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Exchange Rate Sensitivity of Fresh Tomatoes Imports from Mexico to the United States AgEcon
Jaramillo-Villanueva, Jose Luis; Sarker, Rakhal.
The agri-food trade between Mexico and the United States grew substantially after the implementation of NAFTA in 1994. While some analysts argue that NAFTA has contributed the most to the dramatic expansion of this trade, others have emphasized the role played by the exchange rate in this process. An attempt is made in this paper to address this issue by quantifying the effects of NAFTA, the Mexico-US exchange rate changes and its volatility on the fresh tomato imports into the United States from Mexico using the maximum likelihood cointegration analysis. The results from the cointegration analysis show that while changes in exchange rate have a positive effect on trade flows, volatility of the exchange rate has a significant negative effect on trade...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Exchange rate volatility; Fresh tomatoes trade; NAFTA; Cointegration analysis and error-correction modelling; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51459
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Exchange Rate Volatility and Bilateral Agricultural Trade Flows: The Case of the United States and OECD Countries AgEcon
Kafle, Kashi R.; Kennedy, P. Lynn.
This study documents the effect of exchange rate volatility and the real exchange rate on bilateral agricultural exports, imports and total trade (exports + imports) flows between the United States and OECD countries. The effect of exchange rate volatility is estimated both separately from and in combination with the real exchange rate. In addition, implementation of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) and use of the Euro as a national currency (Euro) are included as dummy variables and their effects on trade flows are also determined. A panel data set, which contains 28 cross-sections and 1148 observations, is used for bilateral trade flows between the United States and OECD countries from 1970 to 2010. With an empirical model based on a gravity equation, the...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Bilateral agricultural trade; Exchange rate volatility; OECD¬ countries; Gravity equation; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/119736
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Has Exchange Rate Volatility Affected Broiler Trade Flows? AgEcon
Davis, Christopher G.; Karemera, David; Muhammad, Andrew; Wilson, Norbert L.W.; Brooks, Nora L.; Harvey, David J..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Broilers; Exchange rate volatility; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103807
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On Trade Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility and Institutional Quality: The Case of Central European Countries. AgEcon
Ferto, Imre; Fogarasi, Jozsef.
This paper explores the effect of exchange rate volatility and of the institutional quality on international trade flows of transition economies in Central European Countries by applying a gravity model of balance panel between 1999 and 2008. The results show that nominal exchange rate volatility has had a significant negative effect on trade by applying Psuedo- Maximum-Likelihood (PML) estimator method over this period. The institutional quality need to be improved in case of size of government and the quality of regulation. The negative effect of exchange rate volatility on agricultural exports suggests that joining Central European Countries to the euro zone can reduce the negative effects of exchange rate volatility on trade.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International trade; Gravity model; Exchange rate volatility; Institutions; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114351
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On Trade Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility and Institutional Quality: The Case of Central European Countries AgEcon
Ferto, Imre; Fogarasi, Jozsef.
This paper explores the effect of exchange rate volatility and of the institutional quality on international trade flows of transition economies in Central European Countries by applying a gravity model of balance panel between 1999 and 2008. The results show that nominal exchange rate volatility has had a significant negative effect on trade by applying Psuedo-Maximum-Likelihood (PML) estimator method over this period. The institutional quality need to be improved in case of size of government and the quality of regulation. The negative effect of exchange rate volatility on agricultural exports suggests that joining Central European Countries to the euro zone can reduce the negative effects of exchange rate volatility on trade.
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: International trade; Gravity model; Exchange rate volatility; Institutions.; International Relations/Trade; Risk and Uncertainty; G10; F11; O17; Q17; P29.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122510
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The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility upon Foreign Trade of Hungarian Agricultural Products AgEcon
Fogarasi, Jozsef.
This paper takes a new empirical look at the long-standing question of the effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade flows of transition economies in Central Europe by studying the case of Hungarian agricultural exports to their export destination countries between 1999 and 2008. Based on a gravity model that controls for other factors likely to determine bilateral trade, the results show that nominal exchange rate volatility has had a significant positive effect on agricultural trade over this period. This positive effect of exchange rate volatility on agricultural exports suggests that agri-food entrepreneurs are not interested in speeding up the process of joining Hungary to the euro zone.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: International trade; Gravity model; Exchange rate volatility; International Relations/Trade; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/102403
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