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| Prestemon, Jeffrey P.; Zhu, Shushuai; Turner, James A.; Buongiorno, Joseph; Li, Ruhong. |
| Asian gypsy and nun moth introductions into the United States, possibly arriving on imported Siberian coniferous logs, threaten domestic forests and product markets and could have global market consequences. We simulate, using the Global Forest Products Model (a spatial equilibrium model of the world forest sector), the consequences under current policies of a wide-spread, successful pest invasion, and of plausible trading partner responses to the successful invasion. We find that trade liberalization would have a negligible effect on U.S. imports of Siberian logs and, consequently, on the risk of a pest invasion. But, if it happened, possibly through trade in other commodities, a successful and widespread pest invasion would have large effects on... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Asian gypsy moth; Trade; Invasive species; Welfare; Spatial equilibrium model; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy. |
| Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10188 |
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| Buongiorno, Joseph; Zhang, Dali; Rytkonen, Antti; Zhang, Yibing; Zhu, Shushuai; Tomberlin, David. |
| The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) was developed to upgrade the FAO methodology for forest products outlook projections. Its purpose is to analyze and project the consumption, production, trade, and prices of forest products. The system deals with 180 individual countries, three classes of roundwood, sawnwood, three kinds of panels, three of pulp, waste paper, and three types of paper and paperboard. The system is built on market equilibrium theory, with imperfect foresight. The short-term equilibrium is modeled by price-endogenous linear programming determining production, consumption, trade, and market-clearing prices in any given year, subject to short-term capacities of production. Year to year changes are represented by equations predicting... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
| Ano: 1998 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14478 |
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