Registro completo |
Provedor de dados: |
AgEcon
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País: |
United States
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Título: |
SHOULD REGIONAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION OF AGRICULTURE BE A POLICY PRIORITY IN SOUTHERN AFRICA?
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Autores: |
Nin Pratt, Alejandro
Diao, Xinshen
Bahta, Yonas Tesfamariam
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Data: |
2009-06-30
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Ano: |
2009
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Palavras-chave: |
Regional trade agreement
Southern Africa
Agricultural trade
Agricultural and Food Policy
Food Security and Poverty
International Relations/Trade
F15
Q17
Q18
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Resumo: |
We develop a detailed trade analysis to assess the potential impacts of a free trade agreement (FTA) on the agricultural sector of Southern African countries. We do this by combining the use of a partial equilibrium analysis with bilateral trade data at the four-digit Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) level for 193 agricultural industries in 14 Southern African countries. Results show that the overall welfare effects of a FTA would be positive but small in most countries. Largest benefits would go to countries with a regional comparative advantage for agriculture, while still being inefficient producers of regionally traded commodities. No direct gains for importing countries are expected because a FTA would increase imports from inefficient regional producers, with trade diversion dominating trade creation. These results suggest that the region should be looking at regional policies and interventions beyond trade arrangements, such as those targeting investment, agricultural productivity and diversification to enhance benefits of regional trade liberalization.
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Tipo: |
Conference Paper or Presentation
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Idioma: |
Inglês
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Identificador: |
http://purl.umn.edu/51734
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Relação: |
International Association of Agricultural Economists>2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China
Contributed paper
184
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Formato: |
21
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