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| Hufnagl, Marc; Payne, Mark; Lacroix, Genevieve; Bolle, Loes J.; Daewele, Ute; Dickey-collas, Mark; Gerkema, Theo; Huret, Martin; Janssen, Frank; Kreus, Markus; Paetsch, Johannes; Pohlmann, Thomas; Ruardij, Piet; Schrum, Corinna; Skogen, Morten D.; Tiessen, Meinard C. H.; Petitgas, Pierre; Van Beek, Jan K. L.; Van Der Veer, Henk W.; Callies, Ulrich. |
| Hydrodynamic Ocean Circulation Models and Lagrangian particle tracking models are valuable tools e.g. in coastal ecology to identify the connectivity between offshore spawning and coastal nursery areas of commercially important fish, for risk assessment and more for defining or evaluating marine protected areas. Most studies are based on only one model and do not provide levels of uncertainty. Here this uncertainty was addressed by applying a suite of 11 North Sea models to test what variability can be expected concerning connectivity. Different notional test cases were calculated related to three important and well-studied North Sea fish species: herring (Clupea harengus), and the flatfishes sole (Solea solea) and plaice (Pleuronectes platessa). For sole... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Ocean circulation; Lagrangian approach; Variability; Marine protected areas; Renewable energy; Wind park; Model intercomparison; Ensemble. |
| Ano: 2017 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00385/49660/50198.pdf |
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| Maar, Marie; Butenschon, Momme; Daewel, Ute; Eggert, Anja; Fan, Wei; Hjollo, Solfrid S.; Hufnagl, Marc; Huret, Martin; Ji, Rubao; Lacroix, Genevieve; Peck, Myron A.; Radtke, Hagen; Sailley, Sevrine; Sinerchia, Matteo; Skogen, Morten D.; Travers-trolet, Morgane; Troost, Tineke A.; Van De Wolfshaar, Karen. |
| The present study describes the responses of summer phytoplankton biomass to changes in top-down forcing (expressed as zooplankton mortality) in three ecosystems (the North Sea, the Baltic Sea and the Nordic Seas) across different 3D ecosystem models. In each of the model set-ups, we applied the same changes in the magnitude of mortality (±20%) of the highest trophic zooplankton level (Z1). Model results showed overall dampened responses of phytoplankton relative to Z1 biomass. Phytoplankton responses varied depending on the food web structure and trophic coupling represented in the models. Hence, a priori model assumptions were found to influence cascades and pathways in model estimates and, thus, become highly relevant when examining ecosystem pressures... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Plankton functional types; Trophic cascades; Zooplankton mortality; Phytoplankton; Ensemble modelling. |
| Ano: 2018 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00433/54466/56083.pdf |
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| Peck, Myron A.; Arvanitidis, Christos; Butenschon, Momme; Canu, Donata Melaku; Chatzinikolaou, Eva; Cucco, Andrea; Domenici, Paolo; Fernandes, Jose A.; Gasche, Loic; Huebert, Klaus B.; Hufnagl, Marc; Jones, Miranda C.; Kempf, Alexander; Keyl, Friedemann; Maar, Marie; Mahevas, Stephanie; Marchal, Paul; Nicolas, Delphine; Pinnegar, John K.; Rivot, Etienne; Rochette, Sebastien; Sell, Anne F.; Sinerchia, Matteo; Solidoro, Cosimo; Somerfield, Paul J.; Teal, Lorna R.; Travers-trolet, Morgane; Van De Wolfshaar, Karen E.. |
| We review and compare four broad categories of spatially-explicit modelling approaches currently used to understand and project changes in the distribution and productivity of living marine resources including: 1) statistical species distribution models, 2) physiology-based, biophysical models of single life stages or the whole life cycle of species, 3) food web models, and 4) end-to-end models. Single pressures are rare and, in the future, models must be able to examine multiple factors affecting living marine resources such as interactions between: i) climate-driven changes in temperature regimes and acidification, ii) reductions in water quality due to eutrophication, iii) the introduction of alien invasive species, and/or iv) (over-)exploitation by... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Distribution; Modelling; Habitat; Resources; Man-induced effects. |
| Ano: 2018 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00337/44845/44436.pdf |
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