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Registros recuperados: 270
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2011 Outlook of the U.S. and World Corn and Soybean Industries, 2010-2020 AgEcon
Taylor, Richard D.; Koo, Won W..
This report evaluates the United States and world corn and soybean markets for the 2010-2020 period using the Global Corn and Soybean Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Corn-based ethanol production has influenced United States corn industry. As long as the production of corn-based ethanol remains strong, corn prices will likely remain at a level higher than the long term average. However, changes in the U.S. Federal government subsidies or mandates could significantly impact the world corn market. Under the current assumptions in the model, corn price is expected to remain in a range between $4.68 and $5.35 per...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Production Economics; Corn; Soybeans; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ethanol; Ending stocks.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/115564
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Impact of Trade Liberalization on the Korean Rice Market AgEcon
Kim, Young W.; Koo, Won W.; Yang, Seung-Ryong.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1992 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23223
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Optimizing Ethanol Production in North Dakota AgEcon
Taylor, Richard D.; Koo, Won W..
A spatial equilibrium model based on a non-linear mathematical programming algorithm was developed to determine the optimal number, location, and size of cellulose ethanol plants for North Dakota. The objective function of the model is to minimize processing cost of biomass for ethanol and the transportation cost of shipping biomass to processing plants and ethanol to blending facilities. A heuristic approach, combined with a spatial equilibrium model, was used to determine the optimal number, location and size of biomass processing plants.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Cellulosic ethanol; Biomass; Mathematical programming; Heuristic; Production costs; Agribusiness.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91841
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ANALYSIS OF THE WORLD OIL CROPS MARKET AgEcon
Mattson, Jeremy W.; Sun, Changyou; Koo, Won W..
The world of oilseeds, meals, and oils has been evolving. New issues have emerged for researchers and policymakers. The United States is still the largest player, mainly due to its dominant position in soybeans and soybean meals. Nevertheless, the position of the United States has been challenged by several countries. The growth by Brazil and Argentina in the production of soybeans and soybean meal has especially eroded the market share of the United States in recent years. Malaysia and Indonesia have been aggressively marketing their palm oil, intensifying the competition for U.S. soybean oil exports. Other issues include changing trade policies and demand in major importing countries, trade liberalization, and genetically modified crops.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Oilseeds; Soybeans; Brazil; Argentina; Trade; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23621
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BILATERAL TRADE OF DURUM WHEAT AND BARLEY UNDER CUSTA AND IMPLICATIONS FOR FARM PRICE AND INCOME AgEcon
Koo, Won W..
The objective of this study is to evaluate the impacts of Canadian exports of durum wheat and barley to the United States on the U.S. domestic prices of these two commodities and farm income in durum wheat and barley growing regions in the United States. Major factors affecting trade flows of agricultural commodities between the United States and Canada are the U.S. export enhancement program, the elimination of Canadian rail subsidies, marketing power of the Canadian Wheat Board, differences in macroeconomic conditions, and differences in resource endowments. They have influenced Canadian exports positively and resulted in major increases in Canadian exports of agricultural commodities to the United States. The increased Canadian exports reduce domestic...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Bilateral Trade; Farm Income; Subsidies; Resource Endowments; Durum Wheat; Barley; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23415
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THE EFFECT OF FOOD-SAFETY RELATED INFORMATION ON CONSUMER PREFERENCE: THE CASE OF THE BSE OUTBREAK IN JAPAN AgEcon
Jin, Hyun Joung; Sun, Changyou; Koo, Won W..
This paper uses a nonparametric approach for testing whether there is a structural change in the meat demand of Japanese consumers due to the BSE (mad-cow disease) outbreak in the country. The axiom of revealed preference is utilized to test the stability of preference in Japanese meat consumption. The matrix of weak form of revealed preference (WARP) is partitioned and Kruskal-Wallis statistics are derived to evaluate whether the switches of preference are transitory or due to a structural change. Empirical results show that Japanese meat demand is currently unstable and has undergone a structural change, synchronized with the BSE outbreak in Japan in mid-September 2001.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: BSE (Mad-Cow Disease); The Revealed Preference Test; WARP; Structural change; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23636
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1998 OUTLOOK OF THE U.S. AND WORLD WHEAT INDUSTRIES AgEcon
Koo, Won W.; Taylor, Richard D..
This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 1997-2007 period by using the World Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, the weather, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to be optimistic for the next ten years. World demands for both common and durum wheat are expected to grow faster than world production of the two wheat classes, resulting in gradual increases in prices of the wheats. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to expand, but trade volume of durum wheat may grow faster than common wheat.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks.; Industrial Organization; Marketing; Production Economics; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23119
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NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE MISALIGNMENT: IS IT PARTICULARLY IMPORTANT TO AGRICULTURAL TRADE? AgEcon
Cho, Guedae; Kim, MinKyoung; Sun, Edwin; Jin, Hyun Joung; Koo, Won W..
This paper examines whether exchange rate misalignment negatively affects agricultural trade, compared to other industry sectors. Nominal exchange rate misalignment is obtained from the percentage deviation of real exchange rates from their long-run equilibrium based on the theory of purchasing power parity. In order to explore this issue, a bilateral trade matrix involving trade flows between 10 developed countries is constructed. Using panel data analysis, a gravity model is estimated for 4 industry sectors over the period 1974-1999. The study finds that over-valuation (under-valuation) of the nominal exchange rate negatively (positively) affects export performance of the agricultural sector in particular. In the large-scale manufacturing sectors...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Exchange rate misalignment; Agricultural trade; Gravity model; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23569
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2009 Outlook of the U.S. and World Wheat Industries, 2008-2018 AgEcon
Koo, Won W.; Taylor, Richard D..
This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2008-2018 period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to remain relatively healthy for the next ten years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to remain strong. The price levels in 2007 and 2008 will not be maintained in 2009 and future because increased wheat and corn production in 2008 and reduced demand for corn for ethanol production will lower demand and increase supply. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to expand, but trade...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55118
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THE IMPACTS OF CHINA'S ACCESSION INTO THE WTO ON THE U.S. WHEAT INDUSTRY AgEcon
Koo, Won W..
The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impacts of China's entry into the World Trade Organization on the world wheat industry. Special attention is given to the impact on the U.S. wheat industry. The Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model was used for this analysis. This study indicates that the total value of China's imports from the United States in 2005 are predicted to increase by $221 million in the normal import scenario and $842 million in the maximum import scenario. However, net increases in U.S. export value would range from $127 million to $577 million in 2005 because increased world price of wheat in the scenarios lowers wheat imports from other countries.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Wheat industry; Tariff-rate quota; Bilateral agreement; Wheat imports; Wheat price; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23320
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RELATIVE AGRICULTURAL PRICE CHANGES IN DIFFERENT TIME HORIZONS AgEcon
Cho, Guedae; Kim, MinKyoung; Koo, Won W..
Using a monthly data covering from 1974:1 to 2002:12, this paper explores the linkage between changes in macroeconomic variables (real exchange rate and inflation rate) and changes in relative agricultural prices in different time horizons (1, 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months). Controlling for factors likely to determine the long run trend of relative agricultural prices, the results show that long-term changes in real exchange rate has had a significant negative correlation with the long-term changes in relative agricultural prices. Conversely, changes of the general price have a role in explaining short-term changes in relative agricultural price at best.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22249
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ECONOMIC FEASIBILITY OF THE CATTLE FEEDING INDUSTRY IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND WESTERN LAKES STATES - SUMMARY AgEcon
Duncan, Marvin R.; Taylor, Richard D.; Saxowsky, David M.; Koo, Won W..
The five-state study area of the Northern Plains and Western Lakes States, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin, has adequate feed supplies and feeder cattle to markedly increase cattle feeding. Feed costs in these states have historically been lower than in the Southern Plains States. However, higher transportation costs appear to offset that advantage. Close access to slaughter plants in these states could offset that transportation disadvantage. Backgrounding of cattle appears to be quite profitable and cattle feeding, especially in larger sized feedlots, can be profitable. However, the cattle feeding industry has an increasing level of excess capacity. To be successful, new feedlots in the Northern Plains and Western...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Cattle feeding; Northern Plains; Economies of scale; Cooperative ownership; Entrance strategies; Production Economics.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23338
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Price Dynamics in the North American Wheat Market AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
This study examines price dynamics in the U.S. and Canadian hard red spring (HRS) and durum wheat markets. Using monthly prices for 1979-2002, we adopt Johansen cointegration tests and a vector error-correction (VEC) model. The results show that U.S. hard red winter (HRW) and Canadian HRS are exogenous in the model consisting of U.S. HRW and HRS and Canadian HRS prices. Canadian durum is exogenous in the model of U.S. and Canadian durum prices. Therefore, the results suggest that the HRW exporting industry and Canada have been the price leader in North American wheat markets.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Canadian wheat exports; Durum wheat; Hard red spring wheat; Johansen cointegration test; Unit root test with a structural break; Vector error-correction; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19353
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ANALYSIS OF FARM FINANCING AND RISK MANAGEMENT FOR NORTH DAKOTA FARMERS AgEcon
Koo, Won W.; Duncan, Marvin R.; Taylor, Richard D..
Significant changes under the 1996 FAIR Act and recent trade agreements are occurring in the U.S. farm sector. The changes will affect both the source and the magnitude of the business and financial risks that farmers will be required to manage. The objectives of this study were to investigate North Dakota farmers' plans regarding business expansion, timing of expansion, and expected financing of that business expansion and to analyze their risk management strategies. The study was based on a statewide survey. The data were categorized into six groups for analysis: demographics, intergenerational transfer, debt characteristics, lender relationships, business expansion, and farmer expectations of their lenders. Statistical techniques were used to...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Farm credit; Expansion plans; Debt-to-asset ratio; Farm demographics; Financial tools; Credit sources; Financial services; Non-traditional lending; Agricultural Finance; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23340
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2006 OUTLOOK OF THE U.S. AND WORLD WHEAT INDUSTRIES, 2005-2015 AgEcon
Koo, Won W.; Taylor, Richard D..
This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2005-2015 period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to improve for the next nine years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to grow faster than world production, resulting in gradual increases in prices of the wheat varieties. However, the current higher price levels in 2006 are due to weather conditions and will not be maintained, as production is expected to return to normal levels in 2007. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23574
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Price Transmission Mechanisms among Disaggregated Processing Stages of Food: Demand-Pull or Cost-Push? AgEcon
Kwon, Dae-Heum; Koo, Won W..
The recent concurrent surges of food and commodity prices renew the debate on the causal directions between producer and consumer prices. To address this issue, we utilize the stage of processing system incorporating retail stage beyond crude, intermediate, and finished processing stages of food and employ the method proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lütkepohl (1996) of Granger causality tests. The overall results show that consistent with theory of derived demand, the demand-pull mechanisms coexist with the cost-push processes in 1985-2001. However, the upward cost-push pressures dominate the demand-pull mechanism through various transmission channels in 2002-2008.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49332
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BIOTERRORISM AND FOOD SECURITY --ISSUES AND CHALLENGES -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AgEcon
Mattson, Jeremy W.; Koo, Won W..
Introduction: A conference titled Bioterrorism and Food Security: Issues and Challenges was held on October 28 and 29, 2002 at the Ramada Plaza Suites and Conference Center in Fargo, North Dakota. The conference was organized by the Center for Agricultural Policy and Trade Studies and the Great Plains Institute of Food Safety, North Dakota State University. Sponsors of the conference were the North Dakota Agricultural Experiment Station, and the Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics. Speakers included U.S. Senator Byron Dorgan, U.S. Representative Earl Pomeroy, Lieutenant Governor Jack Dalrymple, government officials, and members of academia and private industry. The purpose of this conference was to address emerging issues related to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23067
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AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE NORTH DAKOTA CATTLE INDUSTRY AgEcon
Koo, Won W.; Duncan, Marvin R.; Taylor, Richard D.; Aakre, Dwight G.; Swenson, Andrew L..
The analysis was conducted to evaluate the impacts of both the Federal Agricultural Improvement and Reform Act of 1996 (FAIR) and the cattle cycle on the livestock enterprises. The North Dakota Representative Farm and Ranch Model, which uses the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute price projections as an input, was developed and used for this analysis. Net farm income and farm debt-to-asset ratios for the average and large beef cattle farms were analyzed. The U.S. cattle industry has been characterized by cyclical variations in production and prices. It appears that the current cattle cycle is in the final stages of expansion. Cattle numbers continued to increase during 1995, but at a slow rate. Industry estimates are that the bottom of...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Livestock; Representative farms; Cattle cycle; Production Economics.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23339
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THE TRADE IMBALANCE BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND CHINA: THE ROLE OF EXCHANGE RATE AND TRADE LIBERALIZATION AgEcon
Cho, Guedae; Koo, Won W..
The pattern of trade between the United States and China has dramatically changed during the past 15 years. Until 1992, the commodity trade volume between the two countries was around $10 billion per year, but it grew to $60 billion in 1999. Because China has kept its currency (yuan or renminbi) pegged to the U.S. dollar since 1994, its current large trade surplus with the United States has led some critics to claim that the yuan is undervalued. The aim of this paper is to examine the effect of the U.S.-China bilateral exchange rate on the pattern of trade between the two countries after controlling for alternative factors influencing U.S.-Chinese bilateral trade flows. The results suggested that the U.S-China bilateral exchange rate does not have an...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23553
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ACREAGE RESPONSES TO EXPECTED REVENUES AND PRICE RISK FOR MINOR OILSEEDS AND PROGRAM CROPS IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS AgEcon
Krause, Mark A.; Koo, Won W..
Wheat, barely, flaxseed, and oilseed sunflower acreage respond to different economic variables. Wheat and barely acreage must be divided among program-complying, program-planted, and nonprogram-planted acreage because these categories respond to different variables and respond to own expected-revenue and price-risk variables in opposite ways. Flaxseed, sunflower, and nonprogram-planted acreage of wheat and barley have highly significant, positive responses to their own expected revenue and negative responses to their own-price risk. Flaxseed and sunflower acreage have been more responsive to their lagged values than to expected revenues for wheat.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31028
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