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Provedor de dados:  AgEcon
País:  United States
Título:  Economic valuation of the impacts of climate change in agriculture in Europe
Autores:  Quiroga, Sonia
Iglesias, Ana
Data:  2008-10-14
Ano:  2008
Palavras-chave:  Agriculture
Climate change
Computable general equilibrium models
Environmental Economics and Policy
Resumo:  The objective of this study is to provide a European assessment of the potential effects of climate change on agricultural crop production computing monetary estimates of these impacts for the European agricultural sector. The future scenarios incorporate socio economic projections derived from several SRES scenarios and climate projections obtained from global climate models and regional climate models. The quantitative results are based simulations using the GTAP general equilibrium models system that includes all relevant economic activities. The estimated changes in the exports and imports of agricultural goods, value of GDP and crop prices under the climate and socio-economic scenarios show significant regional differences between northern and southern European countries. The patterns are positive effects except on Mediterranean countries. The most important increases seem to concern the continental region, where the productivity increases enlarge GDP more intensively due to the importance of agricultural sector in the region. The monetary estimates also show that in all cases uncertainty derived from socio-economic scenarios has a larger effect than the ones derived from climate scenarios.
Tipo:  Conference Paper or Presentation
Idioma:  Inglês
Identificador:  http://purl.umn.edu/44180
Relação:  European Association of Agricultural Economists>2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium
Formato:  9
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