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CONSUMER INTENTIONS OF BUYING POULTRY MEAT UNDER PERCEIVED BIOLOGICAL, CHEMICAL OR TECHNOLOGICAL RISK IN FINLAND AgEcon
Heikkila, Jaakko; Pouta, Eija; Forsman-Hugg, Sari; Makela, Johanna.
The study focuses on various types of food safety risks: biological (zoonoses), chemical (chemical treatment of the meat) and technological (use of genetically modified feed). The emphasis was on how the perceived risks affect the purchase intentions in the case of broiler meat. In the case of each risk products the attitude-level variables had importance in explaining the buying intentions. The heterogeneity of the respondents regarding the purchase intentions of risk products was analysed by latent class logistic regression that included all three risk products. About 60% of the respondents belonged to the group of risk avoiders in which the purchase intention of risk food was significantly lower than in the second group of risk neutrals in which 64% of...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Broiler; Consumer behaviour; Risk; Food safety; Consumer heterogeneity; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; Health Economics and Policy; C25; D12; Q18.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116403
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Willingness to Pay for Weather Derivatives by Australian Wheat Farmers AgEcon
Simmons, Phil; Edwards, Miriam; Byrnes, Joel.
A theoretical optimal hedging model is developed to determine potential demand from Australian farmers for a hedging tool to remove the economic consequences of climate related variability in wheat yield. In the past, financial instruments have been developed to hedge price risk on capital markets; however, in more recent times new financial instruments, weather derivatives, have been developing that hedge the volumetric risk associated with unfavourable weather. Weather derivatives have the ability to effectively hedge weather related volume risk for the agricultural, mining, energy and manufacturing industries, while also providing a risk management tool for construction firms and special events organisers, although there are still many hurdles to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Weather derivatives; Risk; Hedging; Wheat; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9262
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Excluded Losses and the Demand for Insurance (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Meyer, Donald J.; Meyer, Jack.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Insurance; Decision-making; Risk and Uncertainty; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48907
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EXCEL COOPERATIVE: STRATEGIC RESPONSE TO THE BOOM IN BIOFUELS. TEACHING NOTE AgEcon
Roucan-Kane, Maud; Boehlje, Michael; Gray, Allan W.; Akridge, Jay T..
The objective of this paper is to present the teaching note of a case study. The case study outlines the strategic issues facing Excel Cooperative as a result of the rapid expansion of biofuel production capacity in the Midwestern U.S. Excel Cooperative is a mid-sized, ‘local’, farmer-owned cooperative serving farmers in north central Indiana. Excel is composed of four divisions: agronomy, energy, grain, and feed/livestock. With the Excel case, the reader must think strategically about the broad impacts of the biofuel “boom”, apply strategic management tools and decision-making under uncertainty concepts to better understand the impacts, and frame a response. The methodology proposed in the teaching note is composed of a SWOT analysis, scorecarding and...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Uncertainty; Risk; Heat mapping; Scorecarding; Scenario analysis; Payoff matrix; Decision tree; Real option; Traps; Agribusiness; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53584
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Indian Farmers' Valuation of Crop Yield Distributions: Will poor farmers value 'pro-poor' seeds? AgEcon
Lybbert, Travis J..
Potential poverty traps among the rural poor suggest a need to reduce poor farmers' vulnerability by stabilizing crop yields and limiting yield losses. Advances in agricultural biotechnology enable breeders to address this need more directly than ever before with crops that reduce production risk by tolerating climate fluctuation or resisting biotic stresses. Will poor farmers who could benefit most from less vulnerability choose to purchase such risk-reducing seeds? I use data from a household survey and experiment involving farmers in India to infer their valuation of changes in the mean, variance, and skewness of yield distributions. I conclude that these farmers value increases in expected yield in the yield distribution but seem indifferent about...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Poverty; Risk; Biotechnology; Experimental Economics; Farm Management; C9–; D8; O1; Q1.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19160
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Risk in Public Policy Making: A Neglected Issue in Australia AgEcon
Hardaker, J. Brian; Fleming, Euan M.; Lien, Gudbrand D..
We argue for greater recognition of the risky nature of most policy decisions. In this context we discuss the gulf between public risk perceptions and attitudes and those of 'experts'. Public views of risk are often inconsistent and seemingly irrational. They nevertheless influence policy choices in a democracy. On the other hand, experts often claim unjustifiable levels of confidence in their predictions of policy choice outcomes, creating a lack of public faith in their recommendations. While risky policy choices deserve more systematic decision analysis, there is a need for more effective interaction between policy makers, decision analysts and the public.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Policy-making; Risk; Uncertainty; Decision Analysis; Perceptions; Subjectivity; Institutional and Behavioral Economics; Political Economy; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/5997
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Chapter 02: SELF-PROTECTION, RISK INFORMATION, AND EX ANTE VALUES OF FOOD SAFETY AND NUTRITION AgEcon
Eom, Young Sook.
This book was originally published by Westview Press, Boulder CO, 1995.
Tipo: Book Chapter Palavras-chave: Food safety; Nutrition; Risk; Consumer information; Self protection; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 1995 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25985
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The Impacts of Farm Size and Economic Risk on No-Till Rice Whole-Farm Profitability AgEcon
Watkins, K. Bradley; Hignight, Jeffrey A.; Anders, Merle M..
This study evaluated the impacts of farm size and stochastic return variability on no-till (NT) rice profitability at the whole-farm level. Mixed integer programming was used to determine optimal machinery complements, fuel consumption, and machinery labor requirements for conventional till (CT) and NT rice-soybean farms of 1200, 2400, and 3600 acres in size. Crop yields, market prices, and prices for key production inputs were simulated to construct stochastic whole-farm net returns for each farm size under CT and NT management, and both first and second degree stochastic dominance analysis were used to rank cumulative distribution functions of whole-farm returns according to specified risk preferences. The results indicate NT farms exhibit second degree...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Mixed integer programming; No-till; Profitability; Rice; Risk; Simulation; Stochastic dominance; Whole-farm; Farm Management; Production Economics; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98733
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Factor Input Demand Subject to Economic and Environmental Risk: The Case of Nitrogen Fertilizer in Corn Production AgEcon
Carriker, Gordon L..
Nitrogen (N) fertilizer demand in relation to economic and environmental risks associated with N-fertilizer management are examined. Both nominal and environmental damage-adjusted net returns distributions are evaluated using stochastic dominance analysis. Results suggest that, in the absence of environmental risk, N demand becomes more elastic as farmers become more risk averse. When environmental risk is introduced to the decision-making process, N demand becomes even more elastic.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Environmental damage; Factor input demand; Nitrogen fertilizer management; Risk; Stochastic dominance; Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1993 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/118154
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Natural Disasters and Agriculture: Individual Risk Preferences towards Flooding AgEcon
Sauer, Johannes.
This study contributes to the understanding of behavioural responses to climate change induced extreme weather events. It suggest a microeconometric method for measuring flooding related risk preferences of affected individuals. The method is outlined using the empirical case of agricultural production in floodplains of the UK over 28 years. A quasi-experimental approach to measure differences in the risk attitudes of farmers located in high flooding risk areas versus farmers located in low flooding risk areas is followed. Changes in flooding risk related behaviour over time is analysed and marginal effects of different individual and disaster related characteristics for this behaviour are investigated. Beside a moments based risk estimation approach the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Extreme Events; Risk; Agriculture; Natural Experiments; Behavioural Adaptation; Extreme Ereignisse; Risiko; Landwirtschaft; Natürliche Experimente; Verhaltensadaption; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q12; C54.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114497
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ANÁLISE COMPARATIVA DA VIABILIDADE ECONÔMICA DOS SISTEMAS DE PRODUÇÃO CONVENCIONAL E INTEGRADO DE CAFÉ AgEcon
Pereira, Vanessa da Fonseca; Mendonca, Talles Girardi de; Reis, Bricio dos Santos.
Due to growing consumer demands regarding product quality and the social and environmental aspects of the production process, there is a need to redefine the agricultural productive structure so as to make it sustainable. The Integrated Production System in Coffee (CIP) aims to meet these new requirement standards. The system, however, is still very recent and requires more detailed studies to identify its strengths and weaknesses. Therefore, the objective of this work is to carry out a comparative analysis of the economic viability and the risk associated to the conventional and integrated systems of coffee production in the farm property of São João, in the Coimbra district in Minas Gerais state. The method used was the calculation of the viability and...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Coffee; Integrated production; Viability; Risk; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61726
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Agricultural Arbitrage, Adjustment Costs, and the Intensive Margin AgEcon
Tack, Jesse B.; LaFrance, Jeffrey T..
Farmland and capital are an important and rapidly expanding component of the agricultural economy, and empirical evidence suggests that these assets are quasi-fixed in that adjustment costs are incurred when holdings are altered. Increased interest in the rate of return for investing in farmland suggests that an important consideration is the effect of adjustment costs on this return. A novel theoretical model is developed that ties together contributions from the farmland pricing and adjustment cost literatures, and the first order conditions for a utility maximizing decision maker are rearranged into intertemporal arbitrage equations that are similar in spirit to traditional finance models. The common assumptions that land and capital are quasi-fixed...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Arbitrage; Adjustment Costs; Farmland; Asset Pricing; Capital; Cost Function; Risk; Production; Agricultural Finance; Consumer/Household Economics; Crop Production/Industries; Farm Management; Financial Economics; Land Economics/Use; Production Economics; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56412
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The state-contingent approach to production under uncertainty AgEcon
Quiggin, John C.; Chambers, Robert G..
The central claim of this paper is that the state-contingent approach provides the best way to think about all problems in the economics of uncertainty, including problems of consumer choice, the theory of the firm, and principal–agent relationships. This claim is illustrated by recent developments in, and applications of, the state-contingent approach.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Risk; State-contingent production; Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116925
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TOOLS AND ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK TO MAKE DECISIONS IN TURBULENT TIMES AgEcon
Roucan-Kane, Maud; Boehlje, Michael; Gray, Allan W.; Akridge, Jay T..
The dramatic changes occurring throughout the agriculture industry are creating an increasingly turbulent business climate for the sector. The objective of this paper is to present a methodology to understand, assess, evaluate, and manage uncertainty. Five methods are discussed: scenario analysis, scorecarding and heat mapping, payoff matrix, decision tree, and options portfolio mapping. Scenario analysis can help identify the alternative futures that may unfold. Scorecarding and heat mapping assessment tools can be used to assess and map the uncertainties, and decide which uncertainties the company should capitalize on and which projects could be pursued to exploit those uncertainties. Payoff matrices and decision trees (using real option valuation)...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Uncertainty; Risk; Heat mapping; Scorecarding; Scenario analysis; Payoff matrix; Decision tree; Real option; Traps; Agribusiness; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55465
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Informal Insurance in the Presence of Poverty Traps: Evidence from Southern Ethiopia AgEcon
Santos, Paulo; Barrett, Christopher B..
Fieldwork for this paper was conducted under the Pastoral Risk Management (PARIMA) project of the Global Livestock Collaborative Research Support Program (GL CRSP), funded by the Office of Agriculture and Food Security, Global Bureau, USAID, under grant number DAN-1328-G-00-0046-00, and analysis was underwritten by the USAID SAGA cooperative agreement, grant number HFM-A-00-01-00132-00. Financial support was also provided by the Social Science Research Council's Program in Applied Economics on Risk and Development (through a grant from the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation), The Pew Charitable Trusts (through the Christian Scholars Program of the University of Notre Dame), the Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (Portugal), and the Graduate...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Informal insurance; Social networks; Poverty traps; Ethiopia; Risk and Uncertainty; Z13; I3; O13.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25487
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INVESTIGATING THE IMPLICATIONS OF MULTI-CROP REVENUE INSURANCE FOR PRODUCER RISK MANAGEMENT AgEcon
Miller, J. Corey; Coble, Keith H.; Barnett, Barry J..
This study investigates the potential for alternative multi-crop revenue insurance designs in comparison to single crop yield and revenue insurance designs. A non-parametric multi-crop insurance model is developed which subsumes the single crop designs. The results compare alternative designs in terms of rate levels and risk reduction gains for representative Mississippi producers.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Revenue insurance; Risk; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15802
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FARM CHARACTERISTICS THAT INFLUENCE NET FARM INCOME VARIABILITY AND LOSSES AgEcon
Dunn, Jerry W.; Williams, Jeffery R..
Farm-level, cross-section and panel data were used with econometric methods to examine relationships between variability in net farm income and explanatory variables including government payments, gross crop income, gross livestock income, costs, efficiency measures, and other socioeconomic characteristics such as age, leverage, percent of land rented, and enterprise diversification. The results suggest that quantifying the impacts of socioeconomic factors on variability of net farm income is difficult. Among the income variables, changes in gross crop income had the largest impact. Among cross-section data, increases in interest costs, age, and diversification were found to have positive relationships with net income variability. However, only the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Diversification; Farm planning; Panel data; Risk; Tobit; Agricultural Finance; Farm Management.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36337
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RISK PREFERENCES AND CONTRACTING IN THE U.S. HOG INDUSTRY AgEcon
Johnson, C. Scott; Foster, Kenneth A..
Much of the increase use of vertical coordination in the U.S. swine industry has taken place through contract production. While the incidence of contracting is much higher in nontraditional hog production areas, a growing number of Midwestern producers are being faced with contract options. A variety of contractual arrangements are available through feed companies, integrators, genetics firms, and packers. However, little is known about the profitability and risk characteristics of these alternatives. This research suggests that risk neutral producers in the Midwest would prefer independent production, and risk averse producers would prefer to choose among the various types of coordination arrangements.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Stochastic dominance; Risk; Contract production; Swine; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15166
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USING BEST WORST SCALING TO INVESTIGATE PERCEPTIONS OF CONTROL AND CONCERN OVER FOOD AND NON-FOOD RISKS AgEcon
Erdem, Seda; Rigby, Dan.
This research locates a series of risks or hazards within a framework characterized by the level of control respondents believe they have over the risks, and the level of worry the risks prompt. It does this for a set of both food and non-food risks. The means by which this is done is novel and differs from past risk perception analyses in that it asks people directly regarding their relative assessments of the levels of control and worry regarding the risks presented. The cognitive burden associated with people ranking and scaling items in large sets is notoriously heavy and so this study uses an elicitation method designed to make the process intuitive and cognitively manageable for respondents. The substantive analysis of the risk perceptions has 4 main...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Best-worst scaling; Maximum Difference; Food; Risk; Perception; Novel Technology; E.coli; UK; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Institutional and Behavioral Economics; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty; Q18; Q51; D03; D12.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61518
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Portfolio Theory and the Demand for Futures: theory and the case of California cotton AgEcon
Berck, Peter.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Cotton trade; Future trading; Futures market; Investments; Risk.
Ano: 1980 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37706
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