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Registros recuperados: 8
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Shocks in economic growth = shocking effects on agricultural markets? AgEcon
Kavallari, Aikaterini; Fellmann, Thomas; Gay, Stephan Hubertus.
Projections on the development of agricultural commodity markets underlie a given set of assumptions on economic growth. However, recent economic and financial crisis, as well as signs of quicker recovery in emerging economies, increase uncertainty in the forecasts of macroeconomic developments. This paper analyses the effects of different economic growth scenarios on agricultural commodity markets. In particular we assess the potential impacts of a faster economic growth in emerging economies on the one hand and of a replication of the recent economic downturn on the other hand. The empirical analysis uses the AGLINKCOSIMO model and builds upon the recently published European agricultural outlook of the EU Commission. The simulation results demonstrate...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Economic growth; Agricultural commodity markets; AGLINK-COSIMO; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114766
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Explaining German imports of olive oil: evidence from a gravity model AgEcon
Kavallari, Aikaterini; Maas, Sarah; Schmitz, P. Michael.
In this study the case of olive oil imports of Germany is examined since olive oil is a traditional Mediterranean commodity and Germany is the biggest importer in the EU. A gravity model has been employed so as to analyse those factors that explain the German imports of olive oil that were identified in a preceding analysis of the German olive oil supply chain. The results of two random-effects models corrected for serial correlation and heteroskedasticity suggest that being a Mediterranean Partner country of the EU has the highest impact on trade flows to Germany, thus supporting further Euromediterranean trade integration. The level of trade to Germany is positively related to existence of direct marketing channels and to tourism implying that these...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Gravity model; Olive oil; Germany; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44217
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Evolution of olive oil import demand structures in nonproducing countries: the cases of Germany and the UK AgEcon
Kavallari, Aikaterini; Maas, Sarah; Schmitz, P. Michael.
Consumption patterns of olive oil have changed over recent years influencing the supply chain. The consumption has increased in countries where olive oil is not part of the traditional diet as for example Germany and the UK, where the average consumption grew by 11 and 13% respectively during the period 1995-2003. The opening of new non-traditional markets has shifted exports and re-structured the supply chain. Mediterranean countries have been the traditional suppliers of olive oil with the EU Mediterranean Member States being the main exporters and with the non-EU Mediterranean countries trying to gain market shares in the EU markets in an attempt to benefit from the preferential access due to the Barcelona Agreement. This paper tries to identify which...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Olive oil; Gravity model; Import demand; Germany; UK; Agricultural and Food Policy; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/58073
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An Empirical Assessment of Agricultural Trade Policies in the Mediterranean Basin - Regional Effects on the EU Member States AgEcon
Kavallari, Aikaterini; Schmitz, P. Michael.
The objective of this paper is to provide deeper insights on the impacts of agricultural policy reforms in the Mediterranean basin focusing on regional effects in the EU. The empirical analysis has been undertaken using the partial equilibrium multi commodity, multi region world trade model AGRISIM. The simulation results indicated that the CAP Reform for the Mediterranean commodities seems to affect only the EU Mediterranean Member states and the enlargement with Bulgaria and Romania only this two countries. Moreover the impacts on the markets of typical Mediterranean commodities included in the modelling exercise are limited. The supply in the EU changes mainly for those commodities that are of high protection as beef, whereas the demand increases being...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9395
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Multilateral trade liberalisation and Preference erosion: Effects on the agricultural sector of the EU's Mediterranean Partner Countries AgEcon
Kavallari, Aikaterini; Schmitz, P. Michael.
This paper analyses preference erosion effects on the agricultural sector of the EU’s ten Mediterranean Partner Countries (MPCs). The modelling exercise is carried out with the partial equilibrium multi-commodity multi-region world trade model AGRISIM. The effects vary between the markets and depend mainly on the initial level of trade protection. Supposing that level of preferences granted to the MPCs by the EU remains as of 2001 then the effects are particularly distinguishable for high protected markets like beef in Turkey, milk and rice in Morocco and olive oil in all MPCs. Supposing that the free trade area with the EU is accomplished, then the impacts are evident mainly on beef, milk and sugar markets, where the prices among the preferential partners...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Preference erosion; Mediterranean Partner Countries; AGRISIM; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44177
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CAP Reform and the Mediterranean EU-Member States AgEcon
Borresch, Rene; Kavallari, Aikaterini; Schmitz, P. Michael.
In the previous years the Mediterranean Member States of the EU came across the Reform of the CAP and especially last year faced the second wave of the Reform for three typical Mediterranean products, namely cotton, olive oil and tobacco. In this paper a partial equilibrium model is used to simulate the impacts of decoupling, as a key point of the decided CAP Reform. The second wave of the Reform appears to be of crucial importance for the southern EU countries and although the producer's income is reduced, there are positive welfare effects.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Decoupling; Partial equilibrium model; CAP reform; Greece; Italy; Spain; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q18; Q17; D59.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24607
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Modelling agricultural policy reforms in the Mediterranean basin - Adjustments of AGRISIM AgEcon
Kavallari, Aikaterini; Borresch, Rene; Schmitz, P. Michael.
In recent years the Mediterranean countries encounter a number of changes of the agricultural policy that could influence significantly their agricultural sector and thus their overall economy. They are faced with the ongoing trade liberalisation, the Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) of the European Union (EU), since the EU is one of the major trade partners of the Mediterranean countries and the establishment of a Free Trade Area between the EU and the Mediterranean Countries after 2010. The latest is/will be accomplished through the Euro- Mediterranean Association Agreements, was decided in the Summit of Barcelona in 1995 and is particularly up- to date after 2005, 10 years after the establishment of the Barcelona Agreement. These changes...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: MPCs; Euro- Mediterranean Association; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10074
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Preference erosion effects on the agricultural sector of the EU’s Mediterranean Partner Countries AgEcon
Kavallari, Aikaterini; Schmitz, P. Michael.
This paper analyses preference erosion effects on the agricultural sector of the EU’s Mediterranean Partner Countries (MPCs) with the partial equilibrium multi-commodity multi-region world trade model AGRISIM. Supposing that the preferences to the MPCs granted by the EU remain as of 2001 then the effects are evident for high protected markets like beef in Turkey, milk and rice in Morocco and olive oil in the MPCs. Supposing a free trade area between the EU and the MPCs, then the impacts are high for beef, milk and sugar. The farmers’ income decreases, but the consumers and the taxpayers benefit from lower prices and the overall welfare in all MPCs increases.
Tipo: Article Palavras-chave: Preference erosion; Multilateral liberalisation; Mediterranean Partner Countries; AGRISIM; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q17; Q18; Q13.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/118864
Registros recuperados: 8
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