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Provedor de dados:  AgEcon
País:  United States
Título:  Establishing the Presence of a Risk Premium in the Cocoa Futures Market: An Econometric Analysis
Autores:  Armah, Stephen E.
Data:  2008-04-21
Ano:  2008
Palavras-chave:  Cocoa
Futures markets
Time-varying risk premium
Error-correction model
Resumo:  Previous attempts at identifying and estimating a time-varying risk premium in the cocoa futures market yielded conflicting results. Using a longer series that includes the most recent cash and futures data, the existence of a time-varying risk premium in the cocoa futures market is re-investigated using LM ARCH tests and a Quadratic ARCH in Mean Error Correction Model. In contrast to available research the time series properties of the data are carefully accounted for by employing the most recent econometric techniques in testing for the presence of a risk premium. No evidence is found in support of a positive time-varying [or constant] risk premium in the cocoa futures market at conventional significance levels. The result suggests that cocoa producing countries have one less cost to consider in deciding whether or not to hedge cocoa price risk using futures contracts.
Tipo:  Conference Paper or Presentation
Idioma:  Inglês
Identificador:  29895
Relação:  American Agricultural Economics Association>2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida
Selected Paper
Formato:  28

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