| Registro completo |
| Provedor de dados: |
AgEcon
|
| País: |
United States
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| Título: |
ESTIMATING PRICE VARIABILITY IN AGRICULTURE: IMPLICATIONS FOR DECISION MAKERS
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| Autores: |
Ray, Daryll E.
Richardson, James W.
Torre Ugarte, Daniel de la
Tiller, Kelly
|
| Data: |
2003-02-04
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| Ano: |
1998
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| Palavras-chave: |
POLYSYS model
Price variability
Stochastic simulation
Crop Production/Industries
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| Resumo: |
Using a stochastic version of the POLYSYS modeling framework, an examination of projected variability in agricultural prices, supply, demand, stocks, and incomes is conducted for corn, wheat, soybeans, and cotton during the 1998-2006 period. Increased planting flexibility introduced in the 1996 farm bill results in projections of significantly higher planted acreage variability compared to recent historical levels. Variability of ending stocks and stock-to-use ratios is projected to be higher for corn and soybeans and lower for wheat and cotton compared to the 1986-96 period. Significantly higher variability is projected for corn prices, with wheat and soybean prices also being more variable. No significant change in cotton price variability is projected.
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| Tipo: |
Journal Article
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| Idioma: |
Inglês
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| Identificador: |
7020
http://purl.umn.edu/15100
|
| Editor: |
AgEcon Search
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| Relação: |
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics>Volume 30, Number 01, July 1998
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| Formato: |
13
application/pdf
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|
