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Registros recuperados: 114
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UNDERSTANDING CROP INSURANCE PRINCIPLES: A PRIMER FOR FARM LEADERS AgEcon
Barnett, Barry J.; Coble, Keith H..
Federal policy-makers increasingly emphasize the Federal Crop Insurance Program as the primary federal risk management program for farmers. Farm leaders need to understand the underlying mechanics of insurance products if they are to effectively argue their interests and contribute constructively to future agricultural policy dialogue. Further they need to understand the unique circumstances created by the fact that the Federal Crop Insurance program functions as a public-private partnership between the U.S. government and private insurance companies. This manuscript describes both the fundamental features of insurance products and the political economy of the federal crop insurance program.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Revenue insurance; Insurability criteria; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15784
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Risk in Agriculture: Modeling Revenue Insurance for Crop Farms in Belgium AgEcon
Hansen, Kristiana; Frahan, Bruno Henry de.
With trade liberalization in the Common Agricultural Policy, farmers within the European Union are increasingly exposed to the risk of fluctuations in output price and yields. Using numerical simulation methods, we model the effects of crop insurance on farm revenues and land allocation patterns among arable crop farms in the Region of Wallonia in the south of Belgium. We employ a mathematical programming framework within which we have embedded an econometrically estimated, farm-specific cost function that allows us to analyze the farm-specific effects of crop insurance.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Yield risk; Belgium; Agricultural and Food Policy; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61535
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Coping with Systemic Risk in Index-based Crop Insurance AgEcon
Shen, Zhiwei; Odening, Martin.
The implementation of index-based crop insurance is often impeded by the existence of systemic risk of insured losses. We assess the effectiveness of two strategies for coping with systemic risk: regional diversification and securitization with catastrophe (CAT) bonds. The analysis is conducted in an equilibrium pricing framework which allows the optimal price of the insurance and the number of traded contracts to be determined. We also explore the role of basis risk and risk aversion of market agents. The model is applied to a hypothetical area yield insurance for rice producers in northeast China. If yields in two regions are positively correlated, we find that enlarging the insured area leads to an increasing insurance premium. Unless capital market...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Systemic risk; Risk pooling; Securitization; Risk and Uncertainty; Q11; Q14.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122555
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MARKETING OF COTTON FIBER IN THE PRESENCE OF YIELD AND PRICE RISK AgEcon
Wojciechowski, Jan; Ames, Glenn C.W.; Turner, Steven C.; Miller, Bill R..
An expected-utility model and a chance-constrained linear programming model were used to analyze four marketing strategies and seven crop insurance alternatives for cotton marketing in Georgia. The results suggest that existing marketing tools and insurance alternatives can be used to reduce cotton producers' revenue risk. The optimal level of yield and price insurance coverage depends on an individual producer's risk aversion.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Marketing strategies; Risk aversion; Marketing.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15315
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Evaluating Crop and Revenue Insurance Products as Risk Management Tools for Texas Cotton Producers AgEcon
Field, James E.; Misra, Sukant K.; Ramirez, Octavio A..
This paper develops and illustrates the application of a procedure to evaluate and compare the cost effectiveness of alternative crop insurance products for cotton in terms of their effect on expected producer net returns and the variation of net returns. Farm unit-level cotton yields and state-level price distributions are estimated by a multivariate nonnormal parametric modeling procedure and used to simulate the net returns to alternative crop insurance products over a 10-year planning horizon. The ranking of alternative insurance products using third-degree stochastic dominance is presented for Texas cotton producers.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cotton; Crop insurance; Multivariate nonnormal parametric modeling; Stochastic dominance; C5; Q1.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37314
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Recap of the 2008 Crop Insurance Year: What Can We Learn from Models? (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Vergara, Oscar; Zuba, Gerhard; Seaquist, Jack.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Models; Decision-making; Risk and Uncertainty; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48910
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Evaluation of Risk Management Methods for Satsuma Mandarin AgEcon
Lindsey, Jeanne K.; Duffy, Patricia A.; Nelson, Robert G.; Ebel, Robert C.; Dozier, William A..
Simulation of production budgets were used to compare net discounted returns and the distribution of returns under alternative risk-mitigation scenarios. Results indicate that the combination of freeze protection and crop insurance increases expected net discounted 20-year returns while decreasing the downside risk. Break-even prices ranged from $.257 to $.289 per pound. Crop insurance returns were constant across price.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Satsuma oranges; Freeze protection; Crop insurance; Production budget; Simulation; Crop Production/Industries; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty; C63; D81; Q12.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/46754
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A TWO-STAGE MODEL OF THE DEMAND FOR SPECIALTY CROP INSURANCE AgEcon
Knox, Lyle; Richards, Timothy J..
Legislators are considering raising catastrophic (CAT 50% coverage) crop insurance premiums. However, estimates of a two-stage coverage-choice and participation model using county-level data from California grape growers show that the demand for CAT insurance is price-elastic, therefore, premium increases will worsen the financial performance of the grape-insurance program.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Discrete / continuous choice; Grapes; Multinomial logit; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21681
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Crop Revenue and Yield Insurance Demand: A Subjective Probability Approach AgEcon
Shaik, Saleem; Coble, Keith H.; Knight, Thomas O.; Baquet, Alan E.; Patrick, George F..
A multinomial logit is utilized to model the choice of whether to purchase yield or revenue insurance using subjectively elicited survey data. Our results indicate that the demand for crop insurance is inelastic (-0.40), consistent with most earlier yield elasticity estimates, but the elasticity for choices between yield and revenue insurance is found to be relatively more elastic (-0.88).
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Elasticities; Multinomial logit model; Revenue demand; Subjective elicitation; Survey; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Q18.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/47256
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Factors Affecting Farmers’ Utilization of Agricultural Risk Management Tools: The Case of Crop Insurance, Forward Contracting, and Spreading Sales AgEcon
Velandia, Margarita M.; Rejesus, Roderick M.; Knight, Thomas O.; Sherrick, Bruce J..
Factors affecting the adoption of crop insurance, forward contracting, and spreading sales are analyzed using multivariate and multinomial probit approaches that account for simultaneous adoption and/or correlation among the three risk management adoption decisions. Our empirical results suggest that the decision to adopt crop insurance, forward contracting, and/or spreading sales are correlated. Richer insights can be drawn from our multivariate and multinomial probit analysis than from separate, single-equation probit estimation that assumes independence of adoption decisions. Some factors significantly affecting the adoption of the risk management tools analyzed are proportion of owned acres, off-farm income, education, age, and level of business risks.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Adoption decisions; Crop insurance; Forward contracting; Multinomial probit; Multivariate probit; Risk management; Spreading sales; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty; G22; Q12; Q18.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48751
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Using a Farmer's Beta for Improved Estimation of Expected Yields AgEcon
Carriquiry, Miguel A.; Babcock, Bruce A.; Hart, Chad E..
Effects of sampling error in estimation of farmers’ mean yields for crop insurance purposes and their implications for actuarial soundness are explored using farm-level corn yield data in Iowa. Results indicate that sampling error, combined with nonlinearities in the indemnity function, leads to empirically estimated insurance rates that exceed actuarially fair values. The difference depends on the coverage level, the number of observations used, and the participation strategy followed by farmers. A new estimator for mean yields based on the decomposition of farm yields into systemic and idiosyncratic components is proposed, which could lead to improved rate-making and reduce adverse selection.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Actual production history (APH); Adverse selection; Crop insurance; Mean yields estimation; Sampling error; Crop Production/Industries; Farm Management.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36707
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INVESTIGATING THE IMPLICATIONS OF MULTI-CROP REVENUE INSURANCE FOR PRODUCER RISK MANAGEMENT AgEcon
Miller, J. Corey; Coble, Keith H.; Barnett, Barry J..
This study investigates the potential for alternative multi-crop revenue insurance designs in comparison to single crop yield and revenue insurance designs. A non-parametric multi-crop insurance model is developed which subsumes the single crop designs. The results compare alternative designs in terms of rate levels and risk reduction gains for representative Mississippi producers.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Revenue insurance; Risk; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15802
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How strong is the “natural hedge”? The effects of crop acreage and aggregation levels AgEcon
Finger, Robert.
The level of natural hedge, i.e. the (negative) correlation between price and yield levels, is an important determinant for farmers’ income risks and their demand for risk management instruments. The natural hedge is often approximated with correlations observed at more aggregated levels, e.g. the county level. This induces biases because the natural hedge at the farm-level is smaller than on more aggregated levels. In this paper, we put this idea one step forward and investigate the empirical relationship between price-yield correlations and the underlying crop acreage, using farm-level data for 5 crops in Switzerland. We find that, for instance, a 1% increase in area under maize and intensive barley leads to a change in the correlation by -0.02 and...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Price-yield correlation; Aggregation bias; Crop insurance; Risk and Uncertainty; Q1; G2.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122538
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PRODUCTION RISK AND CROP INSURANCE IN MALTING BARLEY: A STOCHASTIC DOMINANCE ANALYSIS AgEcon
Gustafson, Cole R.; Wilson, William W.; Dahl, Bruce L..
Malt barley is an important specialty crop in the Northern Plains and growers mitigate risk with federally subsidized crop insurance and production contracts. However, growers face considerable risk due to "“coverage gaps"” in crop insurance that result in uncertain indemnity payments due to uncertainty of their crop meeting contract specifications. A stochastic dominance model is developed to evaluate alternative risk efficient strategies for growers with differing risk attitudes and production practices (irrigation vs. dryland). Results show that efficient choices are highly dependent on risk attitudes for dryland growers, but not irrigated growers. Sensitivities with respect to acceptance risk and level of crop insurance subsidization are presented....
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Malting barley; Stochastic dominance; Stochastic efficiency; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21095
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A Crop Yield Expectation Stochastic Process with Beta Distribution as Limit AgEcon
Hennessy, David A..
The modeling of price risk in the theory and practice of commodity risk management has been developed far beyond that of crop yield risk. This is in large part due to the use of plausible stochastic price processes. We use the Pólya urn to identify and develop a model of the crop yield expectation stochastic process over a growing season. The process allows a role for agronomic events, such as growing degree days. The model is internally consistent in adhering to the martingale property. The limiting distribution is the beta, commonly used in yield modeling. By applying binomial tree analysis, we show how to use the framework to study hedging decisions and crop valuation.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Growing degree days; Martingale; Pólya urn; Stochastic process.; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54829
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Risk Management Education: An Examination of Crop Producers' Participation in Recent Programs and of Their Desire for Additional Training AgEcon
Knight, Thomas O.; Coble, Keith H.; Patrick, George F.; Baquet, Alan E..
Risk management education has been a focus of U.S. farm policy since 1996. In support of significant ongoing United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) educational efforts, this study examines agricultural producers’ educational needs and interests. Data obtained through a survey of crop producers are used in probit models examining interest in additional training in five areas including forward contracting, futures and options, crop yield insurance, crop revenue insurance, and financial management. The study results should be useful in determining appropriate risk management education program content and in indentifying and tailoring to specific target audiences.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Commodity futures; Commodity options; Crop insurance; Forward contracting; Risk management; D81; D83; Q16.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43164
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Influence of the Premium Subsidy on Farmers' Crop Insurance Coverage Decisions AgEcon
Babcock, Bruce A.; Hart, Chad E..
The Agricultural Risk Protection Act greatly increased the expected marginal net benefit of farmers buying high-coverage crop insurance policies by coupling premium subsidies to coverage level. This policy change, combined with cross-sectional variations in expected marginal net benefits of high-coverage policies, is used to estimate the role that premium subsidies play in farmers' crop insurance decisions. We use county data for corn, soybeans, and wheat to estimate regression equations that are then used to obtain insight into two policy scenarios. We first estimate that eventual adoption of actuarially fair incremental premiums, combined with current coupled subsidies, would increase farmers' purchase of high-coverage policies by almost 400 percent...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural Risk Protection Act; Crop insurance; Premium subsidies; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18494
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The Farm Level Impacts of Replacing Current Farm Programs with a Whole Farm Revenue Program AgEcon
Raulston, J. Marc; Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M..
This study evaluates the farm level economic impacts of implementing a whole farm revenue insurance program in lieu of current government program payments on agricultural producers in major production areas of the United States. Realizing a multitude of viable options exist, this study demonstrates one way a whole farm revenue coverage program could work at the farm level and makes comparisons between the current baseline situation and alternative levels of revenue coverage implementation.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural policy; Simulation; Representative farms; Government payments; Crop insurance; Revenue coverage; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98785
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A Two Stage Model of the Demand For Specialty Crop Insurance AgEcon
Richards, Timothy J..
Proposals for reform of the federal multiple-peril crop insurance program for specialty crops seek to change fees for catastrophic (CAT) insurance from a nominal fifty-dollar per contract registration fee to an actuarially sound premium. Growers argue that this would cause a significant reduction in participation rates, thus impeding the program's goals of eventually obviating the need for ad hoc disaster payments and worsening the actuarial soundness of the program. The key policy issue is, therefore, empirical one - whether the demand for specialty crop insurance is elastic or inelastic. Previous studies of this issue using either grower or county-level field crop data typically treat the participation problem as either a discrete insure / don't insure...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: California; Crop insurance; Discrete/continuous choice; Grapes; Multinomial logit.; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28546
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Patterns of Collusion in the U.S. Crop Insurance Program: An Empirical Analysis AgEcon
Rejesus, Roderick M.; Little, Bertis B.; Lovell, Ashley C.; Cross, Mike H.; Shucking, Michael.
This article analyzes anomalous patterns of agent, adjuster, and producer claim outcomes and determines the most likely pattern of collusion that is suggestive of fraud, waste, and abuse in the federal crop insurance program. Log-linear analysis of Poisson-distributed counts of anomalous entities is used to examine potential patterns of collusion. The most likely pattern of collusion present in the crop insurance program is where agents, adjusters, and producers nonrecursively interact with each other to coordinate their behavior. However, if a priori an intermediary is known to initiate and coordinate the collusion, a pattern where the producer acts as the intermediary is the most likely pattern of collusion evidenced in the data. These results have...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Abuse; Collusion; Crop insurance; Empirical analysis; Fraud; Waste; G22; Q12; Q18; Q19.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43393
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