SABIIA - Sistema Aberto e Integrado de Informação em Agricultura (Sabiia)

Moeller, Thordis; Grethe, Harald.

EFFECTS OF A POTENTIAL NEW BIOFUEL DIRECTIVE ON EU LAND USE AND AGRICULTURAL MARKETS

Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.

Ano: 2010

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/95947

Banse, Martin; Grethe, Harald.

In its Progress Report on Biofuels the European Commission proposes a more restrictive biofuel directive which sets a mandatory minimum share of biofuels in total fuel consumption in the transport sector of 10% per Member State by 2020. This is likely to have a strong impact on demand for biofuel inputs such as plant oils, cereals and sugar beet. To analyze the effects of this proposal on land use and agricultural markets, an extended version of the partial equilibrium model ESIM of the European agricultural sector is developed and applied which covers the production of and demand for biofuels. Two policy scenarios are simulated for the projection horizon until 2020: a baseline under which the share of biofuels in total transport fuels increases to 6.9% by...

WHAT CAN TURKEY GAIN FROM FULL AGRICULTURAL MARKET INTEGRATION WITH THE EU WITHOUT BEING A MEMBER?

Palavras-chave: Biofuels; EU Biofuels Directive; Agricultural markets; Partial equilibrium modeling; Land Economics/Use; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.

Ano: 2008

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6331

Grethe, Harald.

Turkey established a customs union (CU) with the EU in 1996, which excludes agricultural products. This article analyses the effects of an inclusion of agriculture in the CU as well as alternative policy options on the Turkish agricultural sector. To this aim, a comparative-static, partial equilibrium model of the Turkish agricultural sector is developed. The complete liberalisation of the agricultural sector leads to significant comparative static welfare gains of about 670 million compared to the continuation of current policies. For most products an inclusion of agriculture in the CU leads to similar results as the complete liberalisation of agricultural trade.

Modellierung der Auswirkungen einer Entkopplung der Direktzahlungen in der EU auf die Flächenallokation und Wiederkäuerproduktion: Eine Analyse unterschiedlicher Modellergebnisse

Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2004

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14604

Balkhausen, Oliver; Banse, Martin; Grethe, Harald; Nolte, Stephan.

Decoupling of direct payments can be expected to have complex effects and the net effect on crop and fodder acreage is unclear. A literature review reveals that various simulation models uniformly project a decline of the cereal and silage maize acreage as well as ruminant production in the EU-15 in the course of decoupling of direct payments. In contrast, model results are mixed with respect to the direction of the decoupling effect on oilseed and pasture as well as voluntary set aside area. The model type is not found to have a systematic effect on model results. It is rather the assumptions about the effects of direct payments on production which differ widely and drive model results to a large extent. A model analysis which is based on the partial...

Tipo: Journal Article

Palavras-chave: Decoupling; Direct payments; Land allocation; Partial equilibrium agricultural sector models; Agricultural and Food Policy; Land Economics/Use.

Ano: 2005

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97401

How effective is the EU's import regime for oranges?

Goetz, Linde; Grethe, Harald.

EU imports of oranges are restricted not only by ad valorem tariffs but also by the entry price system establishing a minimum import price. In addition, the EU applies a comprehensive system of trade preferences. The hypothesis of this paper is that, in contrast to its complexity, the effectiveness of the EU import system for oranges is low with respect to its goals, i.e. protecting EU producers and creating imports from preference receiving countries. The comparison of import prices for oranges from extra-EU countries with the EU entry price shows that the former are about 40% higher than the latter on average. Also, it is pointed out that at least 72% of extra-EU orange imports during the EU harvest season enter the EU tariff free. As a conclusion, the...

The EU's Import Regime for Oranges - Much Ado about Nothing?

Palavras-chave: Trade preferences; Oranges; Tariff rate quota; Entry price; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2006

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10095

Goetz, Linde; Grethe, Harald.

EU imports of oranges are restricted not only by ad valorem tariffs but also by the entry price system establishing a minimum import price. In addition, the EU applies a comprehensive system of trade preferences. The hypothesis of this paper is that, in contrast to its complexity, the effectiveness of the EU import system for oranges is low with respect to its goals, i.e. protecting EU producers on the one hand an d creating imports from preference receiving countries on the other. The comparison of import prices for oranges from extra-EU countries with the EU entry price shows that the former are about 40% higher than the latter on average. Also, it is pointed out that at least 72% of extra-EU orange imports during the EU harvest season en ter the EU...

Turkey's Accession to the EU: What Will the Common Agricultural Policy Cost?

Palavras-chave: Trade preferences; Oranges; Tariff rate quota; Entry price; International Relations/Trade; F13; Q13; Q17; Q18.

Ano: 2006

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25604

Grethe, Harald.

At the EU Council in December 2004, European heads of governments will decide on a potential date for the start of EU accession negotiations with Turkey. Various recent analyses assess the cost of applying the Common Agricultural Policy of the EU (CAP) to Turkey without taking into account the specific structure of the agricultural sector in Turkey, which would determine the receipts from EU funds. This paper assesses potential budgetary effects resulting from the application of the CAP to Turkey, if Turkey should accede in 2014. The analysis is based on macroeconomic projections from the literature, equilibrium modelling of the Turkish agricultural sector, and projections of the future development of the CAP. It is found that total EU budgetary outlays...

The adoption of the Eurepgap Standard by Mango Exporters in Piura, Peru

Palavras-chave: Turkey; EU accession; CAP; Budgetary effects; Agricultural and Food Policy.

Ano: 2004

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18821

Kleinwechter, Ulrich; Grethe, Harald.

The significance of standards in international agricultural trade is continuously rising. Due to their complexity, especially private industry standards are often expected to have a negative impact on agricultural export sectors in developing countries. The successful adoption of standards by a broad number of producers can be seen as a condition to limit negative socioeconomic consequences. This case study for the mango export sector in Piura, Peru, analyzes the adoption of the Eurepgap standard, based on a theoretical framework of a compliance process of three stages (information stage, decision stage, implementation stage). The empirical part is based on interviews with farmers. A comparison between certified producers and a control group identifies the...

The Development and Future of EU Agricultural Trade Preferences for North-African and Near-East Countries

Palavras-chave: Standards; Costs of compliance; Eurepgap; Developing countries; International; Trade; Mango; Peru; International Relations/Trade; F13; Q13; Q17; Q18.

Ano: 2006

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25521

Grethe, Harald; Nolte, Stephan; Tangermann, Stefan.

The EU recently completed negotiating a series of Association Agreements with Mediterranean countries. Trade preferences for agricultural goods granted under these Agreements, as well as under former arrangements, are analyzed by calculating the value of preference margins at several stages in the evolution of preferences. The total value of preference margins for all countries covered was about 130 million under the agreements of the mid-1970s and increased by 48 per cent until 1995; by 2000 this value declined by about 14 per cent due to reduced EU MFN tariffs. The extended preferences under the new Agreements more than compensate for this decline and will result in a total value of preference margins of 226 million once all Agreements have entered...

Aspekte der Agrarpolitik 2005

Palavras-chave: Preferential trade; Preference margin; Mediterranean countries; Euro-Mediterranean Agreements; Preference erosion; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2005

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24535

Grethe, Harald; Hager, Astrid; Kirschke, Dieter.

Tipo: Journal Article

Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Community/Rural/Urban Development; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2006

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97170

Farm level effects of EU policy liberalization: Simulations based on an EU-wide agricultural sector model and a supply model of the German agricultural sector

Deppermann, Andre; Grethe, Harald; Offermann, Frank.

The impact of sectoral or economy wide policy scenarios is often of strong political and public interest, yet it is a scientific challenge. When analyzing different levels of aggregation, the use of single models may not be sufficient. In this paper we establish an interface between the European Simulation Model (ESIM) and the Farm Modelling Information System (FARMIS). The linkage of the two models allows us to quantify adjustment processes both at the sectoral level and at the farm group level for the German agricultural sector. Different liberalization scenarios are presented and compared to a reference scenario. The abolishment of market price support leads to a reduction of farm incomes, especially if direct payments are also reduced. The low absolute...

The Relevance of the EU Entry Price System for Imports of Fresh Fruits and Vegetables

Palavras-chave: Model Linkage; Policy Impact Assessment; Income Distribution; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use.

Ano: 2010

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61083

Goetz, Linde; Grethe, Harald.

Replaced with revised version of paper 01/24/08.

Aspekte der Agrarpolitik 2004

Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2007

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7114

Grethe, Harald; Hager, Astrid; Kirschke, Dieter.

Tipo: Journal Article

Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Community/Rural/Urban Development; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2005

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97197

A 2004 Social Accounting Matrix for Israel: Documentation of an Economy-Wide Database with a Focus on Agriculture, the Labour Market, and Income Distribution

Siddig, Khalid H.A.; Flaig, Dorothee; Luckmann, Jonas; Grethe, Harald.

This document describes the Israeli Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for the year 2004, developed by the Agricultural and Food Policy Group at the University of Hohenheim. The SAM is a part of a larger research project which aims to analyse several economic, trade, and labour policies in the context of economic integration of agriculture between Israel and the West Bank. Data are obtained from various sources in Israel. Sources include the Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics (ICBS), the Central Bank of Israel (CBI), and the Israeli Tax Authority (ITA). Data from sources outside of Israel are used to fill-in some gaps in the domestic reports. External sources include the World Trade Organization (WTO), the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and...

Climate Change and Agriculture in 2050: Assessing Prospects for European Cereal and Oilseed Markets

Palavras-chave: SAM; IO Table; CGE; Database; Israel.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Labor and Human Capital; C6; C8; D1; D3; D5; D6; E2; E6; F1; F2; H2.

Ano: 2011

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/110156

Moeller, Thordis; Grethe, Harald.

Replaced with revised version of paper 07/20/10.

EU Trade Preferences for Moroccan Tomato Exports--Who Benefits?

Palavras-chave: Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.

Ano: 2010

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61797

Chemnitz, Christine; Grethe, Harald.

The EU applies a complex system of preferences for tomato imports from Morocco. Quantities are fixed and serve as entry price quotas and tariff rate quotas at the same time. This paper provides empirical evidence of i) the existence of an economic rent under the EU preferential scheme for tomato imports from Morocco of about 24-36.5 mill. per year, and ii) the distribution of that rent. Due to the structure of the Moroccan export sector as well as the EU method of allocating import licenses, it is likely that a large part of the quota rent ends up at the Moroccan side and that a dissipation of the rent in physical rent-seeking activities is limited.

Can Vietnamese Upland Farmers Profit from High World Market Prices? A Price Transmission Analysis

Palavras-chave: Morocco; Tomatoes; Trade preferences; Euro-Mediterranean Agreement; Tariff rate quota; Quota rent; International Relations/Trade; Q17; F14.

Ano: 2005

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24686

Luckmann, Jonas; Ihle, Rico; Grethe, Harald; Kleinwechter, Ulrich.

Replaced with revised version of paper 09/14/11.

Aspekte der Agrarpolitik 2006

Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2011

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114376