Data/hora: 03/06/2024 04:35:25

Provedor de dados: | 31
País: | United States
Título: | When ENSO Reigns, It Pours: Climate Forecasts in Flood Planning
Autores: | Wernstedt,   Kris; Hersh,   Robert.
Data: | 2005-10-26
Ano: | 2001
Palavras-chave: | Flooding; Climate; ENSO; Water resources planning; Water policy; Water management; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Q2.
Resumo: | Recent scientific and technical advances have increased the potential use of long-term seasonal climate forecasts for improving water resource management. This paper examines the role that forecasts, in particular those based on the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, can play in flood planning in the Pacific Northwest. While strong evidence of an association between ENSO signals and flooding in the region exists, this association is open to more than one interpretation depending on: a) the metric used to test the strength of the association; b) the definition of critical flood events; c) site-specific features of watersheds; and d) the characteristics of flood management institutions. A better understanding and appreciation of such ambiguities, both institutional and statistical, is needed to facilitate the use of climate forecast information for flood planning and response.
Tipo: | Working or Discussion Paper
Idioma: | Inglês

Identificador:

18582

http://purl.umn.edu/10603

Editor: | AgEcon Search

Relação:

Resources for the Future&gt;Discussion Papers

Discussion Paper 01-56

Formato:

37

application/pdf