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Improving Feeder Cattle Basis Forecasts AgEcon
Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Swanser, Kole; Kastens, Terry L.; Mintert, James R.; Crosby, Brett.
Forecasting feeder cattle basis has long been difficult because of the myriad factors that influence basis, including input and output prices and lot characteristics. This research draws upon knowledge of the various factors that influence cash feeder cattle prices to develop hedonic feeder cattle basis models. Out-of-sample test results provide strong evidence that these hedonic models predict basis more accurately than the multi-year average forecasting approach commonly used by livestock producers. Results from this research were used to develop a web tool funded by USDA's Risk Management Agency (BeefBasis.com) that producers can use to forecast and understand feeder cattle basis.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Basis; Basis forecasts; Cattle prices; Feeder cattle; Hedging; Price risk management; Agricultural Finance; Demand and Price Analysis; Farm Management; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42302
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