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A multi-period positive mathematical programming approach for assessing economic impact of drought in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia AgEcon
Qureshi, Muhammad Ejaz; Ahmad, Mobin-ud-Din; Whitten, Stuart M.; Kirby, Mac.
In the last decade, the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB), Australia faced a severe drought which affected its agriculture production. Sustainable diversion limits as proposed in the Australian Government’s basin plan together with climate change is expected to impact on future agriculture production and development in the MDB. We developed a biophysical-economic mathematical model calibrated against the observed multi-period land use data utilising the positive mathematical programming (PMP) approach to evaluate the impacts on agricultural production activities of a range of climate events and policy options. This is an extension of our previous work where the model was calibrated against a single year and focus was on the southern MDB only. The multi-period...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Integrated hydrology and economic model; Multi-period calibration; Climate change; Drought; Agriculture; Positive mathematical programming; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/124418
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Sustainable diversion limits and climate change: results from an integrated economic – hydrology model of the Murray-Darling Basin AgEcon
Kirby, Mac; Mainuddin, Mohammed; Gao, Lei; Ahmad, Mobin-ud-Din.
Climate change and the proposed Murray-Darling Basin Plan both result in less water for irrigation. Climate change is projected to take water from all uses including the environment, whereas the likely sustainable diversion limit in the Plan aims (amongst other things) to return water to the environment. We examine the impact on flows and the returns to irrigation of potential reductions in irrigation allocations, and the interaction with projected climate change impacts. Our analysis is based on an integrated hydrology – economics model of the Murray- Darling Basin, described in Kirby et al. (2012a). The model can quickly and easily run new climate or other scenarios, accounting for flows at key environmental assets. It uses a statistically calibrated...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/124309
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Murray Darling Basin Irrigation Adaptation to Drought: A Statistical Evaluation AgEcon
Connor, Jeffery D.; Ahmad, Mobin-ud-Din; King, Darran; Banerjee, Onil; Mainuddin, Mohammed; Gao, Lei.
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/124266
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Integrated, dynamic economic – hydrology model of the Murray-Darling Basin AgEcon
Kirby, Mac; Mainuddin, Mohammed; Gao, Lei; Connor, Jeffery D.; Ahmad, Mobin-ud-Din.
We aim to model the impact of variability in and changes to water availability in the Murray-Darling Basin on flows available to the environment and irrigation, and impact on the value of irrigated agricultural production. Our objective is to understand the opportunities for changed management of the basin, how they are constrained by climate change and other factors, and how they might affect the returns to irrigation and flows for the environment, so that we may provide information to help plan for the future. In this paper we describe the model: in other papers in this conference we describe analyses of water availability and use in the basin based on this model. The hydrology component of the model is based on a simple, monthly water balance stocks and...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/124487
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