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Provedor de dados:  AgEcon
País:  United States
Título:  When ENSO Reigns, It Pours: Climate Forecasts in Flood Planning
Autores:  Wernstedt, Kris
Hersh, Robert
Data:  2005-10-26
Ano:  2001
Palavras-chave:  Flooding
Water resources planning
Water policy
Water management
Resource /Energy Economics and Policy
Resumo:  Recent scientific and technical advances have increased the potential use of long-term seasonal climate forecasts for improving water resource management. This paper examines the role that forecasts, in particular those based on the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, can play in flood planning in the Pacific Northwest. While strong evidence of an association between ENSO signals and flooding in the region exists, this association is open to more than one interpretation depending on: a) the metric used to test the strength of the association; b) the definition of critical flood events; c) site-specific features of watersheds; and d) the characteristics of flood management institutions. A better understanding and appreciation of such ambiguities, both institutional and statistical, is needed to facilitate the use of climate forecast information for flood planning and response.
Tipo:  Working or Discussion Paper
Idioma:  Inglês
Identificador:  18582
Editor:  AgEcon Search
Relação:  Resources for the Future>Discussion Papers
Discussion Paper 01-56
Formato:  37


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