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Defining Conservation Priorities Using Fragmentation Forecasts Ecology and Society
Wear, David; U.S. Forest Service; dwear@fs.fed.us; Pye, John; U.S. Forest Service; jpye@fs.fed.us; Riitters, Kurt; U.S. Forest Service; kriiitters@fs.fed.us.
Methods are developed for forecasting the effects of population and economic growth on the distribution of interior forest habitat. An application to the southeastern United States shows that models provide significant explanatory power with regard to the observed distribution of interior forest. Estimates for economic and biophysical variables are significant and consistent with theory. Forecasts of interior forest based on the population and economic growth projected for the region are displayed by ecological section and province and by metropolitan statistical area (MSA). Loss of interior forests is expected to be especially high in certain ecological sections, including the southern Appalachian Piedmont in North and South Carolina, the Gulf prairies...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Fragmentation; Interior forest; Land use forecasts; North Carolina; South Carolina; Florida; Texas.
Ano: 2004
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