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Surprise and Opportunity for Learning in Grand Canyon: the Glen Canyon Dam Adaptive Management Program Ecology and Society
Melis, Theodore S; U.S. Geological Survey, Southwest Biological Science Center, Grand Canyon Monitoring and Research Center; tmelis@usgs.gov; Walters, Carl J; Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia; c.walters@fisheries.ubc.ca; Korman, Josh; Ecometric Research Inc.; jkorman@ecometric.com.
With a focus on resources of the Colorado River ecosystem below Glen Canyon Dam, the Glen Canyon Dam Adaptive Management Program has included a variety of experimental policy tests, ranging from manipulation of water releases from the dam to removal of non-native fish within Grand Canyon National Park. None of these field-scale experiments has yet produced unambiguous results in terms of management prescriptions. But there has been adaptive learning, mostly from unanticipated or surprising resource responses relative to predictions from ecosystem modeling. Surprise learning opportunities may often be viewed with dismay by some stakeholders who might not be clear about the purpose of science and modeling in adaptive management. However, the experimental...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Insight Palavras-chave: Adaptive management; Colorado River; Ecosystem modeling; Glen Canyon Dam; Grand Canyon; High-flow experiments; Humpback chub; Rainbow trout; Surprise learning.
Ano: 2015
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