prices; Multiple Structural Breaks; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Q11; C22.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19118
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
On the Dynamic Relationship between U.S. Farm Income and Macroeconomic Variables AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
This study examines the short- and long-run effects of changes in macroeconomic variables—agricultural commodity prices, interest rates and exchange rates—on the U.S. farm income. For this purpose, we adopt an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration with quarterly data for 1989–2008. Results show that the exchange rate plays a crucial role in determining the long-run behavior of U.S. farm income, but has little effect in the short-run. We also find that the commodity price and interest rate have been significant determinants of U.S. farm income in both the short- and long-run over the past two decades.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Autoregressive distributed lag model; Commodity price; Exchange rate; Farm income; Interest rate; Long-run; Short-run; Agribusiness; Consumer/Household Economics; Farm Management; Financial Economics; C22; E23; Q11.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53097
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Adjustment is Much Slower than You Think AgEcon
Caballero, Ricardo J.; Engel, Eduardo M.R.A..
In most instances, the dynamic response of monetary and other policies to shocks is infrequent and lumpy. The same holds for the microeconomic response of some of the most important economic variables, such as investment, labor demand, and prices. We show that the standard practice of estimating the speed of adjustment of such variables with partial-adjustment ARMA procedures substantially overestimates this speed. For example, for the target federal funds rate, we find that the actual response to shocks is less than half as fast as the estimated response. For investment, labor demand and prices, the speed of adjustment inferred from aggregates of a small number of agents is likely to be close to instantaneous. While aggregating across microeconomic units...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Speed of adjustment; Discrete adjustment; Lumpy adjustment; Aggregation; Calvo model; ARMA process; Partial adjustment; Expected response time; Monetary policy; Investment; Labor demand; Sticky prices; Idiosyncratic shocks; Impulse response function; Wold representation; Time-to-build; Financial Economics; C22; C43; D2; E2; E5.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28419
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
China's Meat Consumption: An Income Elasticity Analysis and Long-Term Projections AgEcon
Masuda, Tadayoshi; Goldsmith, Peter D..
Cover, Poster, and Materials
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Bennett's law; China; Meat consumption; Income elasticity; Vector error correction model (VECM); Projection; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; C22; Q11; Q13.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61601
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
The U.S. Agricultural Sector and the Macroeconomy AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
The effects of the exchange rate, the U.S. agricultural price, the domestic income, and the interest rate on the U.S. net farm income are investigated in a cointegration framework. For this purpose, the Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration (FM-OLS) procedure is applied to annual data for the period 1957–2008. Results suggest that there exists the long-run equilibrium relationship between the U.S. net farm income and the selected macroeconomic variables. We also find that the exchange rate and U.S. agricultural price are more important than other variables in determining the U.S. net farm income.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural price; Exchange rate; Gross domestic product; Interest rate; Net farm income; Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration technique; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Land Economics/Use; Production Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C22; E23; Q11.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92580
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Food Pricing Policy and Rural Poverty: Insights from Maize in Kenya AgEcon
Mghenyi, Elliot W.; Jayne, Thomas S..
This study estimates the effects on poverty resulting from maize price changes associated with the operations of the maize marketing board in Kenya. We consider both supply and demand responses and the accompanying adjustments in rural labor markets in estimating a second order approximation to equilibrium income changes. We then use stochastic dominance techniques to generate poverty rankings between the distribution of income with the effects of the government marketing operations and the distribution of counterfactual incomes. This approach effectively addresses concerns regarding the sensitivity of poverty estimates to the type of poverty measure used. Results indicate that the price-elevating effects of government maize marketing operations have...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Kenya; Income transfers; Maize policy; Crop Production/Industries; Food Security and Poverty; C22; O2; Q13; Q18.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25466
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Price transmission in the Spanish bovine sector: the BSE effect AgEcon
Hassouneh, Islam; Serra, Teresa; Gil, Jose Maria.
A regime-switching vector error correction model is applied to monthly price data to assess the impact of BSE outbreaks on price relationships and patterns of transmission among farm and retail markets for bovine in Spain. To evaluate the degree to which price transmission is affected by BSE food scares, a BSE food scare index is developed and used to determine regime-switching. Results suggest that BSE scares affect beef producers and retailers differently. Consumer prices are found to be weakly exogenous and not found to react to BSE scares, while producer prices conversely adjusted. The magnitude of the adjustment is found to depend on the magnitude of the BSE scare.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: BSE crisis; Price transmission; Regime-switching; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Political Economy; Production Economics; C22; C32.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50121
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
The Proportion of the Seasonal Period as a Season Index in Weekly Agricultural Data AgEcon
Martin-Rodriguez, Gloria; Caceres-Hernandez, Jose Juan.
In this paper a seasonal model is proposed to deal with weekly agricultural seasonal patterns in which neither the length of the seasonal period nor the magnitude of the seasonal effects remain the same over time. To model this heterogeneous seasonal behaviour, the seasonal effect at a season is defined as a function of the proportion of the length of the seasonal period elapsed up to this season, and the seasonal pattern is modelled by means of evolving splines. The methodology is illustrated for weekly Canary tomato prices.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Weekly data; Heterogeneous seasonal patterns; Splines; Demand and Price Analysis; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C22; Q17.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49956
Registros recuperados: 62
Primeira ... 1234 ... Última
 

Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária - Embrapa
Todos os direitos reservados, conforme Lei n° 9.610
Política de Privacidade
Área restrita

Embrapa
Parque Estação Biológica - PqEB s/n°
Brasília, DF - Brasil - CEP 70770-901
Fone: (61) 3448-4433 - Fax: (61) 3448-4890 / 3448-4891 SAC: https://www.embrapa.br/fale-conosco

Valid HTML 4.01 Transitional