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Registros recuperados: 48
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A DECISION MODEL TO ASSESS CATTLE FEEDING PRICE RISK AgEcon
May, Gary J.; Lawrence, John D..
Traditional break-even/fed cattle price projections do not provide adequate risk information to feeders, investors, lenders, and other stakeholders interested in cattle feeding decisions. The objectives of this study were two-fold: 1) develop a spreadsheet model that could estimate the net income distribution surrounding a cattle placement decision based on historical errors of futures based price forecasts, and 2) determine whether information generated from the model can be used to improve placement and marketing decisions. To accomplish objective 1, model was developed that could estimate the income distribution around a pen of cattle under a cash speculating and short hedge pricing strategy. Distribution estimates were based on 7 alternative forecast...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19067
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A Limited Information Bayesian Forecasting Model of the Cattle SubSector AgEcon
Abidoye, Babatunde O.; Lawrence, John D..
The first step towards forecasting the price and output of the cattle industry is understanding the dynamics of the livestock production process. This study follows up on the Weimar and Stillman (1990) paper by using data from 1970 to 2005 to estimate the parameters that characterizes the cattle output supply. The model is then used to estimate forecast values for the periods 2006 and 2007. Bayesian limited information likelihood method is used to estimate the parameters when endogeneity exists between these variables. The forecasting ability of the model for a two-step ahead forecast for majority of the variables are relatively good and test statistic of the forecast are reported.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cattle; Bayesian; Forecasting; Inventory; Slaughter; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Financial Economics; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Production Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53051
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ALTERNATIVE MARKETING STRATEGIES FOR FEEDER PIG FINISHERS: FUTURES, OPTIONS, AND SIMPLE DECISION RULES AgEcon
Lawrence, John D.; Roth, Jennifer.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 1991 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13398
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An Economic Evaluation of Forecasts of Relevance to Agribusinesses and Agricultural Lenders (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Lence, Sergio H.; Wu, Jingtao; Lawrence, John D..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48135
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ASSESSING THE COST OF BEEF QUALITY AgEcon
Forristall, Cody; May, Gary J.; Lawrence, John D..
The number of U.S. fed cattle marketed through a value based or grid marketing system is increasing dramatically. Most grids reward Choice or better quality grades and some pay premiums for red meat yield. The Choice-Select (C-S) price spread increased 55 percent, over $3/cwt between 1989-91 and 1999-01. However, there is a cost associated with pursuing these carcass premiums. This paper examines these tradeoffs both in the feedlot and in a retained ownership scenario. Correlations between carcass and performance traits resulted in economic tradeoffs that change across input costs and quality grade premiums and discounts. Feedlot profitability was largely determined by marbling, carcass weight, and feed efficiency. Carcass weight was most important at a...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19060
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Assessing the Cost of Beef Quality Revisited (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Ibarburu-Blanc, Maro A.; Lawrence, John D.; Busby, Darrell; Strohbehn, Daryl.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93537
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CHANGES IN LIVESTOCK MARKETING AND PACKING INDUSTRIES: UNITED STATES, UPPER NORTH CENTRAL REGION, AND MINNESOTA AgEcon
Lawrence, John D.; Bjornstad, Even.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1991 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13796
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Churning Out the Links: Vertical Integration in the Beef and Pork Industries AgEcon
Hayenga, Marvin L.; Schroeder, Ted C.; Lawrence, John D..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Industrial Organization; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93760
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Creating a Geographically Linked Brand for High-Quality Beef: A Case Study AgEcon
Clemens, Roxanne; Lawrence, John D.; Hayes, Dermot J.; Babcock, Bruce A..
Worldwide, a segment of consumers can afford to pay substantial price premiums for very high quality agricultural products with attributes those consumers value. At the same time, many U.S. farmers are producing these high-quality products but are not using market mechanisms that allow them to take fullest advantage of price premiums. This paper describes a pilot program developed to commercialize an origin-based collective brand for very high quality beef. We hypothesize that, if successful, the program would create potential for cattle producers to take fuller advantage of price premiums often captured elsewhere in the marketing channel. Specifically, the pilot program analyzed two mechanisms for differentiating and marketing very high quality beef: a...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Certification mark; Collective brands; Consumer assurance; Geographic origin; Process verification; Marketing.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/8509
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Differences in Prices and Price Risk Across Alternative Marketing Arrangements Used in the Fed Cattle Industry AgEcon
Muth, Mary K.; Liu, Yanyan; Koontz, Stephen R.; Lawrence, John D..
Information on prices and price risk differences across marketing arrangements aids fed cattle producers in making choices about marketing methods. As part of the congressionally mandated Livestock and Meat Marketing Study, we investigated fed cattle price and price risk differences across marketing arrangements. The analysis uses data representing cattle purchased by 29 large beef packing plants from October 2002 through March 2005. Results indicate that marketing agreements offered the best tradeoff between price level and price risk. Forward contracts had the lowest average yet highly volatile prices. Auction barn prices were higher than other methods but also the most volatile.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Alternative marketing arrangements; Fed cattle; Hedonic; Price risk; Price volatility; Prices; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36711
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Differences in Prices and Price Risk across Alternative Marketing Arrangements Used in the Fed Cattle Industry AgEcon
Muth, Mary K.; Liu, Yanyan; Koontz, Stephen R.; Lawrence, John D..
Information on typical differences in prices and price risk (as measured by the variances of prices) across marketing arrangements aids fed cattle producers in making choices about methods to use for selling fed cattle to beef packers. This information is also useful for policy discussions on merits and drawbacks of alternative marketing arrangements. As part of the congressionally mandated Livestock and Meat Marketing Study, we investigated differences in prices and price risk for fed cattle cash market and alternative marketing arrangements. The modeling approach, which is similar to a hedonic model, controls for differences in cattle quality and delivery month and accounts for the within- and across-week correlation in prices. The analysis uses a recent...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Alternative marketing arrangements; Fed cattle; Prices; Price volatility; Price risk; Hedonic.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37578
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Economic Analysis of Increased Levels of Intramuscular Fat in Pork: Producer and Industry Opportunities AgEcon
Kliebenstein, James B.; Ibarburu, Maro A.; Lawrence, John D.; Baas, Thomas J.; Prusa, Kenneth; Hanson, Kathy; Fedler, Chris; Wilson, Doyle.
Ultrasound technology is available for accurately measuring intramuscular fat (IMF) in live pigs. This report provides information on the costs for pig producers and processors to implement this technology and what consumers are willing to pay for pork with improved levels of intramuscular fat. About half the participants in the willingness to pay study preferred the high IMF chop. They paid a premium of 25 percent over the low IMF chop.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Ultrasound technology; Measure intramuscular fat live pigs; Pig producer cost; Pig processor costs; Consumer willingness to pay; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Farm Management; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/60919
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Economic Analysis of Pharmaceutical Technologies in Modern Beef Production AgEcon
Lawrence, John D.; Ibarburu, Maro A..
Cattle production is the largest single agricultural sector in the U.S. with cash receipts of $49.2 billion in 2005. Like the rest of agriculture cattle producers have adopted efficiency and quality improving technology to meet consumer demands for a safe, wholesome, and affordable food supply. This research uses meta analysis to combine over 170 research trials evaluating pharmaceutical technologies in the cow-calf, stocker, and feedlot segments of beef production. These results were used to estimate the farm level economic value of parasite control, growth promotant implants, sub-therapeutic antibiotics, ionophores, and beta agonists for the industry in 2005. The Food and Agriculture Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) model of U.S. agriculture was used to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cattle; Production cost; Growth promotants; Ionophores; Antibiotics; Parasite control; Beta-agonists.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37560
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Economics of Increased Beef Grader Accuracy AgEcon
Ibarburu, Maro A.; Lawrence, John D.; Busby, Darrell.
Carcass data from more than 38,000 cattle was used to compare the called and measured yield grade in two different periods: before and after the slaughter plant incorporated another grader in the line to improve grading accuracy. The study shows that the graders accuracy significantly increased. The higher accuracy affected all yield grades, but most notably resulted in more called yield grade 4 and 5 carcasses. This analysis will develop insight of what will be the effect of instrument grading that will be more accurate than previously called grades.The results are expressed as the conditional distribution of the called yield grade for a given value of the measured yield grade. The pricing grid currently used by the industry was used to analyze the effect...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cattle; Carcass grading; Accuracy; Economics of grading.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37558
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ELEMENTS OF CATTLE FEEDING PROFITABILITY IN MIDWEST FEEDLOTS AgEcon
Lawrence, John D.; Wang, Zhi; Loy, Daniel D..
Conventional wisdom and earlier research have concluded that cattle feeding profitability is more determined by feeder and fed cattle prices than by animal performance. This study examined cross-sectional and time-series data from over 1600 pens of cattle in more than 220 feedlots in the upper Midwest where weather and lot conditions are thought to influence feedlot profitability. In addition to input and output prices and animal performance, other factors found to significantly impact cattle feeding profitability were sex, placement weight, facility design, and to a lesser extent placement season.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cattle feedlots; Probability; Risk; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15377
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ESTIMATING THE VALUE OF SOURCE VERIFICATION OF FEEDER CATTLE AgEcon
Lawrence, John D.; Yeboah, Godfred.
Source-verified (SV) feeder cattle auctions were held in Bloomfield, Iowa, each October, November, and December from 1997-2000. This study compares price data from these SV auctions to traditional auctions at the same location to determine whether a premium exists for SV feeder cattle. Hedonic pricing models were estimated to evaluate the price effects of lot characteristics, market forces, and type of market (SV versus regular sale). The SV cattle were sorted and pooled into large lots. The larger lot size, consistent with early research, earned large price premiums. After accounting for lot size, the SV premium for lighter cattle (< 650/600-pound steers/heifers) was estimated at $1.30/cwt, and was significant. The SV premium over and above lot size...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Auction; Cattle; Hedonic pricing model; Markets; Source-verified auction; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14722
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EXTENSION'S RESPONSE TO UNDERSTANDING EVOLVING LIVESTOCK MARKET SIGNALS: IOWA'S EXPERIENCE AgEcon
Lawrence, John D..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36352
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FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE PRICES PRODUCERS RECEIVE FOR HOGS: STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF KILLSHEET AND SURVEY DATA AgEcon
Lawrence, John D..
This paper evaluates the results of a survey of Iowa pork producers, examining potential price discrimination by packers. Prices varied greatly across producers, and the examined variables explain just over half of the variation. Factors under the producer's control were the most significant variables and accounted for the vast majority of the explainable difference in price among producers. Packer buying systems also accounted for some difference in producer prices. Finally, variables related to operation size, while statistically significant, increased the explanatory values of the equation very little.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Market access; Carcass merit; Hog marketing; Price determination; Price discrimination; Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18276
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Feed Grains and Livestock: Impacts on Meat Supplies and Prices AgEcon
Lawrence, John D.; Mintert, James R.; Anderson, John D.; Anderson, David P..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries; Q11.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94644
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Fueling Ethanol: Implications for Livestock Producers (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Lawrence, John D..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/8073
Registros recuperados: 48
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