Registro completo |
Provedor de dados: |
Nature Precedings
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País: |
United Kingdom
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Título: |
Climate Change and Disease Simulation
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Autores: |
Somnath Jha
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Data: |
2012-02-28
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Ano: |
2012
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Palavras-chave: |
Ecology
Genetics & Genomics
Earth & Environment
Evolutionary Biology
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Resumo: |
Climate change has manifested differential impacts on various components of the earth system. The impact of climate change is not merely limited to the climatic variable. Climate change has resulted in complex, unforeseen consequences in the biosphere of earth. The silent but gradual changes arise out of varied responses of disease-causing organism to the combination of the disease-conducive environmental variables. The change is the same for both the target hosts plant as well as the animal kingdom. There is an urgent need to look into the changing disease dynamics and the disease pathogen genome sensitivity to the changes in climatic variables. The long memory of genetic makeup of disease pathogen to capture, inherit and evolve or mutate the changed or impacted gene due to climate change in generation after generation may invite a cascading effect on the next generation of biosphere. These silent but gradual changes in the genome of disease organism are rarely investigated or included in simulation models. This also enhances the risk of quantification of uncertainties of various disease simulation models. Thus, chances and lists of black swan events in life and food insecurity are on the rise.
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Tipo: |
Presentation
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Identificador: |
http://precedings.nature.com/documents/6949/version/1
oai:nature.com:10.1038/npre.2012.6949.1
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/npre.2012.6949.1
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Fonte: |
Nature Precedings
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Direitos: |
Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License
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