Consulta: subjectFacets:"Risk."
Registros recuperados: 6
Data/hora: 26/07/2024 22:41:20

2008 North Dakota Agricultural Outlook: Representative Farms, 2008-2017
Provedor de dados: Research in Agricultural & Applied Economics (AgEcon Searh)
Autores: Taylor,   Richard D.; Koo,   Won W.; Swenson,   Andrew L.
Net farm income for nearly all representative farms in 2017 is projected to be lower than in 2007. Low profit farms, which comprise 20% of the farms in the study, may not have financial resiliency to survive without off-farm income. Commodity prices are expected to fall from current levels, however, the final level is unknown. Two price level scenarios were analyzed. Commodity yields are projected to increase at historical trend-line rates and production expenses are expected to return to normal growth rates after 2009. Debt-to-asset ratios for all farms will decrease slightly throughout the forecast period. Debt-to-asset ratios for the low profit farms are expected to remain near the 0.50 level.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Net farm income; Debt-to-asset ratios; Cropland prices; Land rental rates; Farm operating expenses; Capitalization rate; Risk.; Agribusiness.
Ano: 2008
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42500

2010 North Dakota Agricultural Outlook: Representative Farms, 2010-2019
Provedor de dados: Research in Agricultural & Applied Economics (AgEcon Searh)
Autores: Taylor,   Richard D.; Koo,   Won W.; Swenson,   Andrew L.
Net farm income for most representative farms in 2019 is projected to be lower than in 2009.  Low-profit farms, which comprise 20% of the farms in the study, may not have financial resiliency to survive without off-farm income.  Commodity prices are expected to increase slowly from current levels. Commodity yields are projected to increase at historical trend-line rates and production expenses are expected to return to normal growth rates. Debt-to-asset ratios for all farms except for the low profit farm will decrease slightly throughout the forecast period.  Debt-to-asset ratios for the low-profit farms are expected to increase to about 0.70.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Net farm income; Debt-to-asset ratios; Cropland prices; Land rental rates; Farm operating expenses; Capitalization rate; Risk.; Agribusiness.
Ano: 2010
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92979

DESARROLLANDO ESQUEMAS DE FINANCIAMIENTO PARA EL SECTOR AGRÍCOLA TECNIFICADO Y DE ALTO VALOR AGREGADO
Provedor de dados: Research in Agricultural & Applied Economics (AgEcon Searh)
Autores: Villarreal Gonzalez,   Amado; Celaya Figueroa,   Roberto.
The importance of the horticultural sector in generating employment, the spread of economic and financial resources in the use of supplies and generating foreign income, are undeniable aspects of the kindnesses that has brought the development of this sector. Nevertheless, the feel of the producers, especially the small and medium, is that the access to financing is very limited. Carrying out a work of investigation between the actors of the supply and demand of credit, and analyzing the plans of successful financing in other sectors, the present work designs a more favorable plan of financing where the Horticulture can have access to opportune and sufficient financing through the organization of producers, the constitution of sufficient guarantees and the...
Tipo: Journal Article
Palavras-chave: Financing; Integration; Risk.; Agribusiness.
Ano: 2008
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48821

Integrating risk and uncertainty in PMP models
Provedor de dados: Research in Agricultural & Applied Economics (AgEcon Searh)
Autores: Petsakos,   Athanasios; Rozakis,   Stelios.
Positive Mathematical Programming (PMP) is one of the most commonly used methods of calibrating activity linear programming (LP) models in agriculture. PMP applications published thus far focus on the estimation of a farm’s nonlinear cost or profit function and rely on the recovery of unobserved or implicit information that can explain the initial model’s inability to calibrate. In this paper we use the PMP procedure to calibrate an expected utility model under the assumption that this implicit information can reveal a farmer’s profit expectations and risk attitude. The perfect calibration shows that PMP can be applied not only to LP models, but also to models that incorporate risk and this provides an interesting alternative to the traditional PMP...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: E-V analysis; Expected utility; Farm model; Positive Mathematical Programming; Risk.; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2011
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114762

Prêmio e risco na estocagem do café arábica
Provedor de dados: Research in Agricultural & Applied Economics (AgEcon Searh)
Autores: Aredes,   Alan Figueiredo de; Pereira,   Matheus Wemerson Gomes; Alves,   Marcelo de Castro; Santos,   Maurinho Luiz dos.
The formation of agricultural stock has the important paper of softening the seasonal impacts, lessening the discrepancy among the prices in the harvest and time between harvests, contributing, like this, with the stabilization of the price. In that sense, the present article aimed at to analyze the financial viability in the Arabic stockpiling of coffee in the area of Viçosa -MG, being obtained for that the return and the stockpiling risk for every month of the year. In agreement with the results, the stockpiling of the coffee is a strategy financially viable, being a factor in the elevation of the return and decrease of the risk level, especially in what he/she concerns the stockpiling in the period of 8, 9 and 10 months and the sale of the coffee in...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Coffee; Return; Risk.; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2008
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/96286

Using alterative whole-farm modelling approaches to assess farm enterprise selection, risk and welfare
Provedor de dados: Research in Agricultural & Applied Economics (AgEcon Searh)
Autores: Komarek,   Adam M.; MacAulay,   T. Gordon.
Using an expected mean-variance model the changes in farm enterprise levels and indirect utility were examined under conditions of risk aversion, budget constraints and gross margin variance. An extension of the comparative statics of the expected mean-variance model was adopted by introducing a budget constraint into the constrained optimisation problem. A 10-year expected mean-variance whole-farm model was solved for a farm in the wheat-sheep zone of Australia to provide an empirical example. Results were obtained using no planning horizon (the static model) and then with a five-year rolling planning horizon (the dynamic model). In addition, enterprise levels were constrained to match levels observed on the farm so as to compare incomes between the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Whole-farm modelling; Enterprise selection; Risk.; Farm Management; Q12; C61.
Ano: 2011
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/100574