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AN ANALYSIS OF ETHANOL PRODUCTION IN TEXAS USING THREE ETHANOL FACILITY SIZES AND THEIR RELATIVE OPTIMAL SUBSIDY LEVELS AgEcon
Gill, Robert Chope, II; Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Anderson, David P..
Ethanol production in 15, 30, and 80 million gallon per year production plants are analyzed at various subsidy levels. The results indicate that removing per plant subsidy limits allows reduced total state subsidy expenditures. This action takes advantage of the economies of scale inherent in larger ethanol plants.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35003
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An Economic Examination of Potential Ethanol Production in Texas AgEcon
Outlaw, Joe L.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.; Richardson, James W.; Herbst, Brian K.; Waller, Mark L.; Raulston, J. Marc; Sneary, Shannon L.; Gill, Robert Chope, II.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42707
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Including Risk in Economic Feasibility Analyses: The Case of Ethanol Production in Texas AgEcon
Richardson, James W.; Herbst, Brian K.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Gill, Robert Chope, II.
The widespread use of personal computers and spreadsheet models for feasibility studies makes risk-based Monte Carlo simulation analysis of proposed investments a relatively simple task. Add-in simulation packages for Microsoft® Excel can be used to make spreadsheet models stochastic. Rather than basing investment decisions on point estimates, investors can easily estimate the implied distributions of returns for uncertain investments and calculate the risk of an investment as well as the probability of success. The benefits of using Monte Carlo simulation to analyze a risky investment are demonstrated using an ethanol plant as an example.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Economic feasibility analysis; Ethanol feasibility; Risk management; Stochastic simulation; Agribusiness; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/62291
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Risk Assessment in Economic Feasibility Analysis: The Case of Ethanol Production in Texas AgEcon
Richardson, James W.; Herbst, Brian K.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.; Gill, Robert Chope, II.
The objective of this study is to demonstrate the benefits of quantifying the economic viability of a proposed agribusiness under risk relative to a feasibility study which ignores risk. To achieve this objective, the economic viability of a 50 MMGPY ethanol facility in Texas is analyzed over a 10-year period in two ways: with no risk and with historical risk for prices and costs.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42095
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