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Provedor de dados:  AgEcon
País:  United States
Título:  FINANCIAL AND RISK ANALYSIS OF MAIZE TECHNOLOGY IN ETHIOPIA, BASED ON CERES-MAIZE MODEL RESULTS
Autores:  Crawford, Eric W.
Howard, Julie A.
Kelly, Valerie A.
Data:  2000-12-28
Ano:  2000
Palavras-chave:  Crop Production/Industries
Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies
Resumo:  This paper presents a financial and risk analysis of improved versus traditional maize production technology in Ethiopia, based on yields simulated with the CERES-Maize crop growth model (Schulthess and Ward, 2000). The purpose is to analyze the potential performance of the SG2000/Ministry of Agriculture program technology under less favorable meteorological conditions (rainfall level and distribution), and in areas with lower agroecological potential than those covered by the SG2000/MOA program through 1998. At the time of this study, expansion of the MOA program into lower potential zones seemed likely. Results show that use of fertilizer and improved seed is highly profitable under a variety of assumptions about crop growth conditions, maize prices, and fertilizer costs. Risk is examined using simple sensitivity and breakeven analysis, and stochastic dominance analysis.
Tipo:  Working or Discussion Paper
Idioma:  Inglês
Identificador:  2356

http://purl.umn.edu/11799
Editor:  AgEcon Search
Relação:  Michigan State University>Department of Agricultural Economics>Staff Paper Series
Staff Paper 2000-47
Formato:  19

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