Sabiia Seb
PortuguêsEspañolEnglish
Embrapa
        Busca avançada

Botão Atualizar


Botão Atualizar

Ordenar por: 

RelevânciaAutorTítuloAnoImprime registros no formato resumido
Registros recuperados: 202
Primeira ... 2345678910 ... Última
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
The potential impact of markets for irrigation water in Italy and Spain: a comparison of two study areas AgEcon
Pujol, Joan; Raggi, Meri; Viaggi, Davide.
The viability of irrigated systems in Southern Europe is closely linked to efficient institutional settings and water-allocation mechanisms. A significant, although not widely used, mechanism for water allocation is an intra-sectorial water market. The objective of this paper is to evaluate to what extent water markets may contribute to the improvement of the efficiency of water allocation and to the profitability of irrigated agriculture. The related issues of water allocation among farm types and farm specialisation are also addressed. The analysis is based on a basin-level linear programming model, comparing the situation with and without a market. It includes both fixed and variable transaction costs and estimates their combined effects on market...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Water trading; Natural resource management; Simulation; Water management and policy; Linear programming; Irrigation; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116971
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Approximating optimal numerical solutions to bio-economic systems: How useful is simulation-optimization? AgEcon
Börner, Jan; Higgins, Steven Ian; Scheiter, Simon; Kantelhardt, Jochen.
For applications in agricultural economics, complex ecological systems are often oversimplified to the extent that ecologists rarely consider model results valid. Recursive optimization of complex systems represents an alternative, but requires strong assumptions regarding time preference and uncertainty. In this paper we explore the implications of merely approximating “true” optima of complex dynamic optimization problems using a technique called simulation-optimization. We develop a standard discrete renewable resource use problem and solve it numerically using both simulation-optimization and non-linear mathematical programming. We subsequently introduce non-linearity and uncertainty and graphically compare the performance of simulation-optimization...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Optimal control; Simulation; Ecological economic systems; Interdisciplinary modeling; Environmental Economics and Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51407
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Changes in Management Can Improve Returns from Cambodian Upland Crops AgEcon
Farquharson, Robert J.; Sareth, Chea; Somrangchittra, Chapho; Martin, Robert J.; Haigh, Bruce M; Scott, J. Fiona; Sopheap, Ung.
Farming systems research for wet-season non-rice upland crops in Cambodia is being conducted with the overall aim of poverty reduction and food security for farmers in the Provinces of Battambang and Kampong Cham. Some of these cash crops exhibit low and variable incomes, especially when grown in the early wet season. Cambodian farmers may borrow money to buy crop inputs and often sell their produce to companies and traders from neighbouring countries, hence they are price takers. Some new crop technologies are evaluated which relate to soil and crop fertility management interacting with climatic factors. The DSSAT crop simulation model is used to predict outcomes from alternative management strategies. Bio-economic analyses are conducted to assess the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Upland crops; Cambodia; Technology; Economics; Simulation; Risk; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25602
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
The Farm Level Impacts of Replacing Current Farm Programs with a Whole Farm Revenue Program AgEcon
Raulston, J. Marc; Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M..
This study evaluates the farm level economic impacts of implementing a whole farm revenue insurance program in lieu of current government program payments on agricultural producers in major production areas of the United States. Realizing a multitude of viable options exist, this study demonstrates one way a whole farm revenue coverage program could work at the farm level and makes comparisons between the current baseline situation and alternative levels of revenue coverage implementation.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural policy; Simulation; Representative farms; Government payments; Crop insurance; Revenue coverage; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98785
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Agricultural Trade and Freshwater Resources AgEcon
Reimer, Jeffrey J..
Approximately 75% of all water used by humans goes towards food production, much of which is traded internationally. This study formally models how this works in the case of crop agriculture, making use of recent advances in international trade theory and new data on the productivity by which countries use water for crop agriculture. The strength of the model lies in its ability to predict, when there is a shock to the system, how trade between pairs of specific countries changes for products that use water intensively. In one application of the model, international trade in final products is shown to be a means for countries to deal with short- and long-run shocks to water resources that are too big for one country to handle by itself in isolation. In...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Climate change; Simulation; Trade liberalization; Water; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; International Development; International Relations/Trade; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; F11; F18; Q25; Q54.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/123944
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
IMPACT OF NATIONAL GENERIC DAIRY ADVERTISING ON DAIRY MARKETS, 1984-95 AgEcon
Kaiser, Harry M..
The impacts of generic dairy advertising on retail, wholesale, and farm dairy markets are estimated in this study at the national level. The results indicate that generic dairy advertising had a major impact on retail, wholesale, and farm markets for the dairy industry. The main conclusion of the study is that farmers are receiving a high return on their investment in generic dairy advertising, i.e., an average rate of return of $3.40 for every dollar invested over the period 1984-95. Moreover, the return on investment in advertising was higher in the most recent year, almost double the average for the previous 11 years.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Dairy; Generic advertising; Industry econometric model; Simulation; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15059
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
A UNIFIED APPROACH TO SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN EQUILIBRIUM DISPLACEMENT MODELS: COMMENT AgEcon
Griffiths, William E.; Zhao, Xueyan.
It is pointed out that the Chebychev confidence intervals and maximum p-values advocated by Davis and Espinoza for sensitivity analysis of equilibrium displacement models are unnecessary. Desired probability intervals and probabilities can be accurately estimated without resorting to gross approximations.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Simulation; Probability distributions; Empirical quantiles; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12950
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Forecasting Wheat Output and Profits from Cropping Systems Using Simulation Models in Uasin Gishu, Kenya AgEcon
Nyangweso, P.M.; Odmori, Paul Okelo; Mapelu, M.Z.; Odhiambo, Mark O..
Simulation models have been used successfully to forecast productivity of cropping systems under various weather, management and policy scenarios. These models have helped farmers make efficient resource allocation decisions. However, in Kenya simulation models have not been used extensively and more specifically in modeling large scale cropping systems. The study aimed at forecasting productivity and profitability of wheat cropping systems in Uasin Gishu district, Kenya. Both primary and secondary data were used. Both time series and cross-sectional data for variables of interest were collected and complemented by a survey of 20 wheat farmers who were systematically selected to verify information obtained from secondary sources. Cropping Systems...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Wheat; Cropping system; Simulation; Forecasting; Productivity; Profits; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/95960
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
FORWARD SHIPPING OPTIONS FOR GRAIN BY RAIL: A STRATEGIC RISK ANALYSIS AgEcon
Priewe, Steven R.; Wilson, William W..
Grain hauling railroads began offering shipping alternatives in the late 1980s that have made transportation decisions more strategic. Shippers now confront alternatives ranging from nearby and unguaranteed ordering to various durations of forward and guaranteed shipment. A dynamic stochastic simulation model was developed to analyze grain shipping and merchandising strategies that integrate these alternatives.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Railroads; Grain merchandising; Logistics; Simulation; Risk analysis; Crop Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23414
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Evaluating the Potential of Whole-Farm Insurance Over Crop-Specific Insurance Policies AgEcon
Bielza, Maria; Garrido, Alberto.
Since 1996, different formats of whole-farm insurance (WFI) have been launched in North America and Spain. Their rationale is to pool all farm's insurable risks into a single policy that provides cheaper coverage against the farm's revenue losses. We evaluate the gains of moving from a situation of full insurance coverage delivered by crop-specific policies to WFI. Based on the records of individual farmers gathered by the Spanish Agricultural Insurance Agency (ENESA), we select two representative farms in Valencia that have consistently purchased insurance during 1993-2004 for three crops (apricots, plums and wine grapes). WFI is designed to deliver exactly the same expected revenue than does the combined effects of three crop-specific multiple-peril...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural insurance; Whole-farm insurance; Simulation; Crop risks; Spanish agriculture; Risk and Uncertainty; Q14; G; Q18.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25421
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
ESTIMATING THE EFFECTS OF FACTORS INFLUENCING GRID PRICING REVENUE AgEcon
Schroeder, Ted C.; Coffey, Brian K.; Brester, Gary W..
Beef carcasses, carcass premiums, carcass discounts, and grain prices are simulated. Random carcasses are priced according to random sets of market conditions defining a distribution of total and net revenues. Sensitivity analysis is performed to determine the total effect on revenue and net revenue of managing any of the interrelated carcass traits. Keywords: grid pricing, risk, simulation
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Grid pricing; Risk; Simulation; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36604
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
The Effect of Changing Government Subsidy Programs: An Analysis of Revenue at the Farm level AgEcon
Coble, Keith H.; Thomas, Sarah E.; Miller, J. Corey.
Producer revenue is simultaneously simulated for several hundred county-specific representative farms. The effects of current and alternative commodity programs are analyzed. In particular, two variations of revenue-triggered programs similar to plans proposed by the National Corn Growers Association are evaluated.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk; Commodity policy; Simulation; Agricultural and Food Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Q180.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34931
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Evaluation of political control instruments for the Swiss alpine region AgEcon
Calabrese, Chiara; Mack, Gabriele.
This paper analyses different direct payments system for the Swiss alpine region based on the multi-agent model SWISSland. Moreover, the future demand and management of the alpine pastures are simulated under different scenarios until 2020. In the model, agents are representing existing summer farms and are able to interact with each other. The results imply that the current direct payment system for the Swiss alpine region is effective and able to maintain a stable development until 2020. Since the land management in the alpine region is the activity that provides public goods, it would be reasonable to enforce payments that maximize the area of summered land. A change to contributions coupled to the surfaces could achieve the desired management of the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Multi-agent models; Policy analysis; Simulation; Alpine region; Agricultural and Food Policy; C16; Q18..
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99370
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Public Goods, Hysteresis, and Underinvestment in Food Safety AgEcon
Richards, Timothy J.; Nganje, William E.; Acharya, Ram N..
Despite the economic damage inflicted by a foodborne disease outbreak, firms at all points in the supply chain appear to be reluctant to invest in the necessary food safety technologies and practices. We argue that these investments are subject to both hysteretic and public good effects, and construct a theoretical model of food safety investment, calibrated to describe the 2006 E. coli outbreak in California spinach. Both effects are found to induce delays in food safety investments, but the public good effect dominates. We suggest a number of policy options that improve incentives to contribute to the public good.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Food safety; Hysteresis; Investment; Public goods; Real options; Simulation; Food Security and Poverty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/57627
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Standard and Shuffled Halton Sequences in a Mixed Logit Model AgEcon
Staus, Alexander.
Modeling consumer choice in different areas has lead to an increase use of discrete choice models. Probit or Multinomial Logit Models are often the base of further empirical research of consumer choice. In some of these models the equations to solve have no closed-form expression. They include multi-dimensional integrals which can not be solved analytically. Simulation methods have been developed to approximate a solution for these integrals. This paper describes the Standard Halton sequence and a modification of it, the Shuffled Halton sequence. Both are simulation methods which can reduce computational effort compared to a random sequence. We compare the simulation methods in their coverage of the multi-dimensional area and in their estimation results...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Simulation; Mixed logit; Halton sequence; Consumer/Household Economics; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; C15; C25.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93856
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
CLIMATE CHANGE SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT ON UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN STREAMFLOWS USING SWAT AgEcon
Jha, Manoj K.; Arnold, Jeffrey G.; Gassman, Philip W.; Gu, Roy.
The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to assess the impacts of potential future climate change on the hydrology of the Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB). Calibration and validation of SWAT were performed on a monthly basis for 1968-87 and 1988-97, respectively; R2 and Nash-Sutcliffe simulation efficiency (E) values computed for the monthly comparisons were 0.74 and 0.65 for the calibration period and 0.81 and 0.75 for the validation period. The impacts of eight 20-year (1971-90) scenarios were then analyzed, relative to a scenario baseline. A doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations was predicted to result in an average annual flow increase of 35 percent. An average annual flow decrease of 15 percent was estimated for a constant...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Climate change; Flow; Hydrology; Simulation; Spatial patterns; Watershed; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18419
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
IMPACTS OF WITHIN-FARM SOIL VARIABILITY ON NITROGEN POLLUTION CONTROL COSTS AgEcon
Vandyke, Laura S.; Bosch, Darrell J.; Pease, James W..
The effects of considering variable within-farm soil runoff and leaching potential on costs of reducing nitrogen losses are analyzed for a Virginia dairy. Manure applications may cause nitrogen losses through runoff and leaching because of factors such as uncertain nitrogen mineralization. Farmers can reduce nitrogen control costs by applying manure on soils with less nitrogen loss potential. Ignoring within-farm soil variability may result in overstating the farm's costs of reducing nitrogen losses.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Economic costs; Linear programming; Manure; Nitrogen; Nutrient management; Simulation; Soil variability; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15139
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Measurement of Farm Credit Risk: SUR Model and Simulation Approach AgEcon
Yan, Yan; Barry, Peter J.; Paulson, Nicholas D.; Schnitkey, Gary D..
The study addresses problems in measuring credit risk under the structure model, and then proposes a seemingly unrelated regression model (SUR) to predict farms’ ability in meeting their current and anticipated obligations in the next 12 months. The empirical model accounts for both the dependence structure and the dynamic feature of the structure model, and is used for estimating asset correlation using FBFM data for 1995-2004. Farm credit risk is then predicted by copula based simulation process with historical default rates as benchmark. Results are reported and compared to previous studies on farm default.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Credit Risk Measurement; Seemingly Unrelated Regression Model; Simulation; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Farm Management; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49222
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
AN EX ANTE ASSESSMENT OF INVESTMENTS IN TEXAS GRAPEFRUIT UNDER UNCERTAINTY AgEcon
Elmer, Nicole A.; Thurow, Amy Purvis; Johnson, Jason L.; Rosson, C. Parr, III.
The Dixit-Pindyck model was applied to examine the hypothesis that uncertainty associated with grapefruit production costs and returns is an important determinant of Texas grapefruit growers' investment behavior. Freezes, price variability, and the effects of expanded trade were analyzed as risk factors. An investment decision rule based on a net-present value calculation would approve a 25-year commitment to a 20-acre grapefruit grove, given a 6-percent discount rate. The modified hurdle rate, calculated using an ex ante version of the Dixit-Pindyck model, is 24 percent. The major source of the risk borne by Texas grapefruit investors is from freezes, rather than from expanded trade.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Citrus; Ex ante analysis; Dixit-Pindyck model; Freezes; Investment; Simulation; Texas; Trade; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15451
Imagem não selecionada

Imprime registro no formato completo
Grain Sorghum International Trade: U.S.-Mexico Simulation and Estimation Model AgEcon
Liu, Bing; Malaga, Jaime E..
An econometric international supply/demand/trade simulation and forecast sorghum model in a partial equilibrium framework is built in this research paper to quantify the effects of key exogenous variables on the U.S.-Mexico sorghum trade. A forecast baseline is also established by using the validated model and values of exogenous variables provided by FAPRI to project the level of endogenous variables over the period of 2009 to 2017. Impacts of plausible alternative scenarios for key exogenous variables are simulated from 2009 to 2017.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Sorghum; International Trade; Simulation; Estimation; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56434
Registros recuperados: 202
Primeira ... 2345678910 ... Última
 

Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária - Embrapa
Todos os direitos reservados, conforme Lei n° 9.610
Política de Privacidade
Área restrita

Embrapa
Parque Estação Biológica - PqEB s/n°
Brasília, DF - Brasil - CEP 70770-901
Fone: (61) 3448-4433 - Fax: (61) 3448-4890 / 3448-4891 SAC: https://www.embrapa.br/fale-conosco

Valid HTML 4.01 Transitional