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Provedor de dados:  AgEcon
País:  United States
Título:  Operational Models for Improving the Targeting Efficiency of Agricultural and Development Policies: A systematic comparison of different estimation methods using out-of-sample tests
Autores:  Houssou, Nazaire
Zeller, Manfred
Data:  2009-06-23
Ano:  2009
Palavras-chave:  Malawi
Poverty targeting
Predictions
Proxy means tests
Out-of-sample tests
ROC curve
Bootstrap
Agricultural and Food Policy
Agricultural Finance
Community/Rural/Urban Development
Food Security and Poverty
International Development
Political Economy
Research Methods/ Statistical Methods
C01
C13
C51
C52
I3
I32
Q14
Resumo:  Accurate targeting is key for the success of any development policy. While a number of factors might explain low targeting efficiency such as governance failure, political interference or lack of political will, this paper focuses on improving indicator-based models that identify poor households and smallholder farmers more accurately. Using stepwise regressions along with out-of-sample validation tests and receiver operating characteristic curves, this paper develops proxy means tests models for rural and urban Malawi. The models developed have proved their validity in an independent sample and therefore, can be used to target a wide range of development policies to the poor. This makes the models a potentially interesting policy tool for the country.
Tipo:  Conference Paper or Presentation
Idioma:  Inglês
Identificador:  http://purl.umn.edu/51454
Relação:  International Association of Agricultural Economists>2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China
Contributed paper
402
Formato:  34
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