Consulta: creatorFacets:"Pan,   Suwen"
Registros recuperados: 57
Data/hora: 11/06/2024 03:17:57

The Impacts of U.S. Cotton Programs on the World Market: An Analysis of Brazilian and African WTO Petitions
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Ethridge,   Don E.; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.
Brazil, supported by Australia challenged U.S. cotton programs at the September 2003 meeting of the WTO settlement Body. Brazil complained that U.S. cotton subsidies such as marketing loans, export credits, commodity certificates, direct payments and counter cyclical payments are depressing world prices and are injurious to Brazilian farmers. In addition, the West and Central African Countries (WCA) countries of Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali and Chad have filed a petition with the WTO claiming that they are losing export earnings of 1 billion dollar a year as a result of subsidies by the United States and the European Union (BBMC, 2003). For WCA countries, both production and export of cotton have increased in the last decade but export revenues have declined...
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2004
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53150

The Impact of India's Cotton Yield on U.S. and World Cotton Markets
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.
Cotton is India’s main cash crop. It contributes to the livelihood of 60 million people and accounts for 30 percent of the country’s agricultural domestic product (Barwale et al., 2004). Total cotton acreage in India is estimated at 9 million hectares, the largest in the world (Gandhi, 2006). About 65 percent of cotton production activities are rainfed and subject to the vagaries of weather. Cotton is grown in nine states, spread over three agroclimatic zones with different planting schedules. Planting usually ends by the first week of June in northern regions (Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan), by mid-August in the central region (Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Madhya Pradesh), and by the first week of September in parts of the south (Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka,...
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53149

Stochastic Analysis of World Cotton Outlook Addendum to the 2007/08-2017/18 Baseline
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Pan,   Suwen; Ethridge,   Don E.; Hudson,   Darren; Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: The cotton market baseline analysis released in 2008 (Ethridge et al.) provided critical information about the future of the world cotton market over the next ten years (2007/02- 2017/18). It is based on a deterministic approach that utilizes the world fiber model developed by the Cotton Economics Research Institute (CERI) at Texas Tech University (Pan et al. 2004). The world fiber model is a multi-country multi-sector partial equilibrium model that includes the world’s 24 major cotton importing and exporting countries and regions. While the deterministic model provides the best available point estimates of potential market outcomes; It does not reveal information about the underlying variability of these markets over time.; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2008
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53140

Response of Cotton to Oil Price Shocks
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren.
Selected Paper prepared for presentation at the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Orlando, FL, February 6-9, 2010
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Cotton; Oil price; Demand shocks; Supply shocks; Structural vector autoregression; Demand and Price Analysis; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 2010
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/96675

Assessing China’s Potential Import Demand for Distillers Dried Grain: Implications for Grain Trade
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Fabiosa,   Jacinto F.; Hansen,   James M.; Matthey,   Holger; Pan,   Suwen; Tuan,   Francis C.
A team of U.S. analysts visited China to assess the potential for use of distillers dried grain plus solubles (DDGS) in China’s livestock sector. They examined the economics of the use of DDGS in feeds, the policy issues surrounding the use of the product, and transportation-logistic constraints in the expansion of DDGS imports. The team collected actual and secondary data to conduct a micro-economic analysis of the impact of DDGS on feed cost, solicited official and expert opinions through interviews, and conducted site visits. They found the development of the DDGS import market in China to be very promising. The microeconomic analysis showed a clear economic incentive for feed millers and livestock producers to use DDGS in their feed ration, with a...
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: DDGS; Distillers grain; Feed demand; Livestock sector; Optimal feed ration.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade; Marketing.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55553

India Edible Oil Consumption: A Censored Incomplete Demand Approach
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Welch,   Mark.
A Censored Incomplete Demand System is applied to household expenditures for edible oil in India. The results show that edible peanut oil is still a luxury good in India, whereas expenditure elasticities for other edible oils are relatively low. The food habit, location, education of household heads, and other demographic variables have significant effects on the choice of edible oils.
Tipo: Journal Article
Palavras-chave: Censored Incomplete Demand System; India edible oil; Unit value; Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis; Production Economics; C21; D1; Q11.
Ano: 2008
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/47261

Sino-U.S. and Sino-E.U. Textile Safeguard Agreements: Comparing the Effects to Free Market Conditions
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.
The effects of Sino-US and Sino-EU safeguard agreements on US, China and world cotton and textile sectors are investigated using a partial equilibrium model. The effects are compared to a free trade scenario under the provisions of the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC).  The two agreements capping Chinese textile exports would decrease China's textile and apparel exports, production and domestic consumption by an average 1.57 percent, 0.63 percent and, 0.32 percent respectively.  The safeguard agreements cause an increase in the U.S. cotton textile price index and a slight decrease in U.S. net textile imports and textile consumption.  The agreements cause a decrease in the world cotton price and the quantity of cotton traded, but these trends...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2006
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21117

THE INFLUENCE OF MARKET STRUCTURE ON THE IMPACTS OF DOMESTIC SUBSIDIES ON INTERNATIONAL COTTON MAREKTS
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren; Ethridge,   Don E.
This analysis uses a residual demand elasticity model to measure market power of the international cotton market. The results indicate that both china and U.S. dominate the cotton price with a higher market power in china compared to the U.S.  Those test results combined with a  partial equilibrium model of the international cotton market are used to study the welfare consequences of U.S. cotton subsidy policies for major cotton exporters under alternative assumptions about global market structure. The results indicate that the effects of U.S. subsidies on world cotton price are much smaller under monopsony and double power (with china as a monopsony and U.S. as a monopoly) market assumption than those under complete competitive market scenarios.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: U.S. Cotton Commodity Programs; Global Market Structure; International Trade; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51196

World Cotton Outlook: Projections to 2015/16
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Ethridge,   Don E.; Welch,   Mark; Pan,   Suwen; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Mohanty,   Samarendu.
The Global Fibers Model developed at the Cotton Economics Research Institute at Texas Tech University was used to generate 10-year projections of cotton and textile production, mill use, and trade for 24 countries/regions under specified assumptions for macroeconomic variables, weather, and policies/programs, referred to as the baseline. Global results and results for selected major countries are presented here. Results indicate a continued dominance of China in textile production and cotton trade, rising global production of cotton, and shifting cotton export market shares, with the U.S. losing and Brazil gaining.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53169

Is Investment in Agricultural Research a Good Substitute for Price Support in U.S. Cotton?
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Wang,   Changgang; Hudson,   Darren.
This article examines the effects of R&amp;D on cotton yield and relationship between R&amp;D and commodity support programs. The results indicate that yield elasticities with respect to cotton R&amp;D is around 0.2-0.5 based on different regions. It further indicates that R&amp;D increases government expenditures when both commodity programs and R&amp;D funding exist. However, if the future WTO Doha negotiations rules out the possibility of price support programs, increasing R&amp;D funding may provide one of the solutions for farmers to recover their income with 5-6 years lag.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Cotton; R&amp;D; Commodity support programs; Crop Production/Industries; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies.
Ano: 2010
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61608

THE IMPACTS OF U.S. COTTON PROGRAMS ON THE WEST AND CENTRAL AFRICAN COUNTRIES COTTON EXPORT EARNINGS
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Pan,   Suwen.
This study uses a stochastic simulation approach based on a partial equilibrium structural econometric model of the world fiber market to examine the effects of a removal of U.S. cotton programs on the world market. The effects on world cotton prices and African export earnings were analyzed. The results suggest that on average an elimination of U.S. cotton programs would lead to a marginal increase in the world cotton prices thus resulting in minimal gain for cotton exporting countries in Africa.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Stochastic simulation; Partial equilibrium model; United States; Africa; Cotton subsidies; Export earnings; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2004
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20312

Assessing the Impacts of the Chinese TRQ System and U.S. Subsidies on the World Cotton Market: Technical Annex
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Ethridge,   Don E.
This document is the technical annex to the full paper "Assessing the Impacts of the Chinese TRQ System and U.S. Subsidies on the World Cotton Market" which is available separately.
Tipo: Journal Article
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2005
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23884

Food Calorie Intake under Grain Price Uncertainty: Evidence from Rural Nepal
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Fang,   Cheng; Rejesus,   Roderick M.
This study evaluates the effects of grain output price uncertainty on the farm income of rural households and, consequently, how this uncertainty influences caloric intake through changes in farm income. Using a rural household data set, augmented with output price uncertainty measures calculated from historical time-series data, we find that grain output price uncertainty tends to decrease crop production income of rural households. In addition, we find that higher crop income from production increases calorie intake of rural households. Taken together, these results suggests  that output price uncertainty during the production process may tend to reduce caloric intake of rural Nepalese households since the price uncertainty negatively affects the crop...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Food Calorie Intake; Price Uncertainty; Nepal; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; D12; O13; Q11; Q12.
Ano: 2008
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6198

EATING OUT: AN IMPORTANT SOURCE OF FOOD FOR THE POOR AND THE FOOD INSECURE
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Jensen,   Helen H.
Food consumption behaviors in food secure and food insecure households are compared. A two-stage budgeting and a double-hurdle model are used in the estimation. The results of the paper show that both food away from home and food at home are normal goods for both food secure and food insecure households. However, the effects of family structure on food consumption differ for the two household types. For food secure households, having one more child or one more working family member results in a larger marginal increase in food consumption than that for food insecure households. In addition, households with married heads of household are more likely to eat out in food secure households but less likely to eat out in food insecure households compared to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2002
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19805

Chinese Tariff Rate Quota v.s. U.S. Subsidies: What Affects the World Cotton Market More?
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Ethridge,   Don E.
Paper replaced with new version 8/17/05
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Cotton; International trade; Subsidies; TRQ; International Relations/Trade; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2005
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19111

U.S. Proposal for WTO Hong Kong Ministerial Conference: What's at Stake for Cotton Producers?
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark.
This study analyzed the cost to U.S. cotton producers of two policy alternatives under which the U.S. seeks to cut its total AMS payments for cotton by 60%. We considered two scenarios; the U.S. decides to act unilaterally versus conducting the policy initiative along with multilateral tariff and subsidy eliminations from the Rest of the World.  The study found a 12% cut in target price and 8% cut in loan rate are necessary to reach the 60% AMS targeted reduction under the unilateral scenario. In that regards, U.S. net farm income decreases considerably despite an appreciation of U.S. farm price.  Under a multilateral trade liberalization from the Rest of the World, a 9% cut in the loan rate and 4% in loan rate are enough to reach the AMS reduction...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: United States; Hong Kong; Cotton subsidies; Tariff; Net farm income; International Relations/Trade; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2006
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21273

The Impacts of Eliminating Step 2 Program on the U.S. and World Cotton Market
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Mohanty,   Samarendu; Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark; Ethridge,   Don E.
Brazil made a formal complaint to the World Trade Organization (WTO) Dispute Settlement Panel against U.S. cotton programs in 2003, alleging that these subsidies depressed world cotton price and were injurious to Brazilian farmers. The petition was supported by Australia and West and Central African cotton producing countries. After long deliberations, the WTO appellate body came out with their final ruling in March 2005 that upheld most of the initial decisions of the WTO Dispute Settlement Panel. In addition to the finding of serious price suppressing effects of U.S. cotton programs during the period 1999/00-2002/03, the ruling also included a June 30, 2005 deadline to withdraw Step 2 and export credit guarantee programs. In an attempt to comply with the...
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2005
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53148

AN EVALUATION OF THE USDA FOOD SECURITY MEASURE WITH GENERALIZED LINEAR MIXED MODELS
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Opsomer,   Jean D.; Jensen,   Helen H.; Pan,   Suwen.
Over the last decade, new information has been developed and collected to measure the extent of food insecurity and hunger in the United States. Common measurement of the phenomenon of hunger and food insecurity has become possible through efforts of the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to develop a set of survey questions that can be used to obtain estimates of the prevalence and severity of food insecurity. This paper takes a closer look at the measurement of food insecurity and the effect of household variables on measured food insecurity. The effects of demographic and survey-specific variables on the food insecurity/hunger scale are evaluated using a generalized linear model with mixed effects. Data come from the 1995, 1997, and 1999 Food...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper
Palavras-chave: Food insecurity; Household hunger; Rasch model; Food Security and Poverty.
Ano: 2002
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18507

2007 Global Cotton Outlook
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Ethridge,   Don E.; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Pan,   Suwen; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Welch,   Mark; Yates,   Samantha.
Economic Fundamentals - Real GDP growth is projected to be stable at about 2.5% per year in developed countries and be around 5% in developing nations. A more favorable exchange rate between China’s currency and the U.S. dollar may make U.S. cotton more affordable to China’s growing cotton textile industry.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2007
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53155

2006 Global Cotton Outlook
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Mohanty,   Samarendu; Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Ethridge,   Don E.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53154

Guide to Foreign Crop Subsidies and Tariffs
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Ethridge,   Don E.; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Velandia-Parra,   Margarita M.; Yates,   Samantha.
This study attempts to summarize information on farm policies being used for seven major crops–corn, cotton, rice, sorghum, soybeans, sugar, and wheat–by a group of 21 countries representing both developing and developed nations. Overall, the study concludes that agriculture has a special status in both developed and developing countries with a wide variety of subsidy and protection instruments in place.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53138

Crop Subsidies in Foreign Countries: Different Paths to Common Goals
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Hudson,   Smith; Pan,   Suwen; Mutic,   Maria; Yates,   Samantha; Ethridge,   Don E.
This is an update of CERI-SR07-01, our report on international crop policies conducted in February of 2007. Since then, the landscape for agricultural products has undergone changes due to developments related to the use of ethanol and the recent economic recession. Also, in most of the world, both developed economies such as the EU, Australia, and the U.S., and developing countries such as China and Brazil, have increased their domestic agricultural supports and/or altered the types of support. It is uncertain if this increase is permanent or transitory.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53137

Household Vegetable Demand in the Philippines: Is There an Urban-Rural Divide?
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Pan,   Suwen; Rejesus,   Roderick M.
A three-step estimation method and a Nonlinear Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (NQAIDS) are used to assess the vegetable demand behavior of rural and urban households in the Philippines. The results show that most of the expenditure and own-price elasticities of the vegetables analyzed are near or larger than unitary in both rural and urban areas. For majority of the vegetable commodities, there are no significant differences in the expenditure, own-price, and cross-price elasticities of urban households relative to rural households. Only demand for cabbage and tomatoes in the urban areas tend to be statistically different compared to rural areas. The demand behavior information gleaned from the analysis provides important insights that could help...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Community/Rural/Urban Development; Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 2006
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35483

The 2007 USDA Farm Bill Proposal: Implications for the U.S. Cotton Industry
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Mohanty,   Samarendu.
The proposed 2007 farm bill contains fundamental shifts in policy option mainly dictated by a desire to render the U.S. agriculture “more market oriented’ and the programs less costly to the U.S. treasury. The proposal adopts a revenue-based counter cyclical payment while maintaining the current price-based counter cyclical payment scheme. Under the revenue-based system, payment would be triggered when the actual national revenue per acre falls below the national target revenue per acre. The choice is left to producers who will be allowed a one time option to select one of these two schemes.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2007
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53146

Biofuels: Potential Production Capacity, Effects on Grain and Livestock Sectors, and Implications for Food Prices and Consumers
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Hayes,   Dermot J.; Babcock,   Bruce A.; Fabiosa,   Jacinto F.; Tokgoz,   Simla; Elobeid,   Amani E.; Yu,   Tun-Hsiang (Edward); Dong,   Fengxia; Hart,   Chad E.; Chavez,   Eddie C.; Pan,   Suwen; Carriquiry,   Miguel A.; Dumortier,   Jerome.
We examined four evolution paths of the biofuel sector using a partial equilibrium world agricultural sector model in CARD that includes the new RFS in the 2007 EISA, a two-way relationship between fossil energy and biofuel markets, and a new trend toward corn oil extraction in ethanol plants. At one extreme, one scenario eliminates all support to the biofuel sector when the energy price is low, while the other extreme assumes no distribution bottleneck in ethanol demand growth when the energy price is high. The third scenario considers a pure market force driving ethanol demand growth because of the high energy price, while the last is a policy-induced shock with removal of the biofuel tax credit when the energy price is high. Standard results hold where...
Tipo: Journal Article
Palavras-chave: Biofuel; EISA; Ethanol; Tax credit; World agricultural sector model; Agribusiness; Consumer/Household Economics; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade; Livestock Production/Industries; Political Economy; Production Economics; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Q13; Q18; Q38.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53093

Cotton Trade Liberalizations and Domestic Agricultural Policy Reforms: A Partial Equilibrium Analysis
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Welch,   Mark.
This paper analyzed the effects of trade liberalizing reforms in the world cotton market using a partial equilibrium model.  The simulation results indicated that a removal of domestic subsidies and border tariffs for cotton would increase the amount of world cotton trade by an average of 4% in the next five years and world cotton prices by an average of 12% over the same time horizon.  The findings indicated that under the liberalization policy, the United States would lose part of its export share to Brazil, Australia, and Africa. Furthermore, net cotton importing countries with minimum domestic and trade distortions would import less because of higher cotton prices whereas net cotton importing countries that subsidize domestic production and/or impose...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35469

The Effects of Domestic Offset Programs on the Cotton Market
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren; Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.
This paper analyzed the effects of the U.S. domestic offset program on the world cotton markets using a partial equilibrium model following the assumption given by Brown et al. (2010).  The results in our study are largely similar to those of Baker et al. and Brown et al., confirming that study’s findings that ACES, and its domestic offset program in particular, would cause increases in the domestic prices of several agricultural commodities. However, the overall effects of this increase in the world price on total world trade is tempered by increased exports from India, Brazil, Uzbekistan, Australia, and Western &amp; Central African countries.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Offset program; Cotton; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; Q170; Q180.
Ano: 2011
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98557

Global Cotton Baseline 2007-08 - 2017/18
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Ethridge,   Don E.; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Pan,   Suwen; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Yates,   Samantha.
Economic Fundamentals - Real GDP growth is projected to be stable at about 2.1% per year in developed countries and 5.8% in developing nations. A more favorable exchange rate between Chinese Yuan and the U.S. dollar may make U.S. cotton more affordable to China’s growing cotton textile industry.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2008
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53153

Global Cotton Baseline 2008-09 - 2018/19
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Hudson,   Darren; Pan,   Suwen; Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Yates,   Samantha.
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS – Real GDP growth is projected at -2.16% in 2009 for developed countries before it slowly recovers to about 2.3% per year. Developing economies, on the other hand, are projected to grow by 2.6% in 2009 before they recuperate to an average of 5.3% thereafter. – A more favorable exchange rate between the Chinese yuan and the U.S. dollar will allow for U.S. cotton to be more affordable to China’s cotton textile industry.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53152

Market Structure Impacts on Market Distortions from Domestic Subsidies: The U. S. Cotton Case
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren; Ethridge,   Don E.
This analysis uses a residual demand elasticity model to measure market power in the international cotton market. The results indicate that China exerts significant market power and affects cotton prices. Those results, combined with a partial equilibrium model of the international cotton market, are used to evaluate the welfare consequences of U.S. cotton subsidy policies for major cotton exporters under alternative assumptions about global market structure. The results indicate that the effects of U.S. subsidies on the world cotton price are much smaller under an imperfectly competitive international market than under a perfectly competitive market scenario; the former appears to be a realistic case.
Tipo: Journal Article
Palavras-chave: Global market structure; International trade; U.S. cotton commodity programs; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Financial Economics; International Relations/Trade; Land Economics/Use; Political Economy; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis.
Ano: 2010
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98240

LIQUOR AND BEVERAGE CONSUMPTION IN CHINA:A CENSORED DEMAND SYSTEM APPROACH
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Fang,   Cheng.
This paper estimated the Liquor and Beverage Consumption based on a Chinese survey data. The results showed that beer consumption has been relatively stable during the past 10 years.  However, there exists large potential wine market in china.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2003
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22215

Food Calorie Intake and Food Security under Grain Price Inflation: Evidence from Malawi
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Fang,   Cheng; Sanogo,   Issa; Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.
A comprehensive analysis of food demand and nutrient consumption using recent, representative household survey data from Malawi is presented. Expenditure and price elasticities have been estimated for 20 food groups using a quadratic almost ideal demand system based on 4 income groups identified by the Goldfeld-Quandt tests. Although the current boom of maize price provides an opportunity to rethink development strategies that diversify the commodity sectors, developing countries will not necessarily benefit from this change absent significant improvements in production capacities and trade infrastructures. Malawi is likely to suffer from higher commodity prices in the short-run.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Goldfeld-Quandt tests; A quadratic almost ideal demand system; Malawi; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Food Security and Poverty; D12; O13; R21; R31; Q11; Q12.
Ano: 2011
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103266

Toward a Consumer Economy in China: Implications of Changing Wage Policies for U.S. Cotton Exports
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: MacDonald,   Stephen; Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren; Tuan,   Francis C.
The effect of a Chinese minimum wage increase on China’s textile market as well as on the world cotton market is evaluated. Based on a Nonlinear Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (NQAIDS) model of China’s textile demand, the results suggest that the income elasticity for textiles is around 0.6 in China, and that apparel is less price responsive than home textiles and other textile products.  Simulation results suggest that a minimum wage increase would raise Chinese domestic textile consumption and lower Chinese textile exports. Most of the decline in textile exports by China is offset by expansion in other countries’ domestic textile production and results in a slight increase in world cotton mill utilization and higher clothing prices.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Nonlinear Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (NQAIDS); Cotton; Clothing; China; Trade; Industrial policy; Demand and Price Analysis; International Development; International Relations/Trade; Q17; Q18; R34; R21.
Ano: 2011
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103615

The Impacts of U.S. Cotton Programs on the World Market: An Analysis of Brazilian and African WTO Petitions
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Ethridge,   Don E.; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2004
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31254

Did Mexican Meat Demand Change under NAFTA?
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Malaga,   Jaime E.; Pan,   Suwen; Duch-Carvallo,   Teresa.
A censored non linear QUAIDS model was applied to estimate Mexican meat demand parameters using annual household survey data for six years from 1992 to 2004. Results suggest that in Mexico and throughout the analyzed period, beef and pork meat were luxury items while chicken was a normal good. Small but insignificant changes in meat demand parameters were found after NAFTA implementation suggesting that changes on consumer behavior due to macroeconomic variables might take longer periods to be quantifiable.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: QUAIDS model; Mexico meat demand; NAFTA; Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51430

What Drives Commodity Prices More: Oil Demand or Supply Shocks?
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren.
This paper shows that the response of agricultural commodity prices in the U.S. related to fluctuations in oil prices in the international market may differ greatly depending on whether the increase is driven by demand or supply shocks in the crude oil market. In the long-run, around 2-7 percent of the variability in grains, oilseeds, and cotton prices can be attributed to shocks to aggregate demand for industrial commodities while none can be traced to oil supply shocks.  This paper improves on the lack of economic structure in VAR models employed so far, and on the issue of short datasets, contributes to the nascent empirical evidence, and identifies the transmission of different types of oil price shocks to movements in agricultural prices in a SVAR...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Cotton; Wheat; Corn; Soybeans; Crude oil; Oil price shocks; Demand shocks; Supply shocks; Structural vector autoregression (SVAR); Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q41.
Ano: 2010
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61070

Does the Food Stamp Program Affect Food Security Status and the Composition of  Food Expenditures?
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Jensen,   Helen H.
This article considers interaction among participation in the Food Stamp Program (FSP), food security status, and the composition of food expenditures. A quadratic almost ideal demand system with a bootstrapping two-step method of estimation is applied to data from the Current Population Survey–Food Security Supplement data and used to estimate the model and account for endogeneity between the FSP participation and food insecurity. The results show that FSP participation is endogenously related with food security status and significantly affects total food expenditure and food-away-from-home expenditures.
Tipo: Journal Article
Palavras-chave: Food away from home; Food insecurity; Food stamps; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; Q18; R21; I32.
Ano: 2008
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/45043

World Market Impacts of High Biofuel Use in the European Union
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Carriquiry,   Miguel A.; Dong,   Fengxia; Du,   Xiaodong; Elobeid,   Amani E.; Fabiosa,   Jacinto F.; Chavez,   Eddie C.; Pan,   Suwen.
This study examines the world market impact of an expansion in the biofuel sector in the European Union with particular focus on indirect land-use impacts. In the first scenario, an increase of 1 million tonnes oil equivalent (Mtoe) of wheat ethanol use in the European Union expands world land area used in agricultural commodity production by 366,000 hectares, representing an increase of 0.039% in total area. In the second scenario, an increase of 1 Mtoe of rapeseed oil biodiesel use in the European Union expands world land area by 352,000 hectares, representing an increase of 0.038% in total area.  With additional land use somewhat close between the two scenarios, the main difference is the spatial distribution of the sources of additional supply. Because...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper
Palavras-chave: Biofuels; Land use; Partial equilibrium model; Rapeseed oil biodiesel scenario; Wheat ethanol scenario.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Land Economics/Use; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2010
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91923

Farm Level Impacts of Bt Corn Adoption in a Developing Country: Evidence from the Philippines
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Pan,   Suwen; Rejesus,   Roderick M.; Yorobe,   Jose M., Jr.
This article examines the ex post farm-level impacts of Bt corn adoption in the Philippines. Using an econometric approach that addresses simultaneity, selection, and censoring problems, we show that Bt corn adoption provides modest but statistically significant increases in farm-level yields and profits. Furthermore, our results suggest that farm-level yield and profit impacts of Bt corn adoption are underestimated when censoring in the pesticide application variable is not considered in the estimation procedures. Previous literature have emphasized the importance of simultaneity and selection problems but this is the first study that have raised the issue of censoring problems in estimating the farm-level effects of Bt corn adoption.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Bt; Censoring; Corn; Farm level impacts genetically modified crops; Pesticide use; Technology adoption; Crop Production/Industries; Q12; Q16.
Ano: 2007
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9891

The Impacts of the Elimination of Cotton Storage Credits on the U.S. Cotton Industry
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Hudson,   Darren; Pan,   Suwen.
The impacts of the removal of the cotton storage credit were modeled using the Global Fibers Model at the Cotton Economics Research Institute at Texas Tech University. A 5-year baseline was estimated under existing policy. The impacts of removing the storage credit was simulated and compared with the baseline.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53141

U.S. Proposal for Doha Round WTO Negotiations: What's at Stake for the U.S. Cotton Industry
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Welch,   Mark; Pan,   Suwen; Ethridge,   Don E.
The Ministerial Declaration that emerged from the recently concluded World Trade Organization (WTO) ministerial conference in Hong Kong continued the efforts of members to reform and liberalize the world cotton market “…ambitiously, expeditiously, and specifically” (WTO, 2005). The special attention devoted to cotton serves as recognition of the nexus between trade and development and the potential role cotton plays as an engine of economic growth for some of the world’s least developed countries (LDCs). The emphasis on cotton also may indicate that agreement in this area may open the door to broader agreement on the agricultural sector in general.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53151

The Impacts of Increased Minimum Support Prices in India on World and U.S. Cotton Markets
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren; Mutic,   Maria.
Domestic subsidies for cotton and other commodities have been a major topic of interest, especially during the Doha Round of the World Trade Organization trade negotiations. Many developing countries have insisted that domestic subsidies in countries like the United States represent significant trade barriers because they lower world price below their cost of production. India, Brazil, and other developing countries intimate that unless these domestic subsidies are lowered, they are unwilling to provide any more market access concessions in trade negotiations.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53143

Impact Assessment of Bt Corn Adoption in the Philippines
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Rejesus,   Roderick M.; Pan,   Suwen; Yorobe,   Jose M., Jr.
This article examines the impact of Bt corn adoption in the Philippines using an econometric approach that addresses simultaneity, selection, and censoring problems. Although previous literature emphasizes the importance of simultaneity and selection problems, this is the first study that addresses the issue of censoring in estimating the effects of Bt corn adoption at the farm in a developing country context. We show that Bt corn adoption provides modest but statistically significant increases in farm yields and profits. Furthermore, our results provide some evidence of inference errors that can potentially arise when censoring in the pesticide application variable is ignored in the estimation procedures.
Tipo: Article
Palavras-chave: Bt; Censoring; Corn; Farm level impacts; Genetically modified crops; Pesticide use; Technology adoption; International Development; Production Economics; Q12; Q16.
Ano: 2012
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/120452

Cotton in a Free Trade World
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Welch,   Mark; Ethridge,   Don E.
The United States has issued a proposal to the world trading community outlining several steps to jumpstart the stalled World Trade Organization (WTO) negotiations on agriculture. The proposal is intended as a challenge to members of the WTO to improve market access through “ambitious tariff reduction” and to “move aggressively” to cut trade-distorting domestic support (Portman, 2005). Although the major parameters of the proposal are yet to be defined, these steps seem consistent with commitments made by WTO participating countries to move agricultural trade negotiations forward in the framework agreement of July 2004.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2005
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53147

Global Cotton Baseline 2010/11 - 2020/21
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Hudson,   Darren; Pan,   Suwen; Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Yates,   Samantha; Ethridge,   Don E.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Global cotton outlook; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2011
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/109748

Global Cotton Baseline 2009/10 - 2019/20
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Hudson,   Darren; Pan,   Suwen; Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Yates,   Samantha; Ethridge,   Don E.
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: International Development.
Ano: 2010
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94188

Sino-U.S. Price Transmission in Agricultural Commodities: How Important are Exchange Rate Movements?
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren.
Commodity price transmissions between China and the U.S. are examined.  The results indicate that variations in Chinese cotton and soybean prices are transmitted to U.S. cotton and soybean prices while variations in Chinese wheat and rice prices do not get transmitted to U.S. wheat and rice prices. The effects of volatilities in oil prices and in the exchange rate on the price transmission are also assessed.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Rice; Soybean; Cotton; Wheat; China; U.S.; Price transmission; Exchange rate; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2011
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103459

The Impacts of Eliminating the Direct Payments on the U.S. Cotton Market
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren; Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.
This study analyzes the effects of eliminating direct payments paid to cotton farmers in the U.S. Our results suggest that while the impact of eliminating direct payments on domestic production is offset to some extent by rising prices, the more significant effect is on farmers’ net income.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Production Economics.
Ano: 2011
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98627

Assessing the Impacts of the Chinese TRQ System and U.S. Subsidies on the World Cotton Market
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Welch,   Mark; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Ethridge,   Don E.
This article compares how eliminating the U.S. cotton subsidy program and the Chinese cotton tariff-rate quota (TRQ) would affect the world cotton market. The results show China's TRQ has a greater negative impact on the world cotton market than do U.S. subsidies. Compared to a base-level estimate, the elimination of China's TRQ increases the world cotton price and increases the quantity of world cotton traded, whereas the elimination of U.S. cotton subsidies increases the cotton price (but less than under TRQ elimination) and decreases the world cotton trade. The combined effect of eliminating both programs is also shown.
Tipo: Journal Article
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2005
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23895

Welfare Reform and Labor Participation: Are There Urban and Rural Differences?
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Fuller,   Wayne A.; Jensen,   Helen H.
Although welfare reform began in 1996 at the national level, Iowa was one of the earliest states to obtain a waiver to initiate the Iowa Family Investment Program (FIP) in 1993. To gain a better understanding of welfare recidivism, we use Iowa administrative quarterly data between October1993 and September 1995, impute the education attainment for the caseheads with missing education attainment using fractional imputation and study the factors that affect the probability of working, the potential wage for the caseheads and the possibility of leaving FIP based on the potential wage. We find higher education (i.e. higher skills) leads to higher labor force participation, especially for single-mothers with children. Metro or urban location is associated with...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Labor and Human Capital.
Ano: 2001
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20665

Biofuels: Potential Production Capacity, Effects on Grain and Livestock Sectors, and Implications for Food Prices and Consumers
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Hayes,   Dermot J.; Babcock,   Bruce A.; Fabiosa,   Jacinto F.; Tokgoz,   Simla; Elobeid,   Amani E.; Yu,   Tun-Hsiang (Edward); Dong,   Fengxia; Hart,   Chad E.; Chavez,   Eddie C.; Pan,   Suwen; Carriquiry,   Miguel A.; Dumortier,   Jerome.
We examine four scenarios for the evolution of the biofuel sector using a partial equilibrium model of the world agricultural sector. The model includes the new Renewable Fuels Standard in the 2007 energy act, the two-way relationship between fossil energy and biofuel markets, and a new trend toward corn oil extraction in ethanol plants. At one extreme, one scenario eliminates all support to the biofuel sector when the energy price is low, while the other extreme assumes no distribution bottleneck in ethanol demand growth when the energy price is high. Of the remaining two scenarios, one considers a pure market force driving ethanol demand growth because of the high energy price while the other is a policy-induced shock with removal of the biofuel tax...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper
Palavras-chave: Biofuels; EISA; Ethanol; Tax credit; World agricultural sector model.; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2009
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48597

The Impacts of U.S. Cotton Programs on the West and Central African Countries Cotton Export Earnings
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Pan,   Suwen.
This study uses a stochastic simulation approach based on a partial equilibrium structural econometric model of the world fiber market to examine the effects of a removal of U.S. cotton programs on the world market. The effects on world cotton prices and African export earnings were analyzed. The results suggest that on average an elimination of U.S. cotton programs would lead to a marginal increase in the world cotton prices thus resulting in minimal gain for cotton exporting countries in Africa.
Tipo: Journal Article
Palavras-chave: Stochastic simulation; Partial equilibrium model; United States; Africa; Cotton subsidies; Export earnings; Crop Production/Industries; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2005
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44098

Response of Cotton to Oil Price Shocks
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren.
This paper shows that the response of cotton prices in the U.S. to fluctuations in oil prices in the international market may differ greatly depending on whether the increase is driven by demand or supply shocks in the crude oil market. In the long-run, around 3 percent of the variability in cotton prices can be attributed to shocks to global demand for industrial commodities while none can be traced to oil supply shocks.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Cotton; Oil price; Demand shocks; Supply shocks; Structural vector autoregression (SVAR); Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q41.
Ano: 2010
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56425

CHINA'S ROLE IN WORLD COTTON AND TEXTILE MARKETS
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: MacDonald,   Stephen; Pan,   Suwen; Somwaru,   Agapi; Tuan,   Francis C.
The growth of China's textile industry has been one of the dominant factors shaping world cotton and textile markets in recent years.  Since China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in December 2001, China's textile and apparel (T&amp;A) exports have grown by more than 40 percent and China's cotton consumption has grown by 34 percent.  By the end of 2003, China had nearly doubled its share of world T&amp;A exports in less than a decade, to about 21 percent.  T&amp;A exports from China and other developing countries are constrained by quotas originally implemented by developed countries under the Multifibre Arrangement (MFA).  Under the Uruguay Round's Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC), these quotas have been gradually phased-out since...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 2004
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20054

Understanding Acre for Cotton
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Hudson,   Darren; Ethridge,   Don E.; Mutuc,   Maria Erlinda M.; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.; Johnson,   Phillip N.
The Food, Conservation, and Energy Act of 2008 was passed into law on May 22, 2008 with veto override votes in the House of Representatives and the Senate (House 2008). A difference between the 2002 and the 2008 bills is the newly instituted revenue-based counter-cyclical program called the Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE) program available beginning crop year 2009. The ACRE program is offered as an alternative to the counter-cyclical payment (CCP) program that was in place during the 2002-2008 period. Beginning with the 2009 crop year, producers will have the option to enroll their farm in either the CCP program or the ACRE program. If ACRE is elected, producers cannot change program participation for the duration of the 2008 farm bill (ERS 2008)....
Tipo: Report
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2008
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53144

The Impact of Nonfarm Activities on Agricultural Productivity in Rural China
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Wang,   Ye; Wang,   Chenggang; Pan,   Suwen.
Although evidence abounds that the development of rural non-farm activities have increased rural household income and contributed to rural development, the underlying structure and mechanism of the linkage between agricultural productivity and non-farm activities is poorly understood.  Using a unique panel dataset of Chinese villages, this article examines the mechanism by which non-farm activities influence agricultural productivity.  I find that Chinese villages’ non-farm revenue has a significant positive effect on agricultural land productivity.  Although non-farm activities do withdraw labor out of agriculture and therefore dampen land productivity, that negative effect is negligible in comparison with the land productivity improvement brought by...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Rural non-farm activities; Labor migration; Agricultural productivity; Infrastructure capital.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Productivity Analysis; O13; Q18.
Ano: 2011
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103605

PRICE RELATIONSHIPS IN THE U.S. FIBER MARKETS: ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR COTTON INDUSTRY
Provedor de dados: 31
Autores: Pan,   Suwen; Mohanty,   Samarendu; Fadiga,   Mohamadou L.
The paper examined the price relationship between cotton and polyester. The results provide strong evidence of long term price transmissions and granger causality between cotton and polyester price as well as the asymmetry transmissions for cotton on cotton, cotton on polyester, and polyester on polyester price. However, we did not find any evidence that there exists asymmetry transmission for polyester price on cotton price. Our results also did not support the contemporaneous effects hypothesis between polyester price and cotton price.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2003
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22138