Data/hora: 06/06/2024 00:35:40

Provedor de dados: | 7
País: | Canada
Título: | Ecological and Social Dynamics in Simple Models of Ecosystem Management
Autores: | Carpenter, Stephen R; University of Wisconsin-Madison; srcarpen@wisc.edu; Brock, William; University of Wisconsin; brock@macc.wisc.edu; Hanson, Paul; University of Wisconsin; pchanson@facstaff.wisc.edu.
Data: | 1999-08-06
Ano: | 1999
Palavras-chave: | Adaptive agent models; Adaptive management; Bounded rationality; Ecological economics; Ecosystem oscillations; Integrated models; Lake eutrophication; Nonpoint pollution; Phosphorus cycles; Simulation models; Social-natural systems.
Resumo: | Simulation models were developed to explore and illustrate dynamics of socioecological systems. The ecosystem is a lake subject to phosphorus pollution. Phosphorus flows from agriculture to upland soils, to surface waters, where it cycles between water and sediments. The ecosystem is multistable, and moves among domains of attraction depending on the history of pollutant inputs. The alternative states yield different economic benefits. Agents form expectations about ecosystem dynamics, markets, and/or the actions of managers, and choose levels of pollutant inputs accordingly. Agents have heterogeneous beliefs and/or access to information. Their aggregate behavior determines the total rate of pollutant input. As the ecosystem changes, agents update their beliefs and expectations about the world they co-create, and modify their actions accordingly. For a wide range of scenarios, we observe irregular oscillations among ecosystem states and patterns of agent behavior. These oscillations resemble some features of the adaptive cycle of panarchy theory.
Tipo: | Peer-Reviewed Reports
Idioma: | Inglês
Identificador: | vol3/iss2/art4/
Editor: | Resilience Alliance
Formato: | text/html
Fonte: | Ecology and Society; Vol. 3, No. 2 (1999)