Data/hora: 11/06/2024 03:42:35

Provedor de dados: | Research in Agricultural & Applied Economics (AgEcon Searh)
País: | United States
Título: | ESTIMATING PRICE VARIABILITY IN AGRICULTURE: IMPLICATIONS FOR DECISION MAKERS
Autores: | Ray,   Daryll E.; Richardson,   James W.; Torre Ugarte,   Daniel de la; Tiller,   Kelly.
Data: | 2003-02-04
Ano: | 1998
Palavras-chave: | POLYSYS model; Price variability; Stochastic simulation; Crop Production/Industries.
Resumo: | Using a stochastic version of the POLYSYS modeling framework, an examination of projected variability in agricultural prices, supply, demand, stocks, and incomes is conducted for corn, wheat, soybeans, and cotton during the 1998-2006 period. Increased planting flexibility introduced in the 1996 farm bill results in projections of significantly higher planted acreage variability compared to recent historical levels. Variability of ending stocks and stock-to-use ratios is projected to be higher for corn and soybeans and lower for wheat and cotton compared to the 1986-96 period. Significantly higher variability is projected for corn prices, with wheat and soybean prices also being more variable. No significant change in cotton price variability is projected.
Tipo: | Journal Article
Idioma: | Inglês

Identificador:

7020

http://purl.umn.edu/15100

Editor: | AgEcon Search
Relação: | Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics&gt;Volume 30, Number 01, July 1998

Formato:

13

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