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Registros recuperados: 284
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An Experimental Investigation of Inter-temporal Risk Decision-making (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Coble, Keith H.; Lusk, Jayson L..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Decision-making; Risk and Uncertainty; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48911
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Hedging a Government Entitlement: The Case of Countercyclical Payments AgEcon
Anderson, John D.; Coble, Keith H.; Miller, J. Corey.
This research evaluates whether the introduction of countercyclical payments creates an incentive for program crop producers to hedge the expected government payment using futures and/or options. Results indicate that some level of countercyclical payment hedging is optimal for risk-averse decision makers. However, optimal hedge ratios depend on planting time expectations of marketing year average price as well as on what crop, if any, has been planted on countercyclical payment base acres. These results suggest that the ability to hedge may make these payments more decoupled but also illustrate the distortion of producer behavior induced by farm programs.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Countercyclical payment; Expected utility; Hedging; Policy; Risk; Demand and Price Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty; Q12; Q13; Q18.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6299
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La comercialización de agua en tiempo de sequía: el papel del riesgo y de las expectativas en los mercados de aguas en la agricultura AgEcon
Hadjigeorgalis, Ereney.
Published by Asociación de Economistas Agrarios de Chile
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Uncertainty; Risk; Water resources; Water rights; Drought.; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97347
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Producer Heterogeneity in Crop Insurance Product Decisions within Major Corn Producing States (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Adhikari, Shyam; Belasco, Eric J.; Knight, Thomas O..
PowerPoint presentation
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Risk; Decision-making; Risk and Uncertainty; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48902
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Farmer management of production risk on degraded lands: the role of wheat genetic diversity in Tigray Region, Ethiopia AgEcon
Di Falco, Salvatore; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Smale, Melinda.
This paper investigates the effects of wheat genetic diversity and land degradation on risk and agricultural productivity in less favored production environments of a developing agricultural economy. Drawing production data from household survey conducted in the highlands of Ethiopia, we estimate a stochastic production function to evaluate the effects of variety richness, land degradation, and their interaction on the mean and the variance of wheat yield. Ethiopia is a centre of diversity for durum wheat and farmers manage complex variety mixtures on multiple plots. Econometric evidence shows that variety richness increases farm productivity. Variety richness also reduces yield variability but only for high levels of genetic diversity. Simulations with...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Land degradation; Wheat production; Productivity; Risk; Genetic diversity; Household surveys; Biodiversity; Stochastic analysis; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55417
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Stepping stones for biological invasion: A bioeconomic model of transferable risk AgEcon
Warziniack, Travis; Finnoff, David C.; Bossenbroek, Jonathan; Shogren, Jason F.; Lodge, David.
Herein we model the widespread dispersal and management of an invasive species as a weak-link public good. The risk of introduction is driven in part by economic activity, is influenced by policies directed at the risk, and economic activity responds/adapts to the risk. Framed around recent introductions and rapid spread of dreissenid mussels in the Western United States, we find three key results. First, partial equilibrium estimates of welfare loss are significantly overestimated relative to general equilibrium estimates. If ecosystem services and market goods are substitutes the partial equilibrium bias is greater than if they are compliments. Second, well-intended policies do not necessarily reduce overall risk; risk reduction actions can transfer risk...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Bioeconomic; Invasive species; Risk; Weak-link; Welfare; Environmental Economics and Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Q2; Q26; Q57.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/60957
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Migration and Land Rental as Risk Response in Rural China AgEcon
Ward, Patrick S.; Shively, Gerald E..
Households in developing countries take various actions to smooth income or consumption as a means of managing or responding to risk. One of the principal means of smoothing income is through the diversification of income sources, including non-farm employment and rural-urban migration. An important consumption smoothing strategy involves the accumulation and depletion of assets. We examine migration and land rental market participation as responses to risk in rural China. Using a longitudinal data set comprised of households in nine provinces in China from 1991 through 2006, we are able to test for the effect of various manifestations of underlying idiosyncratic and covariate income risk on household responses. We find that covariate risks increase...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: China; Risk; Consumption smoothing; Income smoothing; International Development; Labor and Human Capital; Risk and Uncertainty; O15; R23; Q15.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103379
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Target Markets for Grain and Cotton Marketing Consultants and Market Information Systems AgEcon
Vergara, Oscar; Coble, Keith H.; Hudson, Darren; Knight, Thomas O.; Patrick, George F.; Baquet, Alan E..
This paper examines the use of market consultants and market information systems by grain and cotton producers. A model of producer demand for marketing information and consultants is proposed that decomposes price received into exogenous and endogenous components. The analysis is based on a survey of over 1,600 producers. The results suggest that expenditures on market information systems and market consultants are not independent and, more specifically, expenditures on marketing consultants substitute for expenditures on market information systems.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Expected utility; Market information; Marketing; Risk; Tobit; Marketing.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30780
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Ecological Risks of Novel Environmental Crop Technologies Using Phytoremediation as an Example AgEcon
Angle, J. Scott; Linacre, Nicholas A..
Phytoremediation is the use of living plants, known as hyperaccumulators which absorb unusually large amounts of metals in comparison to other plants. The use of classical plant breeding and new molecular techniques offers great potential to develop crops with the ability to clean up polluted sites. While these technologies have gained widespread attention, prior to commercial development, there are risks that must be considered – only a few of which have received even modest examination. Therefore, the focus of this working paper is to explore specific risks associated with phytoremediation and suggest ways in which these risks can be managed so that new, novel, and innovative plant technologies may be applied to provide low cost and efficient...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk; GMO; Biotechnology; Phytoremediation; Phytoextraction; Phytomining; Environmental risk; Crop Production/Industries; Q16; Q2.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/59225
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Risk Adjusted Productivity Measures AgEcon
Glazyrina, Anna; Shaik, Saleem.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Productivity measures; DEA; Hyperbolic distance function; Panel data; Productivity Analysis; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56580
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Risk-Adjusted Comparison of Conservation Reserve Program Payments Versus Production Payments for a Corn-Soybean Farmer AgEcon
Ibendahl, Gregory A..
Conservation reserve program (CRP) payments amount to several billion dollars annually. Payments are allocated to both remove land from production and to help farmers pay for conservation improvements. However, research examining whether farmers increase their utility with CRPs is limited. This paper uses simulation analysis and certainty equivalents to compare farming income to payments under the CRP. Farming income is a combination of crop production and government payments as specified in the 2002 Farm Bill. This analysis focuses on farms in three different counties in Kentucky. Results indicate that CRPs are good choices for many farmers.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Certainty equivalents; Conservation; CRP; Government payments; Risk; Simulation; Q15; Q18; Q16; C15.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43391
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Management Type Environmental Policy Instruments – An Empirical Investigation AgEcon
Sauer, Johannes; Walsh, John.
The overall aim of this study is to empirically investigate the cost structure of a management agreement type agri-environmental instrument and to identify factors for cost variation over space and time. We control for the actual level of compliance by using compliance weighted average scheme cost ratios. Beside technological and economic performance measures, we also incorporate risk proxies. In addition, we consider unobserved heterogeneity or path dependency with respect to unknown administrative, spatial and farm specific factors. Hence, we try to disentangle random and fixed scheme cost effects by applying a bootstrapped mixed-effects regression approach using the empirical case of the Environmental Stewardship Scheme in the UK. Regional and sectoral...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Ecosystem Services; Scheme Cost; Risk; Mixed-Effects Regression; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q18; Q57; Q58.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91731
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Joint-liability borrowing decisions under risk: Empirical evidence from rural microfinance in Ethiopia AgEcon
Berhane Tesfay, G.; Gardebroek, Cornelis.
This paper investigates borrowing decisions of rural households from a microfinance in Tigray, Ethiopia using household panel data on 5 years and a dynamic panel probit model. The theoretical model takes two types of risk involved in joint-liability lending explicitly into account: risk of partner failure and the risk of losing future access to credit. Empirical results show that these risks are important in explaining borrowing decisions. Another finding is that the probability of repeat-borrowing is higher than the probability of new participation, with possible implications that perceived joint-liability threats deter participation and easing stringent punishments might help poor households’ access to credit.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Microfinance; Risk; Dynamic panel probit; Financial Economics.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44202
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VALUING RISK TRADEOFFS AND VOLUNTARY INSECTICIDE REDUCTION AgEcon
Lohr, Luanne; Park, Timothy A.; Higley, Leon.
Farmer's willingness to voluntarily reduce insecticide use is not considered when regulatory approaches to environmental protection are proposed. Regulations that require behavior that would voluntarily be undertaken are excessive and economically inefficient. Using survey data from a contingent valuation scenario, we demonstrate the willingness of crop producers in four Midwestern states in the U.S. to trade yield losses for environmental risk reduction by eliminating an insecticide application. The mean acceptable yield loss for a sample of 1,138 producers in Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska and Ohio is $8.25 per acre. Acceptable yield loss increases with the rated importance of environmental goods (fish, birds, mammals, native plants and endangered species),...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Decision models; Agriculture; Environmental protection; Risk; Contingent valuation; Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16671
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Okonomische Hysterese in der Veredlungsproduktion AgEcon
Hinrichs, Jan; Musshoff, Oliver; Odening, Martin.
German hog production responds only very limited to price fluctuations in the pork market. The hog production concentrates in a few regions though it does not depend on special natural conditions. Furthermore, the production volume does hardly vary over time. Relatively high market risks, sunk costs, and the flexibility of the decision maker to defer investments characterize decision problems hog production. Thus the real option approach is chosen to explain the inertia in production capacity. Using panel data of specialised hog farms from the German farm accountancy data network (FADN) an empirical investment model is estimated. Formally, the model has the structure of an ordered probit model. This approach allows to test for economic hysteresis in the...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Economic Hysteresis; Risk; Real options; Hog production; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18813
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Risk Management Strategies by Australian Farmers AgEcon
Nguyen, Nam C.; Wegener, Malcolm K.; Russell, Iean W.; Cameron, Donald; Coventry, David; Cooper, Ian M..
Australian farmers operate in one of the most risky environment in the world. They have to cope with various sources of risk in their businesses. This paper reports results of two case studies undertaken to examine the issues of farming risks and risk management strategies in Australia. The first case study found that climate variability, financial risk, marketing risk, and personal risk were regarded as the major sources of farming risk in the Upper Eyre Peninsula of South Australia. The main management strategies used by farmers included diversifying varieties, minimising tillage, minimising area of risky crops and maximising area of the least-risky crop, having high equity, having farm management deposits and other off-farm investments, and "leaving...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Risk management; Strategies; Farmers; Australia; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24295
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Optimal investment in prevention and control of a potential invader: the case of zebra mussels in Florida waterways AgEcon
Adams, Damian C.; Lee, Donna J.; Rossi, Frederick J..
The probability of a severe infestation ranges from 2% to 98% depending on investment in monitoring, prevention, and response technology. Given the estimated potential for economic damages, preliminary results indicate that prudent investment in prevention and early response net a present value net return of $10 million over 20 years.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Invasive species; Bio-pollutant; Control cost; Cost transfer; Surface water; Risk; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34933
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Pollution Control with Uncertain Stock Dynamics: When, and How, to be Precautious AgEcon
Athanassoglou, Stergios; Xepapadeas, Anastasios.
Replaced with revised version of paper 10/05/11.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk; Ambiguity; Robust Control; Precautionary Principle; Pollution Control; Environmental Economics and Policy; C61; D80; D81.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/101296
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Modelling farm production risk with copulae instead of correlations AgEcon
Schulte-Geers, Matthias; Berg, Ernst.
The optimisation of production plans is an important topic in agriculture, often related to diversification and specialisation as the classical instruments of coping with production risk. Although the measurement of embedded risk is often inaccurate, it is nevertheless necessary for decision making to describe the common behaviour of different variables in a model. Imprecisely defined relationships influence the “right” choice, why it is important to find a good approximation of the real circumstances. In financial science, copula functions are frequently used instead of correlation coefficients to model joint price behaviour, because of the possibility to link the marginal distributions on multifarious ways. By now, agricultural science makes less use of...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Copula; Risk; Weather derivatives; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/115996
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STIMULATING GROWTH AND MINIMIZING RISK IN AGRICULTURAL LENDING UNDER THE AGRICULTURAL CREDIT GUARANTEE SCHEME FUND (ACGSF) IN BAUCHI STATE, NIGERIA AgEcon
Nasiru, M.; Jibril, S.A.; Sani, R.M.; Sabo, A.M..
This study examined the impact of ACGSF in stimulating growth and minimizing of risk in Agricultural lending in Bauchi State. Forty three (43) farmers were randomly sampled and data collected through the use of structured questionnaire. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, correlation and multiple regression analysis. The results showed that farmers farm size increased considerably (P>0. 001) after taking the loan and the farm in come also increased (P<0. 001) after taking the loan for an average of two seasons. The results also showed that the educational level of the farmers does not affect loan amount directly even though there is strong positive correlation between the level of farmers’ education and their ability to meaningfully...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Growth; Risk; Agriculture; Credit; Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54391
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