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Registros recuperados: 202
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Evaluación de los índices de abundancia para corvina rubia (Micropogonias furnieri) y pez palo (Percophis brasiliensis) obtenidos mediante modelos lineales generales: simulaciones de Monte Carlo y análisis de las interacciones con el factor año OceanDocs
Rico, M.R.; Hernández, D.R.; Carozza, C.R..
Assessment of abundance indexes for whitemouth croaker (Micropogonias furnieri) and brazilian flathead (Percophis brasiliensis) obtained with general linear models: Monte Carlo simulation and analysis of the interactions with the “year” factor. The effect of interactions with the year factor on the annual index of relative abundance obtained with general linear models applied to the cath per unit of effort data of whitemouth croaker and brazilian flathead commercial fleet was evaluated applying the Monte Carlo simulation. Levels on the relative percentage of variance explained by the interactions with the year factor (%RVEAÑO) were determined, above which loss of proportionality between the relative abundance series given by the index and the real series...
Tipo: Journal Contribution Palavras-chave: Stock assessment; Abundance; Catch/effort; Simulation; Commercial species; Coastal fisheries.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1834/5503
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Determinación de tamaños de muestra en la pesquería de alfonsino, merluza de cola y besugo, zona centro sur. OceanDocs
Young, Z..
1. Introducción En el marco del Programa de Seguimiento se continúo con la revisión y determinación de tamaños de muestra para estimar una serie de indicadores biológicos en las pesquerías demersales de la zona centro sur del país. En este estudio se entrega el soporte de determinación de tamaño de muestra para estimar la distribución de talla de la captura, la talla media, la proporción sexual y proporción de ejemplares bajo talla de referencia correspondiente a alfonsino (Beryx splendens), merluza de cola (Macruronus magellanicus) y besugo (Espigonus crassicaudus). 2. Métodos 2.1 Datos El conjunto de datos seleccionados y utilizados en la simulación debe ser lo suficientemente grande como para suponer que en él se recoge el rango de variabilidad real...
Tipo: Working Paper Palavras-chave: Size; Sampling; Simulation; Sampling; Simulation; Size; Http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_6774; Http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_5209; Http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7093.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1834/1509
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Ecología trófica de la merluza común (Merluccius hubbsi) del Mar Argentino. Parte 3. Consumo anual de alimento a nivel poblacional y su relación con la explotación de las pesquerías multiespecíficas. OceanDocs
Prenski, L.B.; Angelescu, V..
The English contents gives a general view on the topics treated in this contribution developed mainly on the basis of a quantitative and ecological analysis of trophic relationships in the Argentinian Continental Shelf, in which common hake and its food species are involved (anchovy, mictophids, small fishes, squids and macrozooplankton crustaceans). The most original part consist in the application of bioenergetic and simulation models for estimating the annual food consumption by individuals and by stocks of common hake during 1970-1987, considering at the same time, the effects of commercial catches on the stockbiomasses in predator-prey relationships. From this point of view three trophic-fishery relationships are evident, namely: "Common...
Tipo: Journal Contribution Palavras-chave: Trophic relationships; Food consumption; Mathematical models; Simulation; Biomass; Food consumption; Simulation; Biomass; Mathematical models; Http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_3016; Http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_5209; Http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_926; Http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24199.
Ano: 1993 URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1834/2557
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Sensitivity analysis of the AquaCrop parameters for rainfed corn in the South of Brazil PAB
Martini,Luiz Carlos Pittol.
Abstract: The objective of this work was to perform a sensitivity analysis of the main input parameters required for the AquaCrop water balance model, using biomass and grain yield data of a rainfed-simulated corn crop, obtained along the climate data series of 1987-2016 in the South of Brazil. The levels of soil-water stress and the depths of maximum effective rooting were the input parameters that most affected the biomass and grain yields simulated by the model, followed by the crop coefficient, water-use efficiency, soil water storage capacity, and contribution of groundwater to water availability in the root zone. The parameters crop cycle duration, plant density, pattern of soil-water extraction, and field surface practices showed little or no impact...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Calibration; Crop model; Drought; Simulation; Soil-water balance; Soil-water stress.
Ano: 2018 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2018000800934
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Sample size for full-sib family evaluation in sugarcane PAB
Leite,Mauro Sergio de Oliveira; Peternelli,Luiz Alexandre; Barbosa,Márcio Henrique Pereira; Cecon,Paulo Roberto; Cruz,Cosme Damião.
The objective of this study was to determine the minimum number of plants per plot that must be sampled in experiments with sugarcane (Saccharum officinarum) full-sib families in order to provide an effective estimation of genetic and phenotypic parameters of yield-related traits. The data were collected in a randomized complete block design with 18 sugarcane full-sib families and 6 replicates, with 20 plants per plot. The sample size was determined using resampling techniques with replacement, followed by an estimation of genetic and phenotypic parameters. Sample-size estimates varied according to the evaluated parameter and trait. The resampling method permits an efficient comparison of the sample-size effects on the estimation of genetic and phenotypic...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Saccharum officinarum; Cane breeding; Simulation; Statistical methods; Variance components.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2009001200002
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Impact of increasing mean air temperature on the development of rice and red rice PAB
Lago,Isabel; Streck,Nereu Augusto; Alberto,Cleber Maus; Oliveira,Felipe Brendler; Paula,Gizelli Moiano de.
The objective of this study was to assess the development response of cultivated rice and red rice to different increases in minimum and maximum daily air temperatures, in Santa Maria, Rio Grande do Sul State, Brazil. One hundred years climate scenarios of temperatures 0, +1, +2, +3, +4, and +5ºC, with symmetric and asymmetric increases in minimum and maximum daily air temperatures were created, using the LARS-WG Weather Generator, and a 1969-2003 database. Nine cultivated rice genotypes (IRGA 421, IRGA 416, IRGA 417, IRGA 420, BRS 7 TAIM, BR-IRGA 409, EPAGRI 109, EEA 406 and a hybrid), and two red rice biotypes (awned black hull-ABHRR, and awned yellow hull-AYHRR) were used. The dates of panicle differentiation (R1), anthesis (R4), and all grains with...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Oryza sativa; Global warming; Phenology; Simulation; Weeds.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2008001100001
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VALUE OF SOCIAL CAPITAL TO MID-SIZED NORTHERN PLAINS FARMS AgEcon
Gustafson, Cole R..
As farms increase in size, operators face the decision of remaining loyal to local merchants or obtaining volume discounts from distant input suppliers. When farmers bypass local merchants and buy inputs in volume, they often realize price discounts but forego many services including credit forebearance. When farmers buy locally, they pay higher prices, which decreases profits and increases financial risk, but generates social capital which can be drawn upon during periods of economic adversity. A theoretical model of farm financial risk evaluates borrower behavior in light of cash flow constraints, volume discounts, and social capital. Results delineate financial risks involved and value of social capital.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Capital; Financial risk; Simulation; Social; Stochastic; Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19169
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Decision Support System for Evaluating Rural Water Supply Infrastructure Scenarios AgEcon
Stoecker, Arthur L.; Sanders, Dee Ann; Whitacre, Brian E..
This paper seeks to develop a methodology that will be useful for rural water districts in assessing the future of their water systems infrastructure. In particular, the use of free water simulation software and publicly available data on population, roads, and terrain present rural water systems with the opportunity to analyze their existing distribution system and forecast where problems are likely to occur. This methodology will allow various alternatives (such as consolidation with a neighboring system, or pipe upgrades) to be evaluated and the costs of implementing these alternatives to be explored. Finally, different avenues for funding the associated costs can be summarized and presented to the community, including the steps needed to apply for...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Rural Water; Infrastructure; Simulation; EPANET; Community/Rural/Urban Development; R53; R58.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56526
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PROCUREMENT RISKS AND STRATEGIES TO IMPROVE QUALITY CONSISTENCY IN WHEAT SHIPMENTS AgEcon
Wilson, William W.; Dahl, Bruce L..
Consistency of functional characteristics in wheat is a concern confronting buyers and sellers. This research analyzes the cost and risk of different procurement strategies for importers. A stochastic simulation model is used to determine the probability of a functional characteristic being satisfied subject to quality targets and costs for alternative purchase strategies (purchase by protein only, variety, location, variety by location, or functional tests). Joint probabilities of meeting specifications and costs were determined for the alternative purchase strategies. Stochastic dominance was used to determine which purchase strategies dominate others, and stochastic efficiency was utilized to determine the degree of preference. Results indicate...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Buying Strategies; Location; Variety; Functional Characteristic Tests; Costs; Risks; Simulation; Stochastic Dominance; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23498
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Production Inefficiency in Fed Cattle Marketing and the Value of Sorting Pens into Alternative Marketing Groups Using Ultrasound Technology AgEcon
Koontz, Stephen R.; Hoag, Dana L.; Brethour, John R.; Walker, Jodine L..
The cattle industry batch markets animals in pens. Because of this, animals within any one pen can be both underfed and overfed. Thus, there is a production inefficiency associated with batch marketing. We simulate the value of sorting animals through weight and ultrasound measurements from original pens into smaller alternative marketing groups. Sorting exploits the production inefficiency and enables cattle feeding enterprises to avoid meat quality discounts, capture premiums, more efficiently use feed resources, and increase returns. The value of sorting is between $15 and $25 per head, with declining marginal returns as the number of sort groups increases.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cattle feeding; Production efficiency; Simulation; Sorting; Value-based marketing; Ultrasound; Agribusiness; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; C15; D21; D23; Q12.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/47266
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THE AGRICULTURAL POLICY SIMULATOR (AGRIPOLIS) – AN AGENT-BASED MODEL TO STUDY STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN AGRICULTURE (VERSION 1.0) AgEcon
Happe, Kathrin; Balmann, Alfons; Kellermann, Konrad.
A central criticism common to agricultural economic modelling approaches for policy analy-sis is that they do not adequately take account of a number of characteristic factors of the agri-cultural sector. This concerns aspects like the immobility of land, heterogeneity of farms, in-teractions between farms, space, dynamic adjustment processes as well as dynamics of struc-tural change. In brief, modelling the complexity of the system has not been at the centre of interest. In terms of modelling complex economic systems, an agent-based modelling ap-proach is a suitable approach to quantitatively model and understand such systems in a more natural way. In the same way, this applies to the modelling of agricultural structures. In par-ticular, agent-based...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agent-based systems; Multi-agent systems; Policy analysis; Structural change; Simulation; Agentenbasierte Systeme; Politikanalyse; Dynamische An-passungsprozesse und Strukturwandel. Kurz; Multi-Agentensysteme; Struktur-wandel; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q12; Q15.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14886
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VALUING AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES AgEcon
Stokes, Jeffrey R.; Brinch, Brian M..
A model to value Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (Farmer Mac) agricultural mortgage-backed securities (AMBS) is developed and numerically solved. The results suggest prepayment penalties currently being used by Farmer Mac reduce yields on AMBS considerably. Even with prepayment penalties, it can be advantageous for profit maximizing mortgagors to optimally prepay or even default on agricultural mortgages. The model is used to quantify prepayment and default risk by valuing the embedded options in the mortgages. Monte Carlo simulation is also used to determine the probability to optimal prepayment given the term structure assumption used to develop the model.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural mortgage-backed securities; Default; Dynamic programming; Simulation; Prepayment; Agricultural Finance; G13; G21.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15459
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A Whole Farm Analysis of the Influence of Auto-Steer Navigation on Net Returns, Risk, and Production Practices AgEcon
Shockley, Jordan M.; Dillon, Carl R.; Stombaugh, Timothy S..
A whole farm economic analysis was conducted to provide a detailed assessment into the economic, risk, and production implications due to the adoption of auto-steer navigation. It was determined that auto-steer navigation was profitable for a grain farmer in Kentucky with net returns increasing up to 0.90% ($3.35/acre). Additionally, the technology could be used in reducing production risk. Adoption of the technology also alters production practices for optimal use.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Economics; Farm management; Mean-variance; Precision agriculture; Simulation; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty; C61; C63; D81; Q12; Q16.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/100640
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THE USE OF BIOPHYSICAL AND EXPECTED PAYOFF PROBABILITY SIMULATION MODELING IN THE ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF BRUSH MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES AgEcon
Schumann, Keith D.; Conner, J. Richard; Richardson, James W.; Stuth, Jerry W.; Hamilton, Wayne T.; Drawe, D. Lynn.
Woody plant encroachment restricts forage production and capacity to produce grazing livestock. Biophysical plant growth simulation and economic simulation were used to evaluate a prescribed burning range management technique. Modeling systems incorporated management practices and costs, historical climate data, vegetation and soil inventories, livestock production data, and historical regional livestock prices. The process compared baseline non-treatment return estimates to expected change in livestock returns resulting from prescribed burning. Stochastic analyses of production and price variability produced estimates of greater net returns resulting from use of prescribed burning relative to the baseline.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Biophysical simulation; Prescribed burning; Range management; Simulation; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15452
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SOME ECONOMIC ASPECTS OF THE HUNGARIAN BIOFUEL PROGRAMS AgEcon
Lakner, Zoltan; Szabo-Burcsi, Dora; Mago, Laszlo.
The use of renewable materials in energy production is gaining in importance all over the world. The production of bioethanol and biodiesel is an important element of the agricultural strategy of numerous countries, even though the economic and environmental impact of these projects is subject to significant debates. Our paper analyses the welfare effects of the Hungarian bioethanol programme, as well as the economic feasibility of the projects. It can be demonstrated that the Hungarian bioethanol programme will cause a rather marginal increase in agricultural prices. The cost of bioethanol production is estimated between 470 and 630 €/m3, influenced by numerous factors. This estimate is in line with the average European values. The possibilities for...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Comparative analysis; Simulation; Return on investment; Welfare economics; Beruházás-gazdaságosság; Összehasonlító vizsgálat; Jóléti elemzés; Szimuláció.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99205
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INCOME DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACTS OF TRADE POLICIES IN A MULTI-MARKET FRAMEWORK: A CASE IN PAKISTAN AgEcon
Hudson, Darren; Ethridge, Don E..
The impacts of using export taxes as a price control in a multi-market framework are explored using the cotton and yarn sectors in Pakistan as examples. Results show that the export tax on cotton increased domestic consumption and decreased exports of cotton in Pakistan, transferring income from cotton producers to yarn spinners and the government. There was a social loss to Pakistan in the cotton sector. The export tax on cotton increased domestic yarn production, consumption, exports, and incomes of yarn spinners, but resulted in a large transfer (social loss) out of the yarn sector.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cotton; Export tax; Simultaneous equations; Simulation; Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15398
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System Approach for Evaluating Locally Grown Produce Issues AgEcon
Berruto, Remigio; Busato, Patrizia.
The potential advantages of locally grown produce are mainly related to the coexistence of production and consumption in the same area. These advantages are: reduced transportation, freshness, better taste, easy traceability, transparency, food safety, environmental sustainability and community development. Despite these positive aspects, the money spent for locally grown produce represents only a small percentage of the total money spent for fresh produce purchases. On the other hand, interest is growing for furnishing produce to local produce schools, hospitals and public institutions. The supply chains of locally grown produce are classified into direct marketing distributions (farmers’ markets, CSAs, roadside stands, on-farm stores) and indirect...
Tipo: Book Palavras-chave: System approach; Locally grown; Supply–chain; Fruits and vegetables; Logistics; Simulation; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/58713
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Agricultural policy (AP2011) Reform and the WTO: Potential Impacts on Swiss Agriculture AgEcon
Ferjani, Ali.
This article analyses the impact of the planned Swiss package of agricultural policy measures AP2011 and the tariff reductions scheduled as part of the WTO Doha Round, with special emphasis on effects in the dairy and meat sector. The simulations are carried out using an extended partial equilibrium model. This article discusses the anticipated impact of changing structural conditions on production, processing, consumption, prices and exports in the milk market. If account is taken of the Bilateral Agreements between Switzerland and the EU providing for liberalisation of the common cheese market, raw milk production increases by 10.5 %, whereas the milk price shows a significant drop to around 60 centimes per kilogram of milk. The abolition of subsidies...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Partial equilibrium model; Simulation; AP2011; WTO; Dairy industry; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6638
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Analyzing Crop Revenue Safety Net Program Alternatives and Impacts on Producers and Program Costs AgEcon
Jansen, Jim A.; Lubben, Bradley D.; Stockton, Matthew C..
This study evaluates the policy effects of alternative program designs for federal revenue-based farm income safety net programs. Eight representative farms across Nebraska are used to stochastically simulate the financial impact of changing the current farm crop revenue-based safety net with a state revenue trigger against potential alternative programs involving guarantees at the district, county, or farm level. Results indicate that decreasing the aggregation of the revenue guarantee increases expected farm-level payments and program costs for the revenue-based safety net.
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural policy; Farm bill; Farm programs; Government payments; Representative farms; Risk management; Simulation; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Q12; Q18.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/119784
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ACCOUNTING FOR SPATIAL CHARACTERISTICS OF WATERSHEDS IN EVALUATING WATER POLLUTION ABATEMENT POLICIES AgEcon
Qiu, Zeyuan; Prato, Anthony A..
This study evaluates three agricultural nonpoint pollution abatement policies: regulating the spatial pattern of agricultural activities, ambient tax, and abatement tax/subsidy. All three policies incorporate spatial characteristics of agricultural emission loading and movement for an agricultural watershed in the Midwest. The effects of spatial variation in natural conditions and landscape features on agricultural emissions and crop yield are evaluated using a newly developed biophysical simulation model and experimental data. While the policies are equally cost effective in reducing agricultural nonpoint source pollution, their implementation feasibility is quite different.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Atrazine; Environmental policy; Nonpoint pollution; Simulation; Watershed management; Water quality; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15135
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