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Dynamic Optimization of Area Revenue Insurance and Consumption Smoothing AgEcon
Lin, Shanshan; Mullen, Jeffrey D.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
This study examines the interaction between insurance, credit and liquidity constraints using a stochastic dynamic model. A risk averse farmer whose objective is to manage both production and market risk is assumed to maximize the expected utility of life-time consumption by using both area revenue (AR) insurance and consumption smoothing subject to a credit constraint. The dynamic programming is coded in MATLAB using DDPSOLVE algorithm (Appendix a). DSSAT crop simulation model is used to determine optimal irrigation strategy and to simulate farm level yield. A Bayesian Model is used to estimate expected county-level revenue. The approach and results are illustrated via a numerical example using county level data from Mitchell County in Georgia. Results...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Area Revenue Insurance; Consumption Smoothing; Credit Risk; Dynamic Optimization; Bayesian Modeling; Agricultural Finance; Farm Management; Financial Economics.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61419
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ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL EVALUATION OF DAIRY MANURE UTILIZATION FOR YEAR ROUND CROP PRODUCTION AgEcon
Somda, Zana C.; Allison, John R.; Ely, L.O.; Newton, G.L.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
The production of excess on-farm manure is placing continuous pressures on dairy producers to meet or exceed standards for environmental regulations while maintaining profitability and competitiveness. Evaluation of the effects of recycling nutrients on the profitability of the whole farm enterprise is important for a dairy operation. The objective of this study was to develop a linear programming model that evaluates the economic performance of a dairy operation considering production and environmental constraints. The main goal was to maximize profits from the dairy enterprise considering milk production, manure production, crop production while maintaining a balance of nutrients in the system. Results from simulation analyses showed greater effects...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35167
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Economic Comparisons of Alternative and Conventional Production Technologies for Eggplant in Southern Georgia AgEcon
Brunson, Kathryn E.; Stark, C. Robert, Jr.; Wetzstein, Michael E.; Phatak, Sharad C..
Environmental concerns about pesticide usage in traditional production systems are prompting vegetable producers to consider alternative systems. Research results from a multi-year study on eggplant in southern Georgia compare two alternative production technologies to the conventional rye cover crop technology. Alternative technologies utilize beneficial insect principles as substitutes for conventional pesticide controls. Using field data, eggplant production budgets are developed to generate net return estimates under each system. Cost reductions achieved by using alternative technologies are not sufficient to offset the reduced yields and returns generated from these technologies. Cash input requirements for alternative systems suggest potential for...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Alternative systems; Budgets; Eggplant; Expected value; Limited resource; Stochastic dominance; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Production Economics.
Ano: 1995 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90373
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ECONOMIC RETURNS TO THE BOLL WEEVIL ERADICATION PROGRAM AgEcon
Ahouissoussi, Nicolas B.C.; Wetzstein, Michael E.; Duffy, Patricia A..
The economic viability of the Boll Weevil Eradication program in Alabama, Florida, and Georgia is assessed based on a five-year survey of producers. Results indicate the program increases yield 100 pounds per acre. This implies a 19 percent internal rate of return for producers over a ten year period.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cotton; Pest management; Regional pest control; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1993 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15043
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ECONOMIC RISK EFFICIENCY OF BOLL WEEVIL ERADICATION AgEcon
Szmedra, Philip I.; McClendon, Ronald W.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
The purpose of this study was to determine the economic risk efficiency of implementing a boll weevil (Anthonomus grandis [Boheman]) eradication (BWE) program in cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) producing regions of the Mississippi Delta. Alternative producer pest management practices and program cost sharing were incorporated into a biophysical cotton simulation model. Participation in a BWE program along with strict adherence to Cooperative Extension Service pest management guidelines proved to be the risk efficient practice.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1991 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30288
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Effects of the Boll Weevil Eradication Program on Alabama Cotton Farms AgEcon
Duffy, Patricia A.; Cain, Danny L.; Young, George J.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Five-year, 0-1 mixed integer programming models of two representative Alabama farms were developed for analyzing the effects of the Boll Weevil Eradication (BWE) program on farm program participation and crop-mix decisions by Alabama cotton farmers. In previous research the BWE program was found to increase yields by approximately 100 pounds per acre in Georgia and southern Alabama where the program has been in effect for several years. In this study, these increased yields are shown to be an important factor contributing to the expanded cotton acreage in southern Alabama. For northern Alabama, gains to producers are also possible, but not to the extent realized in the southern part of the state.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Boll Weevil Eradication program; Cotton farms; Decision models; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/62340
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EFFICIENCY CRITERIA AND RISK AVERSION: AN EMPIRICAL EVALUATION AgEcon
Wetzstein, Michael E.; Szmedra, Philip I.; McClendon, Ronald W.; Edwards, David M..
A conceptual link among mean-variance (EV), stochastic dominance (SD), and mean-risk (ET), and Gini mean difference (EG) is established for determining risk efficient decision sets. The theoretical relations among the various efficiency criteria are then empirically demonstrated with a soybean and wheat double-crop simulation model. Empirical results associated with extended Gini mean difference (EEG) and extended mean-absolute Gini (EET) for risk analysis are encouraging.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1988 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29716
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Entry of Alternative Fuels in a Volatile U.S. Gasoline Market AgEcon
Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Duffield, James A.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
The hypothesis underlying this analysis is that in the presence of volatile gasoline prices competitive market forces will yield alternative, less volatile fuels as substitutes. A real-option pricing approach was employed for this analysis by modeling investment under uncertainty for the case of comparing stochastic prices of substitute commodities. Based on real options, threshold decision rules were developed for the adoption of portfolio fuels such as ethanol and conventional gasoline blends. Considering this portfolio effect, the benefit-to-cost ratios are above four for the alternative blends under varying discount rates and time horizons. This provides a strong indication that consumer demand exists for these portfolio fuels. Competitive markets will...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19182
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Entry of Alternative Fuels in a Volatile U.S. Gasoline Market AgEcon
Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Duffield, James A.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Dramatic increases in levels and volatility of gasoline prices observed in recent years may create market incentives for adoption of alternative fuels characterized by lower price volatility. This hypothesis is investigated by applying the real-options pricing approach to develop optimal thresholds for switching from conventional gasoline to alternative fuels such as ethanol blends. The main result of the paper is that given the historical price patterns of conventional gasoline and ethanol, switching to ethanol blends is an economically sound decision provided this does not decrease efficiency of the vehicle. Analysis of data subsamples during the periods of higher volatility of gasoline prices (Gulf War and War on Terrorism) provides even stronger...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Alternative fuels; Decision making under uncertainty; Ethanol; Price volatility; Real options; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10144
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Environmental Mechanism Designs in a New Order of Regulatory Capitalism AgEcon
Mullen, Jeffrey D.; Centner, Terence J.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Complexity of environmental programs is most apparent with information asymmetries, making the design of efficient mechanisms particularly challenging. As developed theoretically in this paper, a new regulatory capitalism paradigm mating voluntary agreements with environmental education can produce outcomes at least as efficient as voluntary agreements alone. Such a design exploits a key difference between voluntary agreements versus educational programs in terms of their impact on agents' incentive compatibilities. Specifically, in a principal-agent model, voluntary agreements are associated with an incentive-compatibility constraint, whereas educational programs are not. The efficient bundle will likely consist of a set of education programs and...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Command and control; Environmental education; Environmental policy; Voluntary agreements; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9357
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Estimating China’s Energy and Environmental Productivity Efficiency: A Parametric Hyperbolic Distance Function Approach AgEcon
Zhang, Zibin; Jin, Xiangrong; Dong, Xuebing; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Since the beginning of this century, China’s annual GDP growth is over 9%. This growth is fueled by large increases in energy consumption, led by a coal-dominated energy structure, and associated with higher sulfur dioxide emissions and industry dust. In 2008, China accounted for over 17% of the world’s total primary energy consumption and accounts for nearly three-quarters of global energy growth. At an average annual energy growth rate over 12% since 2000, China’s future share of primary energy consumption will continue to increase. A consequence of this growth is China becoming the global leader in sulfur and carbon dioxide emissions. To deal with these energy and environmental challenges, the government set energy saving and pollution reduction...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental productivity efficiency; Hyperbolic distance function; China's energy policy; Environmental Economics and Policy; Productivity Analysis; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/60918
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EVALUATION OF VARIOUS PEST-MANAGEMENT CHARACTERISTICS AgEcon
Smith, G. Scott; Wetzstein, Michael E.; Douce, G. Keith.
Considering pest management in terms of a set of technology characteristics allows an investigation of various pest-management characteristics and how they relate to a total pest-management package. Employing restricted and unrestricted least squares in this investigation indicates the unique impact individual pest-management characteristics exert on net returns. A Stein-rule estimator is also employed in assessing this impact.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1987 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30196
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Farm Profits from Stochastic and On-Farm Yields of Bt and Non-Bt Cotton in the Mississippi Delta AgEcon
Banerjee, Swagata (Ban); Martin, Steven W.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Copy on AgEcon Search replaced with a revised copy 2/14/06.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Bt cotton; Refuge; Returns; Risk; Simulated yield; Spray; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35653
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Feasible Fumigant-Herbicide System Alternatives to Methyl Bromide for Bell Pepper Producers AgEcon
Byrd, Mark M.; Escalante, Cesar L.; Fonsah, Esendugue Greg; Wetzstein, Michael E..
With the current methyl bromide (MeBr) system for producing Georgia’s peppers being phased out, alternative fumigant and herbicide systems for producers are analyzed. Using stochastic dominance analyses, two alternatives exceeding MeBr’s yield and financial efficiency were identified. A programming model, incorporating simulation-optimization techniques, generated optimal production and financial plans. Results indicate potential economic viability under alternative systems vis-à-vis the traditional MeBr production system. The Telone II and Chloropicrin combination with Metham potassium may offer a viable substitute for MeBr.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Fumigant; Herbicide; Methyl bromide; Multi-period programming; Optimization; Simulation; Stochastic dominance; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/62283
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Forecasting Irrigation Water Demand: A Case Study on the Flint River Basin in Georgia AgEcon
Banerjee, Swagata (Ban); Tareen, Irfan Y.; Gunter, Lewell F.; Bramblett, Jimmy; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Southeast drought conditions have accentuated the demand for irrigation in the face of restricted water supply. For allocating this supply, Georgia held an auction for withdrawing irrigated acreage. This auction withdrew 33,000 acres from irrigation, resulting in a physical estimate of a 399 acre-feet daily increase in water flow. The actual reduction is driven by crop distributional changes on the basis of economic substitution and expansion effects. In contrast to the physical estimates, an econometric model that considers these effects is developed. The differences between the physical and econometric models result in an increase in the estimate of water savings of around 19% to 24%.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Acreage response; Crop distribution; Irrigated acreage; Irrigation; Slippage; Water demand; Water saving; Q12; Q24.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37053
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GEORGIA COTTON ACREAGE RESPONSE TO THE BOLL WEEVIL ERADICATION PROGRAM AgEcon
Tribble, Camille M.; McIntosh, Christopher S.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
An adaptive regression model is employed for estimating pre-and post-boll weevil eradication cotton-acreage response. Results indicate cotton acreage becoming more inelastic to own- and cross-price changes. As a result of this shift in acreage response and yield increases from eradication, net producer benefits on average are $88.73 per acre.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Adaptive regression; Pest eradication; Producer surplus; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15151
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Irreversibility Investment Decisions with Yield and Price Uncertainty AgEcon
Price, T. Jeffrey; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Farm Management.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35864
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IRREVERSIBLE INVESTMENT DECISIONS IN PERENNIAL CROPS WITH YIELD AND PRICE UNCERTAINTY AgEcon
Price, T. Jeffrey; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Optimal entry and exit thresholds for Georgia commercial peach production are calculated when both price and yield follow a Brownian motion process. The thresholds are based on an irreversible sunk-cost investment model, where revenue from peach production is affected by the timing of when to enter production. Results indicate stability in Georgia peach production, with growers who are currently producing peaches remaining in production and potential peach growers delaying investment unless they have the ability of earning enhanced returns.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30874
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Measuring the Impact of Externalities on College of Agriculture Teaching Evaluations AgEcon
Fleming, Ronald A.; Bazen, Ernest F.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Student evaluation of teaching (SET) is employed as an aid in improving instruction and determining faculty teaching effectiveness. However, economic theory indicates the existence of externalities in SET scores that directly influence their interpretation. As a test of this existence, a multinomial-choice, ordered data estimation procedure is employed to identify course externalities influencing SET. These externalities include student class standing, required courses, class size, days a class meets, class meeting time, classroom location, and classroom design. Results indicate that externalities have a significant impact on teaching evaluations. Thus, failure to internalize these externalities will lead to biases in SET and questionable use of SET...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Externalities; Ordered probit; SET; Teaching evaluation; A20; A22; I21.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43486
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New relationships: ethanol, corn, and gasoline volatility AgEcon
Zhang, Zibin; Wetzstein, Michael E..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48718
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