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Provedor de dados:  AgEcon
País:  United States
Título:  The Impact of Global Warming on U.S. Agriculture: An Econometric Analysis of Optimal Growing Conditions
Autores:  Schlenker, Wolfram
Hanemann, W. Michael
Fisher, Anthony C.
Data:  2006-02-06
Ano:  2004
Palavras-chave:  Environmental Economics and Policy
Land Economics/Use
Q1
Q2
C5
Resumo:  We link farmland values to climatic, soil, and socioeconomic variables for counties east of the 100th meridian, the historic boundary of agriculture not primarily dependent on irrigation. Degree days, a non-linear transformation of the climatic variables suggested by agronomic experiments as more relevant to crop yield gives an improved fit and increased robustness. Estimated coefficients are consistent with the experimental results. The model is employed to estimate the potential impacts on farmland values for a range of recent warming scenarios. The predictions are very robust and more than 75% of the counties in our sample show a statistically significant effect, ranging from moderate gains to large losses, with losses in the aggregate that can become quite large under scenarios involving sustained heavy use of fossil fuels.
Tipo:  Working or Discussion Paper
Idioma:  Inglês
Identificador:  19766

http://purl.umn.edu/25094
Editor:  AgEcon Search
Relação:  University of California, Berkeley>Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics>CUDARE Working Papers
CUDARE Working Paper 1003
Formato:  36

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