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Recherche et dosage de quelques antiseptiques dans les semi-conserves de poisson. ArchiMer
Fougeras Lavergnolle, Jean.
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Risk; Antiseptic; Preserve; Proportion; Research; Risques; Antiseptiques; Conservation; Dosage; Recherche.
Ano: 1972 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/1972/publication-2070.pdf
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A Methodology and Tool for Mapping the Risk of Cumulative Effects on Benthic Habitats ArchiMer
Quemmerais-amice, Frédéric; Barrere, Julien; La Rivière, Marie; Contin, Gabriel; Bailly, Denis.
The implementation of the European integrated marine policy poses many scientific challenges. Among them, the knowledge and understanding of interactions between anthropogenic pressures and ecological components is an important issue, particularly to help define Good Environmental Status, environmental targets and monitoring programs of the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (2008, MSFD). Assessment of cumulative effects of different pressures is a particularly complex issue requiring modeling tools and methods, as well as accurate data sets on human activities, anthropogenic pressures and ecological components. The results of these assessments are also uncertain and highly dependent on the calculation methods and assumptions, as well as on the data sets...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Cumulative effects assessment; Human activities; Anthropogenic pressures; Benthic habitats; Risk; Marine Strategy Framework Directive.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00658/77028/78310.pdf
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Infectious diseases in oyster aquaculture require a new integrated approach ArchiMer
Pernet, Fabrice; Lupo, Coralie; Bacher, Cedric; Whittington, Richard J..
Emerging diseases pose a recurrent threat to bivalve aquaculture. Recently, massive mortality events in the Pacific oyster Crassostrea gigas associated with the detection of a microvariant of the ostreid herpesvirus 1 (OsHV-1 µVar) have been reported in Europe, Australia and New Zealand. Although the spread of disease is often viewed as a governance failure, we suggest that the development of protective measures for bivalve farming is presently held back by the lack of key scientific knowledge. In this paper, we explore the case for an integrated approach to study the management of bivalve disease, using OsHV-1 as a case study. Reconsidering the key issues by incorporating multidisciplinary science could provide a holistic under-standing of OsHV-1 and...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Bivalve; Disease management; Epidemiology; Multidisciplinary; Risk.
Ano: 2016 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00314/42537/41912.pdf
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Traitement à haute température des huîtres infectées par l’ostreid herpesvirus 1 (OsHV-1). TEMPO - Rapport 2016 ArchiMer
Pernet, Fabrice.
Le naissain d’huître creuse Crassostrea gigas est touché chaque année depuis 2008 par des mortalités causées par un microvariant de l’ostreid herpesvirus 1 (OsHV-1 μVar). Plusieurs études montrent que ces évènements de mortalité se produisent préférentiellement lorsque la température de l’eau est comprise entre 16°C et 24°C. Par conséquent, une exposition rapide des huîtres infectées par OsHV-1 à des températures supérieures à 24°C pourrait limiter les mortalités causées par le virus. Il est proposé de (1) vérifier l’hypothèse selon laquelle l’exposition à haute température réduit la mortalité des huîtres infectées par OsHV-1, et (2) déterminer si les animaux qui ont survécu suite à l’infection par OsHV-1 et au traitement thermique sont...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Epidémiologie; Huître; OsHV-1; Risque; Survie; Température; Epidemiology; Oysters; OsHV-1; Risk; Survival; Temperature.
Ano: 2017 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00434/54574/55953.pdf
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Cultural practices and risk of shellfish pathogen exchanges : the oyster aquaculture in France ArchiMer
Miossec, Laurence; Girard, Sophie; Czerwinski, N..
The first national census concerning shellfish culture in France was carried out in 2002. The main purpose was to provide accurate and comprehensive information on the number and structure of the companies using an in depth review of production factors (leases, plants, equipment's, labour and qualifications), and a survey of cultural practices up to the market level. Moreover, the census aimed to quantify the bivalve sales dedicated to consumption and to measure the livestock transfers among rearing shellfish production areas at different developmental stages: spat, intermediate products and fully grown marketable products. The French oyster production reached 109 000 metric tons in 2001. The main production was observed in Poitou-Charentes region...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Risk; Pathogens; Exotic species; Introduction; Cultural practices; Transfert; France; Oyster aquaculture.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/2005/acte-3316.pdf
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Les risques conchylicoles en Baie de Quiberon. Deuxième partie : le risque de prédation sur l’huître creuse Crassostrea gigas. Rapport final du projet Risco 2010-2013 ArchiMer
Mazurie, Joseph; Stanisiere, Jean-yves; Bouget, Jean-francois; Langlade, Aime; Leclerc, Emilie; Quinsat, Kevin; Herve, Gilles; Augustin, Jean-marie; Ehrhold, Axel; Sinquin, Jean-marc; Meidi-deviarni, Ika; Goubert, Evelyne; Cochet, Helene; Dreano, Alain.
This study (“Risco”), implicating both industry, socio-economic experts and biologists, was funded by the Regional Council of Brittany, for 3 years (2010-2012), to investigate about the causes of oysters (Crassostrea gigas) mortalities in the bay of Quiberon (South Brittany, France). The protocol including both a sonar and video visualization of the bottom, and a monthly survey of 15 experimental oyster structures, allowed to assess the risk due to predation. A clear spatial distribution of the predatory effect was evidenced, with starfish (Asterias rubens and Marthasterias glacialis) predominating in the North-East sector, and boring snails (Ocenebra erinacea and Pterophora inornata) in the South-Center area.. The main mortalities from these predators...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Baie de Quiberon; Huître; Crassostrea gigas; Risque; Mortalité; Prédation; Étoiles de mer; Bigorneaux perceurs; Risco; Bay of Quiberon; Oyster; Crassostrea gigas; Risk; Mortality; Predation; Starfish; Oyster drills; Risco.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00180/29130/27534.pdf
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How to Evaluate and Interpret a Scientific Article About Therapy Or Therapeutic Procedures? International Journal of Morphology
Otzen,Tamara; Manterola,Carlos; García-Domínguez,Maricela.
Regardless of the subject area and design used, it has been verified that between 40% and 60% of the studies published in biomedical journals are articles about therapy or therapeutic procedures (TP). Anyone writing a manuscript related to therapy or TP or reading an article of this type must demand at the very least a clear, precise and concise objective with respect to the research conducted, explicit mention of the design used with the respective inherent methodological details, and the mention and execution of statistical tools and the measures of association, or at least the numbers needed to calculate these values. The aim of this manuscript is to present a synthesis of the fundamental elements for the correct writing, reading and assessment of such...
Tipo: Journal article Palavras-chave: Therapeutics; Therapy; Subheading; Risk; Clinical Trial; Publication Type; Cohort Studies; Meta-Analysis; Publication Type.
Ano: 2017 URL: http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0717-95022017000200061
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Default and Inference Options: Use in Recurrent and Ordinary Risk Decisions AgEcon
Wilson, James D..
How "default options" should be used in health risk assessment divides the risk analysis profession. Some argue that these should be "hard": set by policy, generally biased to be "health protective" and requiring a substantial body of evidence to replace by decision-specific alternatives. Others argue that they should be science-based, identified by consensus of the professional community, replaced by whatever decision-specific information may be available to the analyst. This paper shows that both positions have validity, and that both are incomplete. Each kind of construct has a useful role to play, but in different kinds of decisions. Because the two are different, we suggest giving them different names, "default option" being assigned to the...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk; Regulation; Decision making; Default options; EPA; FDA; Science; Policy; Public participation; Risk analysis; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10712
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Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting AgEcon
Brittain, Lee; Garcia, Philip; Irwin, Scott H..
The paper examines empirical returns from holding thirty- and ninety-day call and put positions, and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle options markets. In both markets, implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor of realized volatility, with bias most prominent in live cattle. While significant returns exist holding several market positions, most strategies are strongly affected by a drift in futures market prices. However, the returns from selling live cattle puts are persistent, and evidence from straddle returns identifies that the market overprices volatility. This overpricing is consistent with a short-term risk premium whose effect is magnified by extreme changes in market conditions.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Live cattle; Feeder cattle; Options; Returns; Risk; Volatility forecasting; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Farm Management; Financial Economics; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53038
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Forward Hedging Under Price and Production Risk of Wheat AgEcon
Xing, Liu; Pietola, Kyosti.
This paper estimates optimal hedging ratios for a Finnish spring wheat producer under price and yield risk. The forward contract available for hedging fixes the price and quantity at the time of sowing for a delivery at harvest. Autoregressive models are used to obtain point forecasts for the conditional mean price and price volatility at harvest. Expected yield and yield volatility are estimated from the field experiment data. A range of coefficients of absolute risk aversion are used in the computations. The results suggest that yield volatility is large and it dominates the price volatility in the optimal hedging decisions of the Finnish wheat producers. Nevertheless, a potential for large negative correlation between the price and the yield decreases...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Hedging ratio; Risk; Forward contract; Financial Economics; Risk and Uncertainty; Q14.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24467
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Are Our Agricultural Risk Management Tools Adequate for a New Era? AgEcon
Barnett, Barry J.; Coble, Keith H..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Risk; Commodity programs; Insurance; Agricultural Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; D80; G11; Q18.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94700
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Complexity and Obsolete Data Concepts: Canadian Farm Policy, and the Changing Structure of Agriculture AgEcon
Freshwater, David.
Agricultural data systems remain based upon now obsolete concepts. In particular, the "full-time, family farm" is still organizing concepts for much of the farm data system, and for agricultural policies. Yet farming has clearly bifurcated into: a relatively small number of large farms that produce the majority of the food and fiber; and a large number of small part-time farms that depend mainly on off-farm income for household well-being. Both types are family farms, but they are not the family farms of the past. It is broadly recognized that large farms pose complex challenges for data collection and policy. But small farms are also complex. While small farms may not account for much production they are important for land use issues and for maintaining...
Tipo: Working Paper Palavras-chave: Data concepts; Farm policy; Agricultural policy; Canada; Data collection; Risk; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/119473
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Optimal Nitrogen Fertilization Rates in Winter Wheat Production as Affected by Risk, Disease, and Nitrogen Source AgEcon
Roberts, Roland K.; Walters, Jeremy T.; Larson, James A.; English, Burton C.; Howard, Donald D..
Interactions among the nitrogen (N) fertilization rate, N source, and disease severity can affect mean yield and yield in conservation tillage wheat production. A Just-Pope model was used to evaluate the effects of N rate, N source, and disease on the spring N fertilization decision. Ammonium nitrate (AN) was the utility-maximizing N source, regardless of risk preferences. The net-return-maximizing AN rate was 92 lb N/acre, providing $0.52/acre higher net returns than the best alternative N source (urea). If a farmer could anticipate a higher-than-average Take-All Root Rot infection, the difference in optimal net returns between AN and urea would increase to $35.11/acre.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Certainty equivalent; Blume-Blotch; Nitrogen fertilizer; Nitrogen source; Risk; Take-All; Winter wheat; D21; D81; Q12.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43444
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More than Mean Effects: Modeling the Effect of Climate on the Higher Order Moments of Crop Yields AgEcon
Tack, Jesse B.; Harri, Ardian; Coble, Keith H..
The objective of this article is to propose the use of moment functions and maximum entropy techniques as a flexible way to estimate conditional crop yield distributions. We present a moment based model that extends previous approaches in several dimensions, and can be easily estimated using standard econometric estimators. Upon identification of the yield moments under a variety of climate and irrigation regimes, we utilize maximum entropy techniques to analyze the distributional impacts from switching regimes. We consider the case of Arkansas, Mississippi, and Texas upland cotton to demonstrate how climate and irrigation affect the shape of the yield distribution, and compare our findings to other moment based approaches. We empirically illustrate...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Climate change; Moments; Entropy; Yield; Cotton; Crop Production/Industries; Production Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/123330
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An Application of Mixed Logit Estimation in the Analysis of Producers’ Stated Preferences AgEcon
Kipperberg, Gorm; Bond, Craig A.; Hoag, Dana L..
This paper analyzes Colorado Corn producers’ preferences over both private- and environmental public-good production system attributes. Current production practices are characterized by intensive water and chemical use, resulting in non-point source pollution to water bodies as well as soil erosion problems. Data from a stated preference survey are employed to analyze key attributes of experimentally configured irrigation systems, proposed as alternatives to current practices. Panel mixed logit estimations find positive preferences for profit, risk reduction, and, importantly, systems with less environmental impact in terms of nitrate leaching and soil erosion. The results also find presence of significant preference heterogeneity and a complementary...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural production; Profit-maximization; Environment; Mixed logit; Stated preference; Attribute part-worth; Nitrate leaching; Soil erosion; Risk; Crop Production/Industries; C10; D62; Q12; Q15; Q51.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/108719
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Case Studies of Strategic Alliances in U.S. Beef Production AgEcon
Gillespie, Jeffrey M.; Bu, Angel; Boucher, Robert W.; Choi, Won-Jun.
Calf marketing, commercial beef carcass, and natural/implant-free beef strategic alliances were examined via case study to determine alliance structure and whether each addressed risk, transaction costs, capital availability, and other concerns. All alliances were structured differently through vertical or horizontal coordination, and each had been established within the past 12 years. Alliance administrators reported that an advantage to cow-calf producers was higher cattle prices received relative to producers outside the alliances. The alliances reduced transaction costs and increased information flow among segments. Alliances did not specifically address risk or increased access to capital for technology adoption or expansion purposes.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cattle industry; Industry structure; Risk; Strategic alliances; Transaction costs; Agribusiness; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/62278
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Current Issues in Crop Insurance (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Anderson, Richard.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Risk; Risk Management Agency; Risk and Uncertainty; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48909
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An exploration of the potential benefits of integrated pest management systems and the use of insect resistant potatoes to control the Guatemalan Tuber Moth (Tecia solanivora Povolny) in Ventaquemada, Colombia AgEcon
Falck-Zepeda, Jose Benjamin; Barreto-Triana, Nancy; Baquero-Haeberlin, Irma; Espitia-Malagon, Eduardo; Fierro-Guzman, Humberto; Lopez, Nancy.
CORPOICA and IFPRI implemented a research project in Ventaquemada, Colombia. The project’s goal was to asses the benefits of Integrated Pest Management (IPM) practices and the potential of Genetically Modified insect resistant (Bt) potatoes to manage damage caused by the Guatemalan Tuber Moth (Tecia solanivora Povolny). The Guatemalan Tuber Moth is particularly destructive because field spraying on the adult stage is ineffective and there exists damage specificity to the tubers. Excessive pesticide sprays have resulted in resistance to several insecticides. Insect resistant (Bt) potatoes has been shown an effective means to control other members of the Tuber Moth complex. Thus a Bt potato may play a role in managing Tecia in Colombia. This is an ex ante...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Potatoes; Economic aspects; Genetically modified crops; Economic surplus model; Economic impacts; Risk; Research and development; Bt potatoes; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55416
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Portfolio Choice with Uncertain Consumption Prices: a mean-variance approch AgEcon
Berck, Peter; Cecchetti, Stephen G..
This paper presents a mean-variance model of portfolio choice and asset pricing when the price of consumption goods as well as the return to assets is uncertain. The correlation of an assets return with purchases at expected prices is shown to reduce both the mean return and the variance of the return of an asset. A numerical approximation is computed to check the accuracy of the mean and variance approximation. Uncertainty of consumption prices is shown to result in long (or speculative) futures holding.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Consumption; Investments; Prices; Risk; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1980 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37852
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ÁRVÍZVÉDELMI TÖLTÉSEK GYEPTAKARÓINAK HASZNA AgEcon
Felkai, Beata Olga.
Az árvízvédelmi töltések védelmében, az árvizek levonulásában, ezáltal ma-gában az árvízvédelemben a gyepesítésnek jelentős szerepe van. Gazdaságossá-gát nem lehet egzakt módon bizonyítani, hiszen míg a létesítési és fenntartási költségeket egyértelműen meghatározhatjuk, a bevételi oldal összetett és nehezen számszerűsíthető. Az árvízvédelmi földgátak gyepesítésének társadalmi hasznossága és gazda-sági előnye mégis vitathatatlan: - közvetlen gazdasági haszon: pl. fűtermés értékesítéséből származó bevétel; - közvetett gazdasági haszon: a kockáztatott vagyonérték sikeres védelme, emberélet védelme (nehezen számszerűsíthető, mérése a mikrorizikó fogal-mának bevezetésével vált kivitelezhetővé); - a társadalom számára is több szempontból kedvező hatással van:...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Árvízvédelem; Kockázat; Gyepfelület; Vagyon; Gazdasági haszon - flood-prevention; Risk; Grass; Estate; Economical benefit; Agricultural and Food Policy; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54338
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