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Provedor de dados:  AgEcon
País:  United States
Título:  Modeling Texas Dryland Cotton Yields, With Application to Crop Insurance Actuarial Rating
Autores:  Chen, Shu-Ling
Miranda, Mario J.
Data:  2008-12-01
Ano:  2008
Palavras-chave:  Actuarial rating
Adverse selection
Cotton
Crop insurance
Group risk plan
Regime-switching
Yield distribution
Agribusiness
Crop Production/Industries
Farm Management
Q10
Q14
Q18
Resumo:  Texas dryland upland cotton yields have historically exhibited greater variation and more distributional irregularities than the yields of other crops, raising concerns that conventional parametric distribution models may generate biased or otherwise inaccurate crop insurance premium rate estimates. Here, we formulate and estimate regime-switching models for Texas dryland cotton yields in which the distribution of yield is conditioned on local drought conditions. Our results indicate that drought-conditioned regime-switching models provide a better fit to Texas county-level dryland cotton yields than conventional parametric distribution models. They do not, however, generate significantly different Group Risk Plan crop insurance premium rate estimates.
Tipo:  Journal Article
Idioma:  Inglês
Identificador:  http://purl.umn.edu/45522
Relação:  Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics>Volume 40, Number 01, April 2008
JAAE
Formato:  14
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