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Registros recuperados: 69
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THE EUROPEAN UNION’S FRAMEWORK FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: IMPLICATIONS OF AGRICULTURE’S ADAPTATION THROUGH SUSTAINED YIELD GROWTH AgEcon
Zahniser, Steven; Arriola, Christine; Somwaru, Agapi.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91406
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RURAL LABOR MIGRATION, CHARACTERISTICS, AND EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS: A STUDY BASED ON CHINA'S AGRICULTURAL CENSUS AgEcon
Tuan, Francis C.; Somwaru, Agapi; Diao, Xinshen.
Continued industrialization in China and increase in its agricultural productivity imply that surplus rural workers will to be attracted into non-agricultural production activities and, consequently, will have the opportunity to increase their off-farm income. Studying the structure of the rural labor force and its characteristics is important for evaluating its migration potential into non-agricultural sectors. This study examines the rural labor market in China exclusively based on China’s first national agricultural census. We analyzed the demographic characteristics of the rural labor force and their association with the type of employment, place of work, and labor migration. Furthermore, we investigated demographic distributions of rural labor force...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Labor and Human Capital.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16284
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Exchange Rates, Foreign Income, and U.S. Agriculture AgEcon
Shane, Mathew; Roe, Terry L.; Somwaru, Agapi.
This paper focuses on estimating the effects of trade partner income and real trade-weighted exchange rates on US agricultural exports. For the period 1970-2003, a one percent annual increase in trade partners’ income is found to increase total agricultural exports by about 1.6 percent while a one percent appreciation of the dollar relative to trade partner trade-weighted currencies decreases total agricultural exports by about 0.8 percent. We find these effects also carry over to 12 commodity subcategories, although the effects are conditioned by differences between bulk and high value commodities, and differences in the export demand from high compared to low income countries. We also find that the negative effect of exchange rate appreciation on exports...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Exchange rates; U.S. agricultural trade; U.S. agricultural commodity exports; U.S. agricultural export prices; Foreign income; International Relations/Trade; F10; F14; Q17.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6686
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Decomposing Trade Flows: the Case of China in Global Markets AgEcon
Tuan, Francis C.; Somwaru, Agapi; Hansen, James M..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agribusiness.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61784
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Impact of China’s Agriculture Policies on Domestic and World Commodity Markets AgEcon
Hansen, James M.; Tuan, Francis C.; Somwaru, Agapi; Seeley, Ralph.
China’s agricultural and trade policies have been shifting despite little change in policy objectives. This paper investigates potential implications of recent agriculture policies applied in China, and quantitatively analyzes their impacts on domestic and international commodity markets. Results from a 42 country partial equilibrium dynamic agricultural simulation model indicate that the effects on international markets are likely to be small with world price impacts of less than one percent. The set of policies partially offset each other in the international market. Results indicate increased returns to farmers and lowering domestic prices to consumers. China’s producers increase production slightly because of increased input subsidies. Exports are...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: China; Policy; Trade; Value added tax; Export tax; Subsidies; VAT rebates; Dynamic partial equilibrium simulation model; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51704
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Dynamics of Structural Transformation: Understanding the Key Factors That Drive Innovative Activities in Selected Asian and African Countries AgEcon
Badibanga, Thaddee Mutumba; Diao, Xinshen; Roe, Terry L.; Somwaru, Agapi.
This paper develops a metric of structural transformation that can account for the production of new varieties of goods embodying advancements in technological know-how and design. Our measure captures the dynamics of an economy’s transformation and can be viewed as an extension of the static measure developed by Hausmann and Klinger (2006). We apply this measure to four digit level sitc trade data of China, Malaysia and Ghana over the period 1962-2000. The results show the rapid transformation of the Chinese economy is characterized by two important factors: the high proximity of its export basket to the three main industrial clusters – capital goods, consumer durable goods, and intermediate inputs, and the increase in the values of the new goods...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Structural Transformation; Discovery; Technological Change; International Development; F19; O14; O33; O40.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43890
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Forces behind China's Surging Trade: Competitiveness or Policy Driven? AgEcon
Somwaru, Agapi; Tuan, Francis C.; Gehlhar, Mark J.; Diao, Xinshen; Langley, Suchada V..
This paper delves into China's differential growths in trade flows with high income countries by focusing on bilateral content of trade data over the time period 1962-2005. Unlike other studies, we account for end use of traded goods ranging from primary, intermediate, and finished goods because China's policies impact all segments China's trade flows. China's trade growth patterns with major high income countries clearly indicate that the adjacency-neighborhood partners alone is unlikely to explain its unprecedented growth in exports and imports. China's outstanding performance in trade growth can be traced back to the 1970s with changes in its policies and increased involvement in the international segmentation of production processes and preferential...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: China; International trade; Growth; Policies; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9907
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Modeling U.S. Soy-Based Markets with Directed Acyclic Graphs and Time Series Econometrics: Evaluating the U.S. Market Impacts of High Soy Meal Prices AgEcon
Babula, Ronald A.; Bessler, David A.; Reeder, John; Somwaru, Agapi.
This paper demonstrates the application of a recently developed methodology, the combination of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) with Bernanke structural vector autoregression (VAR) models, to model a system of U.S. commodity-related and value-added markets. As an example, the paper applies this methodology to a monthly system of three U.S. soy-based markets: the soybean market upstream and the two downstream markets for soy meal soy oil. Analyses of results from simulating the model's impulse response function and of forecast error variance decompositions provide updated estimates of market elasticity parameters that drive these markets, and updated policy-relevant information on how these monthly markets run and dynamically interact. Results suggest how a...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Directed acyclic graphs; Bernanke structural VAR models; Monthly soy-based markets; Industrial Organization; Marketing; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15885
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A TRADE LIBERALIZATION IN INTERNATIONAL DAIRY MARKETS AgEcon
Langley, Suchada V.; Blayney, Donald P.; Stout, Jim; Somwaru, Agapi; Normile, Mary Anne; Miller, James J.; Stillman, Richard.
International dairy industries remain among the most distorted agricultural sectors. Dairy average bound tariffs remain among the highest of all agricultural commodities, and dairy trade is characterized by a large number of megatariffs and tariff-rate quotas (TRQs). The objective of our study is to examine how the international dairy markets might respond to policy changes under various assumptions, using a partial equilibrium, multiple-commodity, multiple-region model of agricultural policy and trade. Our results indicate that liberalization will reduce supplies, increase dairy trade, and raise world prices.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Dairy Markets; Trade Liberalization; Model; Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21997
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DO DIRECT PAYMENTS HAVE INTERTEMPORAL EFFECTS ON U.S. AGRICULTURE? AgEcon
Roe, Terry L.; Somwaru, Agapi; Diao, Xinshen.
The question whether production flexibility payments to farmers are likely to be minimally trade distorting is considered in an inter-temporal and economy wide context. Our contribution lies in showing the circumstances, over time, under which a minimally trade distorting result is likely to obtain. If agricultural capital markets are complete, we find that payments have long run effects on land values and land rental rates, but they have no effect on production. If capital markets are not complete, we find production effects, but they are small (0.2 percent) in the short run and disappear in the long-run. The only permanent effects are on land rental rates and land values that increase by about 10 percent in the short run tapering off to slightly above 8...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16308
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TRADE CREATION AND TRADE DIVERSION UNDER MERCORSUR: A GLOBAL INTERTEMPORAL GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS AgEcon
Diao, Xinshen; Somwaru, Agapi.
A multi-region, multi-sector global intertemporal general equilibrium model is constructed to analyze dynamic adjustments following the establishment of the Southern Common Market (MERCOSUR). The study focuses on regional trade integration effects as well as third party spillover effects. By taking into account both transitional and steady state adjustments in consumption, production, and investments, we observe significant shifts of trade diversion away from the non-member trading partners to the member countries. We also find that, following the MERCOSUR's common external tariffication, growth of intra trade would likely be accompanied by increases in trade between Mercosur and other countries.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13977
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Global Agricultural Reform and U.S. Agricultural Adjustment Capacity AgEcon
Burfisher, Mary E.; Hanson, Kenneth; Hopkins, Jeffrey W.; Somwaru, Agapi.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15763
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Cross-Commodity Analysis of China's Grain Sector: Sources of Growth and Supply Response AgEcon
Colby, Hunter; Diao, Xinshen; Somwaru, Agapi.
We investigate sources of output growth and supply response in rice, wheat, corn, and soybeans, the four most important crops in China's grain sector, during 1978-97. Using a growth accounting methodology, we found large total factor productivity (TFP) contributions to growth in grain production immediately following China's rural economic reform (1978-85). In 1995-97, the TFP contribution dropped to only 16 percent of growth in grain production, as greater use of inputs increasingly drove growth. In the supply response analysis, the results of the econometrically estimated restricted profit function confirm a joint and nonseparable multiproduct technology for China's grain sector. Complementarity prevails in the grain sector among different outputs and...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: China agriculture; Growth accounting; Total factor productivity (TFP); Multi-product supply response; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/33565
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Minnesota Agricultural Economist 696 AgEcon
Diao, Xinshen; Roe, Terry L.; Somwaru, Agapi.
Which Came First: Growth in Trade or Trade Arrangement?
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13208
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SOURCES OF GROWTH AND SUPPLY RESPONSE: A CROSS-COMMODITY ANALYSIS OF CHINA'S GRAIN SECTOR AgEcon
Colby, Hunter; Diao, Xinshen; Somwaru, Agapi.
A growth accounting method is used to analyze the sources of growth in China's rice, wheat, corn and soybeans, the four most important crops in China's grain sector, during 1978-97. A large TFP contribution to growth in grain production is found in the period immediately following China's rural economic reform (1978-85). In recent years the growth rate of TFP falls sharply, contributing less than 20 percent of growth in grain production, as increased use of inputs became the major engine of growth. If the current government policy environment remains unchanged, China's grain production will become increasingly costly and constrain future growth and competitiveness in world grain markets. The supply response of the four grains is estimated using a...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Supply response; Economic growth; Productivity; China; Crop Production/Industries; Productivity Analysis; Q11; O4; O47.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12985
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Will Special Agricultural Safeguards Advance or Retard LDC Growth and Welfare? A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis AgEcon
Somwaru, Agapi; Skully, David W..
This study examines the potential magnitude and distribution of the costs and benefits of allowing developing countries to establish Special Safeguards (SSGs) for staple agricultural commodities. An inter-temporal general equilibrium model used to simulate the static and dynamic effects of SSGs. Our results indicate that developing countries in aggregate lose welfare when SSGs are imposed for staple food and for all agricultural commodities as opposed to agricultural trade liberalization without SSGs. However, the distribution of gains and losses among developing countries is not uniform.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19533
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The Rapid Expansion of the Modern Retail Food Marketing in Emerging Market Economies: Implications to Foreign Trade and Structural Change in Agriculture AgEcon
Roe, Terry L.; Shane, Mathew; Somwaru, Agapi.
The share of resources allocated to food marketed through supermarkets and their marketing channels has grown at an unprecedented rate in lower income countries during the 1990s. The implication is that the evolution of supermarkets cannot be viewed in isolation of the broader economic – general equilibrium forces giving rise to a middle class, nor can this process be viewed in a static context. Our dynamic model captures, in an obviously aggregative way, the marketing channels that require resources to: assemble inputs for farmers, produce raw agricultural output, assemble, process and add value to, and market the final products to retail establishments in the long run.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19112
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MODELING THE EU'S EVERYTHING BUT ARMS INITIATIVE FOR THE LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES AgEcon
Trueblood, Michael A.; Somwaru, Agapi.
This study attempts to answer two key questions: what will be the likely impact of the EU's Everything But Arms (EBA) proposal, and, what would be the impact if the United States also were to implement a similar proposal? Using the GTAP model, the preliminary results in this paper show if only the EU's EBA proposal were implemented, then welfare in the least developed countries (LDCs) would increase by $2.5 billion (0.53 percent of their GDP), exports would grow by 3 percent, and GDP would grow by 2.3 percent. If the United States and the EU both implemented similar programs, then LDC welfare would increase by $3.1 billion (0.66 percent of GDP), exports would increase by 3.7 percent and total GDP growth by 2.9 percent. Another version of this scenario...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Political Economy.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19642
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CHINA'S HOG PRODUCTION STRUCTURE AND EFFICIENCY AgEcon
Somwaru, Agapi; Zhang, Xiaohui; Tuan, Francis C..
Over the last 20 years, China's demand for and supply of livestock products has increased dramatically. Although, China's livestock production has changed, with the share of pork production declining, pork production remains the core of the country's livestock industry. China's hog industry is adjusting to capture the benefits of specialization. This paper attempts to capture structural changes in China's hog production, its evolving trends, and economic efficiency. We estimate parametrically the overall efficiency and scale elasticity of 2500 surveyed hog farms in China. Our analysis indicates that the large commercialized farms are the most efficient but the middle size specialized farms with increasing returns to scale production technology are the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22003
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DECOUPLED PAYMENTS IN A CHANGING POLICY SETTING AgEcon
Ahearn, Mary Clare; Collender, Robert N.; Diao, Xinshen; Harrington, David H.; Hoppe, Robert A.; Korb, Penelope J.; Makki, Shiva S.; Morehart, Mitchell J.; Roberts, Michael J.; Roe, Terry L.; Somwaru, Agapi; Vandeveer, Monte; Westcott, Paul C.; Young, C. Edwin.
The studies in this report analyze the effects of decoupled payments in the Federal Agriculture Improvement and Reform (FAIR) Act on recipient households, and assess land, labor, risk management, and capital market conditions that can lead to links between decoupled payments and production choices. Each study contributes a different perspective to understanding the response of U.S. farm households and production to decoupled income transfers. Some use new microdata on farm households collected through USDA's Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS), initiated in 1996, and its predecessor survey. These data are used to compare household and producer behavior and outcomes before and after the FAIR Act. Other studies use applied or conceptual models to...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/33981
Registros recuperados: 69
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