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Registros recuperados: 337
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Formacion de expectativas de precio en el sector hortofruticola exportador del sureste espanol AgEcon
Gomez, Emilio Galdeano.
RESUMEN: La diferencia temporal existente entre la planificación de la oferta y la demanda de productos agrarios, conlleva a que, tradicionalmente, en sectores como el de frutas y hortalizas cobren gran interés las teorías sobre formación de expectativas de precios. En las últimas décadas, la tendencia hacia una mayor interrelación entre la producción y la comercialización (en origen) presente en entidades asociativas implica un aumento de la disponibilidad y utilización de la información para realizar previsiones sobre las distintas variables. El objeto de este estudio es determinar empíricamente la existencia de estimaciones sobre el precio, tomando como referencia actividad productora-comercializadora del sector hortofrutícola del sureste español, que...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Price expectations; Supply of agrarian products; Rational expectations; Horticultural sector; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q13.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28742
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The Relationship between Oil, Exchange Rates, and Commodity Prices AgEcon
Harri, Ardian; Nalley, Lawton Lanier; Hudson, Darren.
Exchange rates have long been thought to have an important impact on the export and import of goods and services, and, thus, exchange rates are expected to influence the price of those products that are traded. At the same time, energy impacts commodity production in some very important ways. The use of chemical and petroleum derived inputs has increased in agriculture over time; the prices of these critical inputs, then, would be expected to alter supply, and, therefore, the prices of commodities using these inputs. Also, agricultural commodities have been increasingly used to produce energy, thereby leading to an expectation of a linkage between energy and commodity markets. In this paper, we examine the price relationship through time of the primary...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cointegration; Commodity prices; Crude oil; Exchange rates; Agribusiness; Consumer/Household Economics; International Relations/Trade; Marketing; Production Economics; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; C32; L71; Q11; Q40.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53095
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YIELD RESPONSE TO PRICES: IMPLICATIONS FOR POLICY MODELING AgEcon
Keeney, Roman; Hertel, Thomas W..
We examine the determinants of own-price output supply response in policy models, focusing primarily on the OECD-PEM equilibrium displacement model. Reviewing expert assessments and econometric literature estimates we find that there is evidence to both support and challenge the relatively high supply response of a model like the OECD-PEM. We also consider possible avenues of reconciliation between evidence that supports and challenges the assumed supply response in the OECD-PEM model. Our analysis of supply response in the OECD-PEM case and from reviewing literature leads us to recommend that future econometric investigation be focused on the role of farm household owned resource mobility as it contributes to agricultural supply response.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Supply response; Yield elasticity; Policy models; Agricultural and Food Policy; Production Economics; Q11; Q12; Q18.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/45969
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The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers AgEcon
Dietz, Sarah N.; Aulerich, Nicole M.; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L..
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the marketing performance of wheat farmers in Illinois and Kansas over 1982–2004. The results show that farmer benchmark prices for wheat in Illinois and Kansas fall in the middle third of the price range about half to three-quarters of the time. Consistent with previous studies, this refutes the contention that Illinois and Kansas wheat farmers routinely market the bulk of their wheat crop in the bottom portion of the price range. Tests of the average difference between farmer and market benchmark prices are sensitive to the market benchmark considered. The marketing performance of wheat farmers in Illinois and Kansas is about equal to the market if a 24- or 20-month market benchmark is used, slightly above the...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Benchmarks; Illinois; Kansas; Marketing; Performance; Price; Wheat; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Marketing; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Q11; Q13.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48762
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Is Wine a Financial Parachute? AgEcon
Baldi, Lucia; Vandone, Daniela; Peri, Massimo.
This paper analyzes the relationship between Global Wine Industry Share Price Indexes and composite stock market indexes using a Threshold Vector Error Correction Model (TVECM), aiming to investigate if investments in the wine sector play a role in determining financial risk and return to investors who include it in their portfolio. Whilst in most of the literature analyses the return of investments of fine wine, this paper places the focus to “normal” (i.e. non‐fine) wine, using data from the Mediobanca database covering companies in the wine industry listed on regulated stock market in France, US, Australia, Chile and China . The dataset cover the time period going from January 1, 2001, to the end of February 2009. The estimates of the TVECM lead to the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Wine sector; Stock Market; Threshold Cointegration; Agribusiness; Farm Management; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Production Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Q11; G14; C32.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/100506
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Global Food Price Volatility and Spikes: An Overview of Costs, Causes, and Solutions AgEcon
von Braun, Joachim; Tadesse, Getaw.
Since the 2007–08 food crisis, many thoughtful analyses have addressed the causes and impacts of high and volatile international food prices and proposed solutions to the crisis. These studies have covered global as well as local food price dynamics and policy reactions. The food price problem is, however, far-reaching, and its impacts are wide and interrelated. The price formation mechanism has become highly complex and dynamic. Policy actions are politically and economically sensitive. This situation calls for continuous and comprehensive assessments of the problem to provide timely and evidence-based knowledge for policy makers. This paper reviews existing evidence and theories and presents new thoughts and insights from analyses to enlighten the course...
Tipo: Working Paper Palavras-chave: Food security; Prices; Volatility; Poverty; Food policy; Speculation; Economic crises; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Food Security and Poverty; Land Economics/Use; Production Economics; I38; O13; O16; Q11; Q18.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/120021
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Evidence of non-linear price transmission between maize markets in Mexico and the US AgEcon
Araujo-Enciso, Sergio Rene.
The present work provides evidence that non linear co-integration between Mexico and the US maize prices exists, at country and regional level. The models suggest that Mexican prices adjust at changes in US prices. Despite asymmetry was statistically rejected, it is likely that it might occur for thriving parameters different that zero in the error correction term. The results suggest on which way the research might be improved in order to assess such co-integration relationship accurately.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Co-integration; Asymmetric price transmission; Vector error correction model; Error correction term; Loading parameter; Mexico; US; Maize; Agricultural and Food Policy; Food Security and Poverty; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C32; Q11; Q13.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51366
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Forecast and Simulation Analysis of Mexican Meat Consumption at the Table Cut Level: Impacts on U.S. Exports. AgEcon
Lopez, Jose Antonio; Malaga, Jaime E..
This is the poster presentation. Please refer to the full paper for details.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Forecast of Mexican meat consumption; Forecast of Mexican imports; U.S. meat exports to Mexico; Mexican meat demand elasticities; Meat analysis at the table cut level; Censored demand system; Two-step estimation procedure; Stratified sampling; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; International Relations/Trade; Q11.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/52382
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Coping with Systemic Risk in Index-based Crop Insurance AgEcon
Shen, Zhiwei; Odening, Martin.
The implementation of index-based crop insurance is often impeded by the existence of systemic risk of insured losses. We assess the effectiveness of two strategies for coping with systemic risk: regional diversification and securitization with catastrophe (CAT) bonds. The analysis is conducted in an equilibrium pricing framework which allows the optimal price of the insurance and the number of traded contracts to be determined. We also explore the role of basis risk and risk aversion of market agents. The model is applied to a hypothetical area yield insurance for rice producers in northeast China. If yields in two regions are positively correlated, we find that enlarging the insured area leads to an increasing insurance premium. Unless capital market...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Systemic risk; Risk pooling; Securitization; Risk and Uncertainty; Q11; Q14.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122555
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U.S. Proposal for WTO Hong Kong Ministerial Conference: What's at Stake for Cotton Producers? AgEcon
Fadiga, Mohamadou L.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Pan, Suwen; Welch, Mark.
This study analyzed the cost to U.S. cotton producers of two policy alternatives under which the U.S. seeks to cut its total AMS payments for cotton by 60%. We considered two scenarios; the U.S. decides to act unilaterally versus conducting the policy initiative along with multilateral tariff and subsidy eliminations from the Rest of the World. The study found a 12% cut in target price and 8% cut in loan rate are necessary to reach the 60% AMS targeted reduction under the unilateral scenario. In that regards, U.S. net farm income decreases considerably despite an appreciation of U.S. farm price. Under a multilateral trade liberalization from the Rest of the World, a 9% cut in the loan rate and 4% in loan rate are enough to reach the AMS reduction...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: United States; Hong Kong; Cotton subsidies; Tariff; Net farm income; International Relations/Trade; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21273
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Market Instability in a New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices AgEcon
Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Grain; Price; Increase; Trend; Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing; Q11; Q13.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94694
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Pesticides Uses in Crop Production: What Can We Learn from French Farmers Practices? AgEcon
Fadhuile, Adelaide; Lemarie, Stephane; Pirotte, Alain.
This article focuses on the demand system of French farmers concerning pesticides uses. We estimate the demand elasticities of herbicides, insecticides and fungicides with respect to pesticide expenditure, and considering crop differentiation. Then we compare two indexes that are used in agronomic literature to measure the intensity of pesticides uses. We retain a Linear Approximated Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) specification. A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood estimation procedure is used for dealing with the problem of censored dependent variable. We consider two cross-sections observed in 2001 and 2006 covering pesticides uses of three crops. We confirm the previous results of the literature that farmers response to price variation is very...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Pesticides; LA/AIDS; Elasticities; Censored System of Equations; Two-Step procedure; Quasi Maximum Likelihood; Full-Information Maximum Likelihood.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; C30; C31; C34; L11; Q11; Q12.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103654
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El modelo de ayudas directas en la PAC post-2013: análisis de impactos de escenarios potenciales AgEcon
Blanco, Maria; Garcia-German, Sol; Bardaji, Isabel.
Following their introduction in 1992, direct payments have become one of the main instruments of the Common Agricultural Policy. The aim of this study is to analyse potential scenarios of harmonization of direct payments in the CAP post-2013. In doing so, we use the CAPRI model, which represents the functioning of agricultural markets at the global level and simultaneously models CAP measures at the EU regional level. Results suggest that while a flatter rate of direct payments would have minor impacts on agriculture at the EU level, it would imply substantial redistributive effects, both across regions and Member States.
Tipo: Article Palavras-chave: Direct payments; CAPRI; Agro-economic models; CAP post-2013; Agricultural policy; Agricultural and Food Policy; C60; Q11; Q18.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/120199
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An ex-ante analysis of distributional effects of the CAP on western German farm incomes AgEcon
Deppermann, Andre; Grethe, Harald; Offermann, Frank.
This study is concerned with measuring impacts of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) on farm income distribution of western Germany. Not only the sheer contribution of market price support and direct payments as a proportion of income is taken into account, but also the impact of support on production incentives. For this purpose, we apply a modelling system consisting of a partial equilibrium model and a programming model. Based on a comparison of Gini coefficients and a decomposition of overall inequality effects we conclude that liberalization of the agricultural sector leads to a more unequal distribution of family farm income in relative terms, whereas a liberalized market provides a more equal situation in absolute terms.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Income distribution; CAP; Farm Group Model; Equilibrium Model; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q11; Q12; Q18; C54; C6; D31.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99428
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ASYMMETRY IN RAW MILK SAFETY PERCEPTIONS AND INFORMATION: IMPLICATIONS FOR RISK IN FRESH PRODUCE MARKETING AND POLICY AgEcon
Knutson, Ronald D.; Currier, Russell W.; Ribera, Luis A.; Goeringer, L. Paul.
Scientific evidence clearly indicates that consumption of raw milk carries substantial disease-inducing health risks. While federal U.S. policy mandates that milk moving in interstate commerce be pasteurized; within 41 of 50 states, raw milk can be obtained for consumption. Warning labels notwithstanding, a segment of U.S. consumers pays higher prices for higher-risk raw milk than for either organic or conventional milk. The behavioral factors leading to raw milk consumption are explored. The paternalistic regulatory options for reducing the risk associated with drinking raw milk are identified. Implications for fresh produce sold directly from farms to consumers or through farmers markets are drawn.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Raw milk; Pasteurization; Health risks; Behavioral economics; Bounded rationality; Paternalistic regulations; Public health; HACCP; GLOBALG.A.P.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; Health Economics and Policy; A12; A13; A14; D11; D18; D46; D71; D78; D82; I18; K23; K32; Q11; Q18.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116440
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Alfalfa Hay Quality and Alternative Pricing Systems AgEcon
Hopper, Jared A.; Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa; Burton, Robert O., Jr..
Price-quality relationships for alfalfa hay were analyzed by hedonic pricing models using 1996-2001 Wisconsin auction data. Individual nutrients included in the analysis all affected alfalfa price, with acid detergent fiber accounting for the largest impact. Alternative pricing models, based on an aggregate quality index or detailed quality information, were similar in their ability to predict price. However, disaggregating price predictions to account for differences in relative feed value (RFV) and crude protein (CP) indicate that both RFV and CP are important determinants of price and that aggregating the two into a quality index is not warranted.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Aggregate index; Alfalfa; Auction data; Hedonic pricing models; Quality; Q11.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43462
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Impacts of Agri-Environmental Policies on Land Allocation and Land Prices AgEcon
Guyomard, Herve; Lankoski, Jussi E.; Ollikainen, Markku.
We develop a Ricardian framework with heterogeneous land quality to analyse the effects of agricultural and agri-environmental support policies on land allocation decisions and land prices. Four agri-environmental policy instruments are considered: a uniform area payment, a quality-dependent area payment, a mandatory buffer strip policy and a voluntary buffer strip payment. We also analyse how general tax and monetary policies may affect agricultural land prices. The theoretical framework is illustrated by an empirical model applied to Finnish agriculture. The empirical model shows that macroeconomic factors, such as general tax and monetary policies, may exert a greater impact on land prices than some minor fine-tuning in agrienvironmental policies.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agri-environmental policy; Acreage subsidy; Land price; Q11; Q18; Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25310
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Avaliação da competitividade da agricultura do Alentejo no âmbito do ecossistema Montado AgEcon
Fragoso, Rui Manuel de Sousa; Lucas, Raquel.
This paper makes a socio-economic evaluation of the “Montado” ecosystem in Alentejo. It is study the viability of the agricultural systems and the effects of agricultural policy in their competitiveness and sustainability. It is used a Policy Analysis Matrix to evaluate the agricultural systems competitiveness and their economic efficiency. The agricultural systems are classified concerning their contribution for the economic growth, in function of income levels and policy effects.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: “Montado”; Alentejo; Policy Analysis Matrix; Competitiveness; Common Agricultural Policy.; Agribusiness; Q11; Q12; Q18.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/60813
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Smallholder Marketing Behavior and Urban Consumption Patterns in Eastern and Southern Africa AgEcon
Accurate information on farmer and consumer behavior is the foundation for identifying public investments and policies that can effectively promote national food security and income growth objectives. This policy brief summarizes recent findings from a study on smallholder crop marketing behavior and urban consumption patterns in Eastern and Southern Africa.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Food security; Africa; Food policy; Marketing; Smallholders; Consumption; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Community/Rural/Urban Development; International Development; Marketing; Q18; Q11; Q12.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/62155
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Spot and Futures Prices of Agricultural Commodities: Fundamentals and Speculation AgEcon
Baldi, Lucia; Peri, Massimo; Vandone, Daniela.
This paper investigates the long-run relationship between spot and futures prices for corn and soybeans, for the period January 2004 -September 2010. We apply cointegration methodology in the presence of potentially unknown structural breaks in the commodities prices and we then study the causality relationships between spot and futures prices within each specific sub-period identified, with the aim to analyze where changes in spot and futures price originate and how they spread. Empirical estimates highlight the following evidence: i) breaks relate to events that have significantly affected the supply and demand of corn and soybeans for food and energy purposes; ii) subperiods consequently identified express different dynamics in the causal relationship...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Commodity; Futures markets; Price discovery; Cointegration; Structural breaks; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Productivity Analysis; C32; G13; G14; Q11.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122002
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