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Long-term trends in fish recruitment in the north-east Atlantic related to climate change ArchiMer
Brunel, Thomas; Boucher, Jean.
This study investigates the temporal correspondence between the main patterns of recruitment variations among north-east Atlantic exploited fish populations and large-scale climate and temperature indices. It is of primary importance to know what changes in fish stock productivity can be expected in response to climate change, to design appropriate management strategies. The dominant patterns of recruitment variation were extracted using a standardized principal component analysis (PCA). The first principal component (PC) was a long-term decline, with a stepwise change occurring in 1987. A majority of Baltic Sea, North Sea, west of Scotland and Irish Sea populations, especially the gadoids, have followed this decreasing trend. On the contrary, some herring...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: North Atlantic; Global warming; Fishing impacts; Fish recruitment; Comparative approach; Climate change.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/2007/publication-2636.pdf
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Postglacial paleoceanography of the western Barents Sea: Implications for alkenone-based sea surface temperatures and primary productivity ArchiMer
Łącka, Magdalena; Cao, Min; Rosell-melé, Antoni; Pawłowska, Joanna; Kucharska, Małgorzata; Forwick, Matthias; Zajączkowski, Marek.
The increasing influence of Atlantic Water (AW) in the Barents Sea, a process known as “Atlantification”, is gradually decreasing sea ice cover in the region. Ongoing global climate warming is likely to be one of its drivers, but to further understand the role of natural variability and the biogeochemical impacts of the inflow of AW into the western Barents Sea, we reconstructed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and primary productivity in Storfjordrenna, a climatically sensitive area south of Spitsbergen, between approximately 13,950 cal yr BP and 1300 cal yr BP. The alkenone proxy has been applied to reconstruct SSTs, and the alkenone accumulation rate in marine sediments has been used to infer changes in primary productivity. Our data show that the SST...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Alkenones; Stratification; Holocene; Sea ice decrease; Global warming; North Atlantic Current; Arctic.
Ano: 2019 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00585/69740/67629.pdf
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Trend and Variability in Global Upper-Ocean Stratification Since the 1960s ArchiMer
Yamaguchi, Ryohei; Suga, Toshio.
Many studies on future climate projection point out that with progressing of global warming, upper-ocean density stratification will strengthen over this century, and consequently, global-averaged ocean primary productivity will decrease. Observed long-term changes in the stratification to date, however, still show large uncertainties of the change itself and its driver. Focusing on the vertical difference in the emergence of the global warming signals, we used only observational profiles to describe the spatiotemporal characteristic of long-term trend and variability in the upper-ocean stratification (defined as the density difference between the surface and 200-m depth). Statistically significant strengthening of the stratification since the 1960s was...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Global warming; Upper-ocean stratification; Long-term change; Observational profile; Climate mode; Interannual variability.
Ano: 2019 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00676/78796/81044.pdf
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Comment la stratégie MMEY atténue les effets bio-économiques du changement climatique dans les pêcheries mixtes ArchiMer
Lagarde, Adrien; Ahad-cisse, Abdoul; Gourguet, Sophie; Le Pape, Olivier; Thebaud, Olivier; Caill-milly, Nathalie; Morandeau, Gilles; Macher, Claire; Doyen, Luc.
This paper examines the effect of climate warming on the bio-economic performance of Bay of Biscay mixed fisheries and provides insights into the best management strategy for coping with global warming. To achieve this, a dynamic multi-species, multi-class, multi-fleets model is developed and calibrated using biological and environmental ICES and IPCC data. Fishing and economic data have been collected within the European DCF. The climate represented by the Sea Surface temperature is assumed to affect species recruitment. Three management strategies are then compared in terms of bio-economic outcomes: Status-Quo (SQ), Multi-species Maximum Sustainable Yield (MMSY), Multispecies Maximum Economic Yield (MMEY). Strategies are ranked with respect to two...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Bio-économique; Scénarios; Changement climatique; Pêcheries; Soutenabilité; Golfe de Gascogne; Bio-economics; Scenarios; Global warming; Fisheries; Sustainability; Bay of Biscay.
Ano: 2017 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00637/74884/75282.pdf
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Recent changes in the Dutch Heteroptera fauna (Insecta: Hemiptera) Naturalis
Aukema, B..
Recent changes in the Dutch Heteroptera fauna (Insecta: Hemiptera) At present 610 species of Heteroptera are recorded from the Netherlands. The database of the Dutch bureau of the European Invertebrate Survey currently includes about 130 000 Dutch records (combinations of locality and species). The records, however, are strongly biased towards aquatic and semiaquatic species (72 761 records of 64 species = 1137 records/species) in comparison with terrestrial species (55 375 records of 545 species = 101 records/species). Although since about 1850 there have always been Dutch heteropterists, collecting efforts show large differences in time and place and it is for instance easy to locate both residences and favourite holiday resorts of heteropterists from...
Tipo: Article in monograph or in proceedings Palavras-chave: Heteroptera; Dutch fauna; Turnover; Extinctions; New arrivals; Range changes; Global warming; 42.75.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://www.repository.naturalis.nl/record/219853
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Greenhouse gases emission and sustainable development of animal agriculture OAK
Takahashi, Junichi; 高橋, 潤一.
2006年8月3日とかちプラザ・レインボーホールで開催、日本ユネスコ国内委員会主催の帯広農村開発教育国際セミナー(OASERD)国際連合ユネスコアジア太平洋地域教育開発計画事業(APEID)シンポジウム「地球にやさしい農畜産業をめざして : 温室効果ガスの発生と制御」講演資料
Palavras-chave: Global warming; Greenhouse gas; Nitrous oxide; Methane; Kyoto Protocol.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://ir.obihiro.ac.jp/dspace/handle/10322/1892
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Education of rural development for agriculture and animal agriculture in Asia and Pacific OAK
Takahashi, Junichi; 高橋, 潤一.
2003年8月28日とかちプラザで開催、日本ユネスコ国内委員会主催の帯広農村開発教育国際セミナー(OASERD)国際連合ユネスコアジア太平洋地域教育開発計画事業(APEID)シンポジウム「地球にやさしい農業をめざして : 緑地回復と持続的農業」講演資料
Palavras-chave: APEID; OASERD; Global warming; Agriculture; Animal agriculture.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://ir.obihiro.ac.jp/dspace/handle/10322/1903
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Climate warming and sea level rise. OceanDocs
Yue, Jun; Dong, Yue; Wu, Sangyun; Geng, Xiushan; Zhao, Changrong.
Based on a large number of actual data, the author believe that the modern global warming and sea level rise resulted from climate warming after the cold front of the Little Ice Age about 200 years ago and the developmnet of the sea level rise phase. In the past 30 years, the rate of sea level rise was increasing, which is under the background of the average temperature uplift 0.2F°(0.11 °C)every 10 years in succession from the 1980s to the past 10 years this century. On the basis of the absolute and relative sea-level rise rate that was calculated from the tidal data during the same period at home and abroad in the last 30 years, in accordance with the resolutions of the 2010 climate conference in Cancun, at the same time, considering the previous...
Tipo: Journal Contribution Palavras-chave: Global warming; Sea level variations; Prediction; Evaluation.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1834/5832
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Implications of Expected Climate Change in the Eastern African Coastal Region: an Overview OceanDocs
Ogallo, L.J.; Alusa, A.L..
Anticipated global warming as a result of the emission of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere was the most important subject discussed during the fifteenth session of the Governing Council of UNEP and at the Second World Climate Conference. The so-called greenhouse effect is a most pressing environmental problem to the extent that it involves many scientific disciplines and hence presents major challenges. The greenhouse gases (CO2,' CFCs, CH4, N2O, O3, etc.) have the effect of changing the atmosphere's radiative balance by trapping more heat near the earth's surface resulting in a rise in global mean surface temperature. It is now clear that if the burning of fossil fuel continues at the present rate, global warming is a virtual certainty.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Global warming; Climate change; Http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_35367.
Ano: 1992 URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1834/825
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Distribution and habitat of brazilian-pine according to global climate change PFB - Pesquisa Florestal Brasileira
Wrege, Marcos Silveira; Fritzsons, Elenice; Soares, Márcia Toffani Simão; Bognola, Itamar Antônio; Sousa, Valderês Aparecida de; Sousa, Letícia Penno de; Gomes, João Bosco Vasconcellos; Aguiar, Ananda Virgínia de; Gomes, Gustavo Crizel; Matos, Maria de Fátima Silva; Scarante, Andressa Godinho; Ferrer, Rogério Soares.
Araucaria angustifolia (Bertol.) O. Kuntze., also known as brazilian-pine, is a forest native species from Brazil. A. angustifolia is more vulnerable to global climate change, considering it is living in cold and humid mountain regions from southern and southeastern Brazil. Among the native Brazilian forest species, it presents one of the greatest growth and genetic gain potential. It shows excellent wood quality and can still be used in human and animal food, presenting great economic, social and environmental value. In order to determine current distribution of the species and better know its habitat, we worked in the regions representing the borders of natural occurrence, identifying populations and getting trees altitude and geographycal position....
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Genetic conservation; Global warming; Geographical distribution conservação genética; Melhoramento vegetal; Agrometeorologia; Biogeografia Conservação genética; Aquecimento global; Distribuição geográfica.
Ano: 2017 URL: http://pfb.cnpf.embrapa.br/pfb/index.php/pfb/article/view/1413
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Climate change vulnerability and uncertainty reduction in projections for Dicksonia sellowiana (Pres.) Hook PFB - Pesquisa Florestal Brasileira
Medeiros, Marcelo Brilhante de; Cardoso, Mahalia Sojo; Albuquerque, Rafael Walter; Noronha, Sérgio Eustáquio.
This work had the objective of investigate the impacts of climate changes with different climate settings on the spatial distribution of Dicksonia sellowiana (Pres.) Hook. The survey was carried out by using spatial distribution modeling and methods in order to reduce the uncertainty of these predictions. The software Openmodeller was used to run the modeling with five spatial distribution algorithms. The modeling included the climate model HadCM3 of green house gases emission for the year 2050 for two CO2 emission scenarios: optimistic (B2) and pessimistic (A2). The area under the curve (AUC statistics) and the Kappa statistics resulted high values for all algorithms tested meaning high values of accuracy. Regarding only the species habitats available all...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Atlantic Forest; Xaxim; Global warming; Ecological niche Ecologia Vegetal; Biogeografia Mata Atlântica; Xaxim; Aquecimento global; Nicho ecológico.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://pfb.cnpf.embrapa.br/pfb/index.php/pfb/article/view/372
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Impacts of climate change on the agricultural zoning of climate risk for cotton cultivation in Brazil PAB
Assad,Eduardo Delgado; Martins,Susian Christian; Beltrão,Napoleão Esberard de Macêdo; Pinto,Hilton Silveira.
The objective of this work was to evaluate the effect of the temperature increase forecasted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) on agricultural zoning of cotton production in Brazil. The Northeastern region showed the highest decrease in the low-risk area for cotton cultivation due to the projected temperature increase. This area in the Brazilian Northeast may decrease from 83 million ha in 2010 to approximately 71 million ha in 2040, which means 15% reduction in 30 years. Southeastern and Center-Western regions had small decrease in areas suitable for cotton production until 2040, while the Northern region showed no reduction in these areas. Temperature increase will not benefit cotton cultivation in Brazil because dimension of...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Gossypium hirsutum; Evapotranspiration; Global warming.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2013000100001
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Maize leaf development under climate change scenarios PAB
Streck,Nereu Augusto; Langner,Josana Andréia; Lago,Isabel.
The objective of this work was to simulate maize leaf development in climate change scenarios at Santa Maria, RS, Brazil, considering symmetric and asymmetric increases in air temperature. The model of Wang & Engel for leaf appearance rate (LAR), with genotype-specific coefficients for the maize variety BRS Missões, was used to simulate tip and expanded leaf accumulated number from emergence to flag leaf appearance and expansion, for nine emergence dates from August 15 to April 15. LAR model was run for each emergence date in 100-year climate scenarios: current climate, and +1, +2, +3, +4 and +5°C increase in mean air temperature, with symmetric and asymmetric increase in daily minimum and maximum air temperature. Maize crop failure due to frost...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Zea mays; Elevated temperature; Frost risk; Global warming; Leaf appearance; Vegetative development.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2010001100001
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Long-term changes in rice development in Southern Brazil, during the last ten decades PAB
Streck,Nereu Augusto; Uhlmann,Lilian Osmari; Gabriel,Luana Fernandes.
The objective of this work was to test long-term trends in the duration of rice development phases in Santa Maria, RS, Brazil. The duration from emergence to V3 (EM-V3), emergence to panicle differentiation (EM-R1), emergence to anthesis (EM-R4), and emergence to all grains with brown hull (EM-R9) was calculated using leaf appearance and developmental models for four rice cultivars (IRGA 421, IRGA 417, EPAGRI 109, and EEA 406), for the period from 1912 to 2011, considering three emergence dates (early, mid, and late). The trend of the time series was tested with the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test, and the magnitude of the trend was estimated with simple linear regression. Rice development has changed over the last ten decades in this location, leading to...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Oryza sativa; Development rate; Global warming; Growing season; Maturity group; Modeling; Phenology.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2012000600001
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Produtividade simulada de tubérculos de batata em cenários de mudanças climáticas PAB
Fagundes,Joelma Dutra; Streck,Nereu Augusto; Bisognin,Dilson Antônio; Schwantes,Ana Paula; Alberto,Cleber Maus.
The objective of this study was to simulate potato (Solanum tuberosum) tuber yield in different climate change scenarios of increased carbon dioxide concentration [CO2] and air temperature, considering symmetric and asymmetric increases in minimum and maximum daily air temperatures. Spitters model was used to simulate Asterix cultivar tuber yield considering two growing seasons (spring and fall) recommended for Santa Maria, state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. In each growing season, five planting dates were evaluated in climate scenarios of a hundred years with no increase in [CO2] and temperature (current scenario), and in scenarios with doubling [CO2] and temperature increases of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6ºC. A symmetric increase of 4ºC and an asymmetric...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Solanum tuberosum; Global warming; Carbon dioxide concentration; Phenology; Climate risk simulation.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2010000400002
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Methane emission factor of open deposits used to store swine slurry in Southern Brazil PAB
Sardá,Luana Goulart; Higarashi,Martha Mayumi; Nicoloso,Rodrigo da Silveira; Oliveira,Paulo Armando Victória de; Falkoski,Camila; Ribeiro,Stephanie Mayara Siega; Coldebella,Arlei.
Abstract: The objective of this work was to contribute to the establishment of a baseline for the methane emission factor for the management of swine manure, considering the current practice of raw manure storage in two open deposits in parallel, in Southern Brazil. Methane (CH4) emissions were continuously measured in three PVC tanks of 3 m3, during 180 days, in the summer. As the content of volatile solids of pig slurry ran out in approximately 130 days, the CH4 emission factor was calculated as B0= 0.48 m3kg-1VS. Although this value is higher than the B0 estimated by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for Latin America (0.29 m3 kg-1 VS), it is in agreement with the B0 estimated for developed countries (0.45 and 0.48 m3 kg-1 VS, for the US and EU,...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Animal production; Emission factor; Global warming; Greenhouse gases; Waste management.
Ano: 2018 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2018000600657
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CO2-response function of radiation use efficiency in rice for climate change scenarios PAB
Streck,Nereu Augusto; Rosa,Hamilton Telles; Walter,Lidiane Cristine; Silva,Michel Rocha da; Uhlmann,Lilian Osmari.
The objective of this work was to evaluate a generalized response function to the atmospheric CO2 concentration [f(CO2)] by the radiation use efficiency (RUE) in rice. Experimental data on RUE at different CO2 concentrations were collected from rice trials performed in several locations around the world. RUE data were then normalized, so that all RUE at current CO2 concentration were equal to 1. The response function was obtained by fitting normalized RUE versus CO2 concentration to a Morgan-Mercer-Flodin (MMF) function, and by using Marquardt's method to estimate the model coefficients. Goodness of fit was measured by the standard deviation of the estimated coefficients, the coefficient of determination (R²), and the root mean square error (RMSE). The...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Oryza sativa; Global warming; Modeling; Photosynthesis.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2012000700001
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Impact of increasing mean air temperature on the development of rice and red rice PAB
Lago,Isabel; Streck,Nereu Augusto; Alberto,Cleber Maus; Oliveira,Felipe Brendler; Paula,Gizelli Moiano de.
The objective of this study was to assess the development response of cultivated rice and red rice to different increases in minimum and maximum daily air temperatures, in Santa Maria, Rio Grande do Sul State, Brazil. One hundred years climate scenarios of temperatures 0, +1, +2, +3, +4, and +5ºC, with symmetric and asymmetric increases in minimum and maximum daily air temperatures were created, using the LARS-WG Weather Generator, and a 1969-2003 database. Nine cultivated rice genotypes (IRGA 421, IRGA 416, IRGA 417, IRGA 420, BRS 7 TAIM, BR-IRGA 409, EPAGRI 109, EEA 406 and a hybrid), and two red rice biotypes (awned black hull-ABHRR, and awned yellow hull-AYHRR) were used. The dates of panicle differentiation (R1), anthesis (R4), and all grains with...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Oryza sativa; Global warming; Phenology; Simulation; Weeds.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2008001100001
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Risk analysis of climate change on coffee nematodes and leaf miner in Brazil PAB
Ghini,Raquel; Hamada,Emília; Pedro Júnior,Mário José; Marengo,José Antonio; Gonçalves,Renata Ribeiro do Valle.
The objective of this work was to assess the potential impact of climate change on the spatial distribution of coffee nematodes (races of Meloidogyne incognita) and leaf miner (Leucoptera coffeella), using a Geographic Information System. Assessment of the impacts of climate change on pest infestations and disease epidemics in crops is needed as a basis for revising management practices to minimize crop losses as climatic conditions shift. Future scenarios focused on the decades of the 2020's, 2050's, and 2080's (scenarios A2 and B2) were obtained from five General Circulation Models available on Data Distribution Centre from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geographic distribution maps were prepared using models to predict the number of...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Coffea arabica; Leucoptera coffeella; Meloidogyne incognita; Global warming; Pest zoning.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2008000200005
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The Case for Intensity Targets AgEcon
Pizer, William A..
While the rest of the world has pursued absolute emissions limits for greenhouse gases, the Bush administration has proposed an alternative policy formulation based, among other things, on reducing emissions intensity-that is, emissions per dollar of real gross domestic product. Critics of this formulation have denounced the general idea of an intensity-based emissions target, along with its voluntary nature and weak targets. This raises the question of whether intensity-based emissions limits, distinct from the other features of the Bush initiative, offer a useful alternative to absolute emissions limits. This paper makes the case that they do, based on how emissions targets are framed. The argument draws on four key observations: greenhouse gas emissions...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Carbon; Climate; Policy; Intensity; Global warming; Environmental Economics and Policy; Q54; Q58; Q56.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10917
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